NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	94		Excitement	10.8 [38]		MVP	LaMarcus Aldridge (POR): +35.8%
Dallas Mavericks	97		Comeback	3.8 [333]		LVP	Jamal Crawford (POR): -37.3%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
LaMarcus Aldridge	0.36	0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.24,0.16,0.33,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.21,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.36,0.36	0.13	0.26	0.03	26	58%	0.39	1	-0.03	5	100%	0.04
Gerald Wallace	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.05	-0.03	0.01	4	83%	0.13	2	-0.12	4	100%	0.02
Elliot Williams	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wesley Matthews	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	10	39%	-0.03	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Nicolas Batum	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	11	50%	0.02	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Marcus Camby	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.01	0.01	3	33%	-0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Kurt Thomas	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.09	-0.01	-0.00	3	0%	-0.04	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Raymond Felton	-0.24	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.18,-0.17,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24	-0.17	-0.10	-0.03	17	26%	-0.16	3	-0.08	1	0%	-0.05
Jamal Crawford	-0.37	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.13,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.17,-0.17,-0.12,-0.2,-0.13,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.2,-0.2,-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	0.00	23	37%	-0.28	3	-0.09	6	100%	0.09

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brendan Haywood	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.17	0.17	0.01	0.17	0.01	4	58%	0.19	1	-0.02	4	25%	-0.05
Lamar Odom	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.04	0.05	-0.00	5	83%	0.15	2	-0.05	2	0%	-0.03
Delonte West	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.06	0.11	-0.01	11	45%	0.11	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Jason Terry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.02	-0.01	13	70%	0.31	6	-0.29	1	100%	0.00
Ian Mahinmi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	75%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Brandan Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Vince Carter	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	0.01	-0.02	8	44%	0.02	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Jason Kidd	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	6	42%	-0.04	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Marion	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.15,-0.02,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.05,-0.14	-0.14	-0.07	-0.08	-0.01	14	44%	-0.04	3	-0.10	4	100%	0.10
Dirk Nowitzki	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.07,-0.07,0.01,-0.16,-0.16,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.24,-0.24,-0.31,-0.31,-0.31,-0.23	-0.23	-0.05	-0.16	0.02	20	43%	-0.16	2	-0.08	6	100%	0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1		OT2	Total
this game	21.7	2.6	29.5	15.0	26.2	2.4	34.3	2.5	15.2	1.7	16.9	167.9
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	1.9	17.4	1.9	17.4	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +66.9%

POR -10.0%

DAL +29.1%

POR -24.1%

POR -11.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	DAL	NBA	POR	DAL	NBA
this game	16.7	15.3	15.6	86.2	89.0	102.8
season	15.7	15.5		104.1	101.6
opponent	15.5	15.4		100.9	104.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
POR	20.8	15.2	14.2	16.5	17.7	16.7
DAL	15.2	15.4	13.5	17.0	15.6	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gerald Wallace	81	82	0.07	-0.57	0.63	0.15	-3	0	-3	17.1	15.4	1.72	15.8	13.7	2.11
Raymond Felton	69	67	0.06	-0.56	0.62	0.21	-5	2	-7	18.4	13.7	4.65	16.4	13.5	2.86
Kurt Thomas	24	25	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.06	-1	-2	1	18.6	16.1	2.45	13.8	15.7	-1.89
Nicolas Batum	78	77	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.38	8	-11	19	16.1	18.1	-1.99	15.1	15.7	-0.70
Elliot Williams	6	7	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	0.06	-7	4	-11	17.7	16.6	1.06	12.3	15.5	-3.18
Marcus Camby	31	30	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	0.06	-9	6	-15	17.5	16.3	1.18	14.5	15.5	-1.00
LaMarcus Aldridge	99	98	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	-0.47	1	-4	5	16.2	21.6	-5.43	15.5	13.2	2.31
Wesley Matthews	67	67	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.47	-2	-1	-1	15.0	19.3	-4.29	14.7	16.1	-1.44
Jamal Crawford	80	81	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.74	6	-9	15	16.5	17.0	-0.50	15.4	14.9	0.49

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shawn Marion	73	71	0.94	-0.44	1.38	0.59	12	-9	21	16.1	13.6	2.54	17.3	15.4	1.88
Brendan Haywood	72	71	0.67	-0.17	0.84	0.61	2	1	1	15.1	15.5	-0.39	16.8	16.4	0.38
Jason Terry	78	77	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.49	-2	5	-7	15.8	13.8	2.07	16.5	17.0	-0.42
Dirk Nowitzki	81	83	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.49	-5	8	-13	15.6	14.2	1.40	16.9	15.8	1.13
Delonte West	62	60	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.55	-10	13	-23	14.2	16.7	-2.47	16.0	17.5	-1.45
Ian Mahinmi	27	27	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.04	3	0	3	14.3	15.6	-1.28	17.8	16.3	1.47
Lamar Odom	45	46	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.04	0	3	-3	13.9	16.2	-2.29	16.0	17.2	-1.16
Vince Carter	42	42	0.02	0.48	-0.46	-0.33	12	-9	21	13.9	16.1	-2.28	16.4	16.8	-0.39
Jason Kidd	55	57	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	-0.17	5	-2	7	16.1	14.4	1.79	17.0	16.3	0.77
Brandan Wright	10	11	-0.30	0.80	-1.10	-0.24	-2	5	-7	18.8	14.9	3.90	13.1	17.1	-3.98

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.65,0.68,0.71,0.72,0.78,0.82,0.85,0.83,0.76,0.74,0.73,0.8,0.76,0.79,0.82,0.8,0.86,0.77,0.83,0.83,0.71,0.84,0.83,0.91,0.8,0.83,0.72,0.74,0.7,0.79,0.8,0.91,0.83,0.65,0.66,0.69,0.77,0.68,0.91,0.46,0.39,0.37,0.22,0.42,0.46,0.55,0.71,0.68,0.58,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 101, MIA 102	0.5,0.49,0.53,0.52,0.48,0.49,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.64,0.73,0.74,0.68,0.71,0.71,0.71,0.71,0.76,0.79,0.74,0.74,0.75,0.7,0.7,0.61,0.63,0.7,0.76,0.73,0.71,0.75,0.81,0.73,0.81,0.72,0.74,0.7,0.82,0.71,0.77,0.79,0.65,0.82,0.62,0.64,0.57,0.96,0.54,0.45,0.37,0.33,0.27,0.54,0.68,0.64,0.55,0.16,1	89.8%
UTA 115, HOU 120	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.54,0.63,0.62,0.67,0.65,0.69,0.66,0.7,0.7,0.66,0.71,0.75,0.75,0.71,0.75,0.73,0.73,0.8,0.85,0.86,0.84,0.9,0.86,0.89,0.83,0.84,0.79,0.8,0.89,0.8,0.9,0.87,0.87,0.78,0.88,0.89,0.91,0.89,0.88,0.9,0.81,0.71,0.85,0.84,0.54,0.55,0.37,0.43,0.58,0.46,0.75,0.78,0.9,1,1	89.1%
SEA 92, PHI 88	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.57,0.64,0.65,0.65,0.67,0.74,0.78,0.79,0.78,0.72,0.7,0.8,0.8,0.8,0.8,0.82,0.81,0.83,0.82,0.79,0.8,0.82,0.81,0.84,0.8,0.81,0.87,0.84,0.91,0.84,0.79,0.81,0.79,0.78,0.87,0.9,0.91,0.85,0.74,0.81,0.73,0.53,0.61,0.55,0.85,0	88.8%