NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	110		Excitement	10.0 [77]		MVP	Courtney Lee (MEM): +25.1%
Memphis Grizzlies	122		Comeback	9.8 [141]		LVP	Isaiah Thomas (PHX): -20.5%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
PJ Tucker	0.22	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.19,0.19,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	-0.02	0.22	-0.01	9	55%	0.29	3	-0.07	2	50%	-0.02
Eric Bledsoe	0.18	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	-0.07	0.22	-0.03	16	34%	0.27	1	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Alex Len	0.03	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.01	9	64%	0.12	3	-0.10	4	100%	0.03
Brandan Wright	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	-0.00	4	70%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Gerald Green	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.02	-0.00	8	45%	0.04	1	-0.04	4	100%	0.04
Miles Plumlee	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0	50%	0.00	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Goran Dragic	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	11	37%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Marcus Morris	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05	-0.01	-0.05	-0.01	12	44%	-0.01	1	-0.04	1	0%	-0.02
Markieff Morris	-0.20	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.03,-0.06,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	0.01	-0.20	0.01	15	53%	-0.10	2	-0.10	2	100%	0.01
Isaiah Thomas	-0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.17,-0.09,-0.09,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.07	-0.16	-0.03	16	56%	0.07	7	-0.27	4	100%	0.02

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Courtney Lee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25	0.25	0.06	0.19	-0.00	13	60%	0.26	1	-0.01	4	50%	0.05
Marc Gasol	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.12,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	-0.06	0.17	-0.04	14	39%	0.18	2	-0.03	3	67%	0.01
Beno Udrih	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.03	0.04	-0.02	6	75%	0.13	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Zach Randolph	0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.01	16	71%	0.18	7	-0.17	6	83%	0.01
Nick Calathes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	-0.01	-0.03	7	50%	0.02	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tony Allen	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	-0.00	11	50%	0.08	1	-0.09	2	100%	0.04
Kosta Koufos	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	5	42%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jon Leuer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Vince Carter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.09	-0.01	-0.00	8	22%	-0.07	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.06
Mike Conley	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.2,0.07,0.07,0.16,0.16,0.07,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	0.01	-0.20	0.01	18	64%	0.18	7	-0.37	3	100%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1		OT2	Total
this game	21.3	1.7	31.3	16.7	26.0	1.8	39.1	1.4	20.0	2.5	12.4	174.0
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	2.0	17.8	2.0	17.8	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM +4.1%

MEM +23.0%

MEM +20.3%

PHX -3.9%

MEM +6.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	MEM	NBA	PHX	MEM	NBA
this game	12.6	16.2	15.1	88.7	102.5	104.2
season	14.4	15.9		103.7	103.8
opponent	15.2	15.0		100.8	104.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
PHX	16.2	11.6	11.8	10.4	13.0	12.6
MEM	13.2	15.7	14.5	20.9	17.2	16.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Goran Dragic	73	68	0.37	-0.87	1.24	0.34	1	-13	14	12.8	12.2	0.66	14.8	17.9	-3.13
Miles Plumlee	21	21	0.02	-0.52	0.53	-0.10	4	-16	20	12.4	12.6	-0.16	14.6	16.5	-1.92
Brandan Wright	31	32	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.05	-1	-11	10	11.9	12.8	-0.92	16.5	16.0	0.52
Isaiah Thomas	87	85	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.20	0	-12	12	11.4	15.2	-3.82	16.5	15.4	1.08
Gerald Green	38	39	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.12	-3	-9	6	11.2	13.2	-1.95	19.4	14.6	4.77
Markieff Morris	80	77	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.13	-4	-8	4	13.3	11.1	2.21	15.1	18.0	-2.93
PJ Tucker	73	67	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	0.05	-12	0	-12	13.4	11.4	1.99	17.3	14.7	2.56
Eric Bledsoe	96	89	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	0.09	-19	7	-26	12.6	12.3	0.36	15.2	18.9	-3.68
Marcus Morris	56	56	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.28	-9	-3	-6	11.8	13.2	-1.36	17.1	15.3	1.77
Alex Len	65	61	-0.84	0.34	-1.18	-0.34	-17	5	-22	13.6	11.4	2.14	16.1	16.2	-0.14

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Zach Randolph	87	93	0.92	-0.42	1.35	0.37	19	-7	26	15.7	17.4	-1.72	13.2	10.8	2.39
Tony Allen	85	87	0.86	-0.36	1.23	0.40	16	-4	20	16.0	16.6	-0.69	13.1	11.4	1.73
Mike Conley	83	89	0.57	-0.07	0.65	-0.07	22	-10	32	16.3	15.8	0.46	13.0	11.5	1.42
Courtney Lee	92	97	0.55	-0.05	0.61	0.09	16	-4	20	15.3	19.1	-3.78	12.7	12.2	0.44
Marc Gasol	75	79	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.03	13	-1	14	16.0	16.5	-0.48	12.7	12.4	0.26
Kosta Koufos	37	37	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.14	-3	15	-18	17.5	15.6	1.90	11.9	12.8	-0.88
Beno Udrih	37	36	-0.09	0.58	-0.67	0.21	-10	22	-32	15.4	16.5	-1.04	11.4	13.0	-1.66
Jon Leuer	24	23	-0.13	0.63	-0.77	0.01	-5	17	-22	16.6	16.0	0.59	11.7	12.8	-1.07
Nick Calathes	32	31	-0.30	0.80	-1.09	-0.18	-4	16	-20	18.8	15.2	3.64	11.4	13.0	-1.57
Vince Carter	34	37	-0.36	0.86	-1.23	-0.25	-4	16	-20	16.6	16.0	0.69	11.4	13.1	-1.73

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.59,0.6,0.65,0.68,0.69,0.67,0.64,0.61,0.65,0.64,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.72,0.65,0.68,0.71,0.74,0.83,0.73,0.78,0.84,0.82,0.87,0.89,0.92,0.89,0.83,0.81,0.82,0.88,0.85,0.85,0.9,0.93,0.86,0.84,0.69,0.81,0.73,0.93,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.46,0.48,0.61,0.68,0.72,0.54,0.81,0.89,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 115, HOU 120	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.54,0.63,0.62,0.67,0.65,0.69,0.66,0.7,0.7,0.66,0.71,0.75,0.75,0.71,0.75,0.73,0.73,0.8,0.85,0.86,0.84,0.9,0.86,0.89,0.83,0.84,0.79,0.8,0.89,0.8,0.9,0.87,0.87,0.78,0.88,0.89,0.91,0.89,0.88,0.9,0.81,0.71,0.85,0.84,0.54,0.55,0.37,0.43,0.58,0.46,0.75,0.78,0.9,1,1	90.8%
DET 122, MIA 128	0.5,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.61,0.63,0.62,0.67,0.71,0.73,0.73,0.74,0.72,0.76,0.78,0.71,0.71,0.74,0.8,0.83,0.82,0.72,0.8,0.82,0.8,0.81,0.74,0.78,0.81,0.79,0.68,0.55,0.66,0.7,0.7,0.68,0.78,0.81,0.79,0.76,0.77,0.83,0.76,0.78,0.89,0.93,0.86,0.91,0.46,0.54,0.78,0.68,0.58,0.46,0.68,0.72,0.94,1,1	89.8%
OKC 147, SAS 154	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.4,0.39,0.45,0.53,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.62,0.73,0.7,0.68,0.73,0.73,0.81,0.82,0.84,0.77,0.8,0.71,0.75,0.78,0.7,0.73,0.72,0.83,0.78,0.79,0.84,0.85,0.86,0.92,0.86,0.87,0.92,0.93,0.86,0.8,0.73,0.74,0.49,0.67,0.68,0.92,0.87,0.92,0.5,0.45,0.54,0.77,0.85,0.46,0.61,0.77,0.9,0.95,1	88.5%