inpredictable
Powered by Blogger.
NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Chicago Bulls 101 Excitement14.5 [2] MVPJamal Crawford (CHI): +24.6%
Miami Heat 102 Comeback5.1 [278] LVPCaron Butler (MIA): -73.2%


Chicago Bulls
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jamal Crawford0.250,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.34,0.250.020.230.001168%0.604-0.3500%0.00
Marcus Fizer0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.09,0.03,0.03-0.010.040.001352%0.071-0.04580%0.00
Eddy Curry0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.000.001100%0.0200.0000%0.00
Tyson Chandler0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.02-0.010.00367%0.0100.0000%0.00
Fred Hoiberg-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.000.00133%-0.0100.001100%0.01
Eddie Robinson-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.030.00-0.00533%-0.0300.002100%0.01
Jay Williams-0.130,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.10-0.03-0.00462%0.036-0.1600%0.00
Trenton Hassell-0.140,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.11-0.04-0.0160%-0.101-0.0400%0.00
Corie Blount-0.140,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.02-0.120.0000%0.001-0.1400%0.00
Donyell Marshall-0.190,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0,-0.04,-0.13,-0.13,-0.28,-0.2,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.19,-0.19,-0.190.07-0.250.021567%-0.012-0.19667%-0.05
Jalen Rose-0.470,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.04,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.01,0.06,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.16,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.21,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.47-0.07-0.390.013049%-0.296-0.1810%-0.02

Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Vladimir Stepania0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.010.02-0.01460%0.0400.0020%-0.04
Rasual Butler0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.01-0.010.00844%-0.0200.002100%0.01
Brian Grant0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03-0.03-0.00-0.05-0.031252%-0.001-0.0330%-0.48
Malik Allen0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.01-0.020.011951%0.051-0.09771%0.01
Mike James0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.14,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.01-0.040.001064%0.054-0.11250%-0.02
Travis Best0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.13-0.03-0.100.00540%-0.031-0.1000%0.00
Eddie Jones0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.19,-0.19,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.33,-0.38,-0.38,-0.38,-0.38,-0.38,-0.38,-0.38,-0.38,-0.38,-0.38,-0.3-0.30-0.19-0.100.001538%-0.165-0.13978%0.00
Caron Butler0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.16,-0.37,-0.37,-0.56,-0.62,-0.62,-0.62,-0.73,-0.73,-0.59,-0.65,-0.73,-0.73,-0.73-0.73-0.15-0.60-0.021643%-0.364-0.371050%-0.13
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1 OT2Total
this game25.11.731.315.523.42.532.42.513.11.513.3162.3
league avg46.12.328.014.724.52.329.91.917.21.917.2149.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
CHI -14.8%
CHI -16.8%
MIA +53.9%
MIA +10.6%
MIA +17.0%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsCHIMIANBACHIMIANBA
this game15.317.215.595.394.4101.6
season15.016.398.394.6
opponent15.915.1100.7103.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
CHI15.414.815.015.516.115.2
MIA15.914.615.621.619.016.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Donyell Marshall79810.12-0.620.740.091-2315.215.7-0.5917.516.31.16
Fred Hoiberg77-0.03-0.470.44-0.00-10-116.015.30.7513.417.5-4.04
Eddie Robinson4547-0.05-0.450.40-0.112-3514.116.2-2.0715.518.5-3.04
Tyson Chandler2830-0.07-0.430.370.02-32-515.815.10.6617.317.20.13
Eddy Curry1415-0.10-0.400.31-0.01-32-516.415.11.2213.017.9-4.88
Corie Blount4444-0.20-0.300.09-0.479-101916.114.81.3120.015.34.64
Jamal Crawford5758-0.21-0.290.08-0.5311-122314.716.0-1.3018.216.02.20
Jay Williams4950-0.29-0.21-0.080.06-1211-2316.014.71.3016.018.2-2.20
Marcus Fizer6970-0.30-0.20-0.11-0.300-1115.015.8-0.7817.317.00.35
Jalen Rose99101-0.47-0.03-0.44-0.470-1115.316.0-0.7517.513.44.04
Trenton Hassell3937-0.900.40-1.30-0.64-98-1715.915.00.9016.917.4-0.52

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Malik Allen90870.73-0.230.960.614-3717.117.7-0.5614.718.1-3.42
Mike James76740.60-0.100.700.455-4917.017.6-0.6015.514.90.57
Eddie Jones86840.53-0.030.560.443-2516.918.3-1.3414.618.0-3.40
Brian Grant88870.490.010.490.355-4917.615.22.4015.812.92.87
Caron Butler88880.450.050.400.4210117.615.32.2816.111.64.45
Rasual Butler33320.020.48-0.460.08-23-516.317.6-1.3014.915.5-0.61
Travis Best3433-0.120.62-0.730.00-45-917.317.20.0914.515.6-1.10
Vladimir Stepania3637-0.210.71-0.910.00-78-1516.717.5-0.8115.915.00.86


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.53,0.52,0.48,0.49,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.64,0.73,0.74,0.68,0.71,0.71,0.71,0.71,0.76,0.79,0.74,0.74,0.75,0.7,0.7,0.61,0.63,0.7,0.76,0.73,0.71,0.75,0.81,0.73,0.81,0.72,0.74,0.7,0.82,0.71,0.77,0.79,0.65,0.82,0.62,0.64,0.57,0.96,0.54,0.45,0.37,0.33,0.27,0.54,0.68,0.64,0.55,0.16,1
GameSimilarity Score
POR 94, DAL 970.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.65,0.68,0.71,0.72,0.78,0.82,0.85,0.83,0.76,0.74,0.73,0.8,0.76,0.79,0.82,0.8,0.86,0.77,0.83,0.83,0.71,0.84,0.83,0.91,0.8,0.83,0.72,0.74,0.7,0.79,0.8,0.91,0.83,0.65,0.66,0.69,0.77,0.68,0.91,0.46,0.39,0.37,0.22,0.42,0.46,0.55,0.71,0.68,0.58,189.8%
ATL 91, MIA 940.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.55,0.64,0.63,0.57,0.55,0.61,0.67,0.67,0.76,0.7,0.68,0.66,0.63,0.62,0.69,0.74,0.71,0.64,0.66,0.7,0.64,0.58,0.62,0.74,0.8,0.78,0.76,0.79,0.83,0.79,0.79,0.78,0.75,0.85,0.78,0.75,0.76,0.81,0.74,0.76,0.83,0.85,0.84,0.76,0.98,187.5%
SEA 91, LAL 990.5,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.64,0.64,0.7,0.67,0.64,0.65,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.65,0.68,0.75,0.78,0.77,0.82,0.78,0.75,0.63,0.63,0.61,0.64,0.73,0.82,0.83,0.82,0.79,0.84,0.75,0.66,0.67,0.71,0.62,0.68,0.78,0.76,0.73,0.61,0.55,0.55,0.96,187.4%