NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	115		Excitement	10.7 [46]		MVP	Metta World Peace (HOU): +22.3%
Houston Rockets	120		Comeback	2.6 [639]		LVP	Andrei Kirilenko (UTA): -34.9%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ronnie Brewer	0.22	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.09	0.14	0.02	17	56%	0.22	0	0.00	7	43%	-0.17
Kyle Korver	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12	0.02	0.07	-0.03	10	62%	0.21	2	-0.08	1	100%	0.02
CJ Miles	0.11	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.12	0.01	0.02	10	75%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kosta Koufos	0.04	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.04,0.04	0.07	-0.01	0.02	9	70%	0.09	1	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Matt Harpring	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	-0.00	4	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Deron Williams	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.09,0.2,0.2,0.27,0.27,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03	-0.12	0.09	-0.00	18	39%	0.08	4	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Kyrylo Fesenko	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.17,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	0.05	-0.08	0.04	8	67%	-0.06	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.19
Brevin Knight	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.01	-0.00	4	0%	-0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Andrei Kirilenko	-0.35	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0,0,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17,-0.35,-0.35,-0.35,-0.35,-0.35,-0.35	-0.01	-0.34	0.00	20	43%	-0.35	0	0.00	6	100%	0.04

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Metta World Peace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.18,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,0.14,0.14,0.21,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.13	0.11	0.02	18	60%	0.25	1	-0.03	11	100%	0.13
Rafer Alston	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.19	0.19	-0.12	0.27	-0.04	13	36%	0.27	3	-0.08	10	60%	-0.01
Carl Landry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.01	-0.02	5	60%	0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Luther Head	0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	7	71%	0.06	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Brent Barry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.03	0.00	3	100%	0.09	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Luis Scola	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.06	0.05	-0.00	8	48%	0.07	4	-0.08	5	80%	0.01
Aaron Brooks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.01	9	48%	0.01	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Shane Battier	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	0.03	-0.14	-0.00	11	50%	-0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Yao Ming	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.02,0,0,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.20	-0.04	-0.16	0.00	23	47%	-0.14	3	-0.06	9	89%	0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1		OT2	Total
this game	25.2	1.8	26.8	14.8	23.2	1.6	34.9	1.8	10.2	2.4	19.3	162.1
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	2.0	41.4	2.0	41.4	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA -31.0%

HOU +63.8%

HOU +26.6%

UTA -12.3%

HOU +2.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	HOU	NBA	UTA	HOU	NBA
this game	15.1	17.3	15.5	106.5	112.1	106.4
season	15.3	16.3		107.7	105.9
opponent	15.2	15.0		102.7	105.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
UTA	17.7	15.0	14.1	13.7	15.0	15.1
HOU	15.8	17.8	16.5	21.6	15.0	17.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kosta Koufos	35	37	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.01	-1	-4	3	15.9	14.7	1.26	19.1	16.3	2.78
Matt Harpring	23	22	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	-0.09	2	-7	9	14.9	15.1	-0.23	18.6	16.9	1.70
Brevin Knight	26	25	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	-0.13	3	-8	11	14.7	15.2	-0.48	18.5	16.9	1.55
CJ Miles	42	43	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.02	-7	2	-9	16.2	14.4	1.84	15.8	18.3	-2.51
Kyle Korver	75	74	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.30	-1	-4	3	14.4	16.6	-2.22	17.9	15.9	1.95
Ronnie Brewer	99	97	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.39	-2	-3	1	15.1	14.7	0.46	17.5	15.3	2.19
Andrei Kirilenko	93	92	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.26	-7	2	-9	15.0	15.5	-0.43	16.9	19.9	-3.07
Deron Williams	82	82	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	-0.23	-8	3	-11	15.2	14.7	0.48	16.9	18.5	-1.55
Kyrylo Fesenko	65	63	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	-0.37	-4	-1	-3	14.8	15.6	-0.77	16.4	18.6	-2.21

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Yao Ming	82	83	0.76	-0.26	1.01	0.43	11	-6	17	18.0	15.1	2.88	15.5	13.8	1.63
Luis Scola	92	91	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.47	6	-1	7	16.0	25.1	-9.12	15.3	14.0	1.30
Rafer Alston	73	72	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.17	7	-2	9	15.6	21.0	-5.40	15.0	15.2	-0.15
Metta World Peace	75	76	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.31	2	3	-1	17.6	16.6	1.04	14.7	15.9	-1.16
Luther Head	32	32	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.04	3	2	1	16.6	17.6	-1.04	15.9	14.7	1.16
Aaron Brooks	36	38	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.22	-3	8	-11	19.8	16.0	3.79	15.1	15.1	-0.02
Carl Landry	37	38	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.08	-5	10	-15	20.4	15.7	4.68	14.6	15.4	-0.75
Shane Battier	64	64	-0.11	0.61	-0.71	-0.19	3	2	1	17.0	17.7	-0.72	15.6	14.4	1.19
Brent Barry	32	33	-0.23	0.73	-0.97	-0.12	-4	9	-13	19.6	16.3	3.33	14.3	15.5	-1.18

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.54,0.63,0.62,0.67,0.65,0.69,0.66,0.7,0.7,0.66,0.71,0.75,0.75,0.71,0.75,0.73,0.73,0.8,0.85,0.86,0.84,0.9,0.86,0.89,0.83,0.84,0.79,0.8,0.89,0.8,0.9,0.87,0.87,0.78,0.88,0.89,0.91,0.89,0.88,0.9,0.81,0.71,0.85,0.84,0.54,0.55,0.37,0.43,0.58,0.46,0.75,0.78,0.9,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 110, MEM 122	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.59,0.6,0.65,0.68,0.69,0.67,0.64,0.61,0.65,0.64,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.72,0.65,0.68,0.71,0.74,0.83,0.73,0.78,0.84,0.82,0.87,0.89,0.92,0.89,0.83,0.81,0.82,0.88,0.85,0.85,0.9,0.93,0.86,0.84,0.69,0.81,0.73,0.93,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.46,0.48,0.61,0.68,0.72,0.54,0.81,0.89,1,1,1	90.8%
LAL 96, POR 108	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.61,0.62,0.65,0.69,0.72,0.75,0.77,0.79,0.75,0.76,0.69,0.75,0.77,0.71,0.75,0.79,0.82,0.74,0.72,0.8,0.86,0.86,0.82,0.82,0.78,0.78,0.74,0.68,0.72,0.76,0.83,0.9,0.81,0.84,0.91,0.95,0.91,0.9,0.97,0.95,0.96,0.98,1,1	90.1%
POR 94, DAL 97	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.65,0.68,0.71,0.72,0.78,0.82,0.85,0.83,0.76,0.74,0.73,0.8,0.76,0.79,0.82,0.8,0.86,0.77,0.83,0.83,0.71,0.84,0.83,0.91,0.8,0.83,0.72,0.74,0.7,0.79,0.8,0.91,0.83,0.65,0.66,0.69,0.77,0.68,0.91,0.46,0.39,0.37,0.22,0.42,0.46,0.55,0.71,0.68,0.58,1	89.1%