NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	102		Excitement	3.1 [1138]		MVP	Zach Randolph (POR): +9.4%
Portland Trail Blazers	120		Comeback	1.4 [959]		LVP	Amar'e Stoudemire (PHX): -9.3%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Joe Johnson	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.08	0.00	0.02	20	59%	0.06	1	-0.00	4	50%	-0.01
Shawn Marion	0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.06	-0.01	0.02	11	59%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bo Outlaw	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.06	3	56%	0.02	2	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01
Casey Jacobsen	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	6	56%	0.02	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Dan Langhi	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	-0.00	0.03	6	71%	0.00	1	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Jake Voskuhl	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	0.00	1	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jake Tsakalidis	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	1	50%	-0.00	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Anfernee Hardaway	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	5	60%	0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Tom Gugliotta	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.02	4	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stephon Marbury	-0.08	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.09	-0.01	-0.01	9	58%	0.03	6	-0.12	1	0%	-0.01
Amar'e Stoudemire	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.01	-0.01	0.06	7	90%	0.04	7	-0.13	6	83%	-0.01

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Zach Randolph	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.14	0.01	0.06	17	75%	0.14	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.00
Ruben Patterson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.06	0.01	-0.03	7	75%	0.09	1	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Derek Anderson	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.00	-0.00	9	59%	0.05	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Scottie Pippen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.05	6	47%	0.04	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.00
Bonzi Wells	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.04,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.01	0.03	13	68%	0.10	4	-0.10	5	100%	0.01
Antonio Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	0.00	0.04	2	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Qyntel Woods	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	6	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rasheed Wallace	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	2	100%	0.06	4	-0.06	4	75%	-0.00
Arvydas Sabonis	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	7	61%	0.02	2	-0.02	4	75%	-0.01
Jeff McInnis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	6	33%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Damon Stoudamire	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	0.04	9	50%	-0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.8	2.6	25.2	15.5	26.4	2.4	24.3	122.2
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +26.1%

POR +7.1%

POR +14.3%

POR +2.7%

PHX -0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	POR	NBA	PHX	POR	NBA
this game	13.6	15.2	15.5	103.0	118.8	101.6
season	15.0	16.0		101.1	104.3
opponent	15.7	15.9		101.8	100.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	12.1	15.6	13.7	12.8	13.6
POR	15.6	13.8	12.5	20.0	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bo Outlaw	52	53	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.15	4	-22	26	12.5	14.7	-2.22	16.2	14.1	2.14
Tom Gugliotta	18	19	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.15	3	-21	24	14.7	13.3	1.43	18.3	14.5	3.80
Joe Johnson	69	72	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.10	0	-18	18	12.9	15.2	-2.31	15.6	14.3	1.29
Casey Jacobsen	49	50	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.10	0	-18	18	13.0	14.1	-1.02	15.8	14.7	1.13
Dan Langhi	30	31	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.19	2	-20	22	12.4	14.1	-1.66	17.4	14.3	3.12
Jake Voskuhl	30	30	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	0.25	-15	-3	-12	13.7	13.5	0.16	13.3	16.0	-2.74
Jake Tsakalidis	26	26	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	0.09	-10	-8	-2	14.8	13.1	1.75	15.2	15.2	0.00
Amar'e Stoudemire	63	66	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.01	-10	-8	-2	13.0	14.5	-1.53	14.7	16.3	-1.58
Anfernee Hardaway	39	39	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	0.11	-16	-2	-14	14.1	13.2	0.94	14.1	16.0	-1.92
Shawn Marion	60	59	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	0.21	-24	6	-30	14.7	11.8	2.86	14.4	16.4	-2.01
Stephon Marbury	59	60	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	0.18	-24	6	-30	14.4	12.3	2.11	14.5	16.3	-1.87

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Damon Stoudamire	66	65	0.52	-0.02	0.53	-0.33	29	-11	40	14.1	17.3	-3.19	14.3	12.2	2.06
Bonzi Wells	69	67	0.39	0.11	0.28	-0.26	22	-4	26	14.4	17.0	-2.55	14.0	12.7	1.33
Derek Anderson	65	65	0.35	0.15	0.20	-0.29	22	-4	26	13.7	18.0	-4.26	13.5	13.6	-0.14
Zach Randolph	74	72	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.05	10	8	2	15.4	14.9	0.46	14.0	12.4	1.53
Rasheed Wallace	45	44	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.03	8	10	-2	16.0	14.6	1.47	14.6	12.7	1.95
Arvydas Sabonis	36	36	0.22	0.28	-0.06	-0.31	18	0	18	13.2	16.4	-3.16	13.2	13.8	-0.61
Ruben Patterson	31	30	0.18	0.32	-0.15	-0.12	10	8	2	14.1	15.7	-1.63	12.0	14.2	-2.28
Jeff McInnis	49	46	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.28	-5	23	-28	16.6	13.9	2.69	13.0	14.0	-1.04
Scottie Pippen	33	33	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.23	-4	22	-26	17.6	14.1	3.58	13.0	13.8	-0.79
Qyntel Woods	21	21	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.29	-10	28	-38	19.0	14.2	4.82	12.2	13.9	-1.73
Antonio Daniels	16	16	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.29	-10	28	-38	19.1	14.5	4.63	12.6	13.7	-1.18

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.48,0.46,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.46,0.47,0.58,0.55,0.62,0.65,0.61,0.64,0.66,0.69,0.72,0.78,0.84,0.89,0.91,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 85, OKC 94	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.48,0.57,0.56,0.6,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.58,0.53,0.56,0.65,0.63,0.69,0.64,0.64,0.75,0.7,0.8,0.88,0.93,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.9%
UTA 83, SAS 106	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.55,0.56,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.58,0.62,0.65,0.63,0.65,0.69,0.64,0.66,0.75,0.75,0.8,0.83,0.9,0.93,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.9%
SAC 117, DAL 127	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.59,0.58,0.6,0.59,0.57,0.55,0.6,0.59,0.5,0.56,0.6,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.69,0.71,0.77,0.84,0.91,0.89,0.91,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1	96.7%