inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Oklahoma City Thunder 147 Excitement11.6 [38] MVPLaMarcus Aldridge (SAS): +62.8%
San Antonio Spurs 154 Comeback2.2 [462] LVPDeMar DeRozan (SAS): -36.7%


Oklahoma City Thunder
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Terrance Ferguson0.440,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.3,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.440.180.25-0.001287%0.471-0.0300%0.00
Steven Adams0.290,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.290.060.23-0.001363%0.352-0.06475%0.01
Jerami Grant0.180,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,-0.07,0.16,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.28,0.28,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.18,0.180.020.160.012054%0.313-0.14667%-0.03
Abdel Nader0.150,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.150.080.07-0.004112%0.171-0.0200%0.00
Dennis Schroder0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.02,0.02-0.000.01-0.011447%0.051-0.042100%0.01
Hamidou Diallo0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.000.001100%0.0200.0000%0.00
Patrick Patterson0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.00-0.00350%0.0100.0000%0.00
Paul George-0.140,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.17,0.09,-0.08,-0.17,-0.25,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.140.06-0.200.002553%-0.032-0.10771%0.02
Russell Westbrook-0.250,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.06,-0.12,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25-0.02-0.210.022249%-0.133-0.12540%-0.03

San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
LaMarcus Aldridge0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.12,0.17,0.3,0.41,0.36,0.36,0.4,0.45,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.49,0.56,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.630.630.230.420.023368%0.805-0.1816100%0.16
Derrick White0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.11,0.35,0.34,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.34,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.410.410.100.380.081764%0.472-0.062100%0.00
Patty Mills0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.28,0.280.280.130.14-0.00793%0.291-0.021100%0.00
Marco Belinelli0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.1,0.12,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.190.190.140.02-0.041086%0.202-0.002100%0.01
Davis Bertans0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.170.170.160.010.004150%0.1700.0000%0.00
Bryn Forbes0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0,0,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.120.090.02-0.01693%0.183-0.073100%0.02
Pau Gasol00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jakob Poeltl00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Dante Cunningham00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
DeMar DeRozan0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.4,-0.4,-0.4,-0.33,-0.37,-0.37-0.37-0.18-0.21-0.032233%-0.254-0.12540%-0.04
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1 OT2Total
this game27.32.828.015.728.32.838.02.48.12.625.3181.2
league avg25.32.227.814.627.62.231.93.315.63.315.6132.8
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
SAS +50.1%
SAS +15.6%
OKC -29.6%
SAS +5.8%
SAS +8.1%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsOKCSASNBAOKCSASNBA
this game13.015.714.3118.5129.4109.3
season12.914.8108.9111.7
opponent14.414.9110.4106.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
OKC12.813.013.012.214.212.9
SAS14.415.215.817.019.115.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Hamidou Diallo25250.36-0.861.210.099-162512.913.0-0.1015.615.7-0.17
Abdel Nader28280.20-0.700.890.084-111511.813.3-1.5214.616.0-1.43
Steven Adams8079-0.14-0.360.23-0.02-4-3-112.913.1-0.2115.116.8-1.66
Patrick Patterson2626-0.14-0.350.21-0.140-7713.113.00.1515.215.8-0.60
Terrance Ferguson7775-0.32-0.18-0.13-0.26-2-5312.813.4-0.6216.214.81.36
Russell Westbrook10399-0.46-0.04-0.43-0.32-5-2-313.311.51.8316.014.01.98
Dennis Schroder7974-0.510.01-0.52-0.22-103-1312.713.6-0.8715.416.2-0.77
Jerami Grant9487-0.630.13-0.75-0.30-114-1513.411.81.5815.815.40.44
Paul George9994-0.860.36-1.21-0.39-169-2513.012.90.1015.715.60.17

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Bryn Forbes85860.87-0.371.250.4315-82316.114.71.3513.412.11.29
Davis Bertans52540.84-0.341.180.3716-92516.215.30.8412.813.1-0.33
LaMarcus Aldridge981030.470.030.430.2670715.815.30.5013.112.40.75
Derrick White971000.390.110.280.3325-316.114.02.0313.212.30.83
DeMar DeRozan1001040.250.250.000.31-29-1115.914.71.2113.212.11.07
Patty Mills61670.090.41-0.320.0616-515.216.2-1.0612.713.4-0.71
Jakob Poeltl17170.020.48-0.460.08-29-1115.815.70.1513.113.00.14
Dante Cunningham010.010.49-0.490.0107-70.015.7-15.703.013.1-10.08
Pau Gasol3433-0.060.56-0.610.06-411-1515.215.9-0.6513.013.00.04
Marco Belinelli5155-0.380.88-1.26-0.4425-314.216.8-2.6312.213.6-1.37


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.4,0.39,0.45,0.53,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.62,0.73,0.7,0.68,0.73,0.73,0.81,0.82,0.84,0.77,0.8,0.71,0.75,0.78,0.7,0.73,0.72,0.83,0.78,0.79,0.84,0.85,0.86,0.92,0.86,0.87,0.92,0.93,0.86,0.8,0.73,0.74,0.49,0.67,0.68,0.92,0.87,0.92,0.5,0.45,0.54,0.77,0.85,0.46,0.61,0.77,0.9,0.95,1
GameSimilarity Score
PHX 110, MEM 1220.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.59,0.6,0.65,0.68,0.69,0.67,0.64,0.61,0.65,0.64,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.72,0.65,0.68,0.71,0.74,0.83,0.73,0.78,0.84,0.82,0.87,0.89,0.92,0.89,0.83,0.81,0.82,0.88,0.85,0.85,0.9,0.93,0.86,0.84,0.69,0.81,0.73,0.93,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.46,0.48,0.61,0.68,0.72,0.54,0.81,0.89,1,1,188.5%
DET 122, MIA 1280.5,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.61,0.63,0.62,0.67,0.71,0.73,0.73,0.74,0.72,0.76,0.78,0.71,0.71,0.74,0.8,0.83,0.82,0.72,0.8,0.82,0.8,0.81,0.74,0.78,0.81,0.79,0.68,0.55,0.66,0.7,0.7,0.68,0.78,0.81,0.79,0.76,0.77,0.83,0.76,0.78,0.89,0.93,0.86,0.91,0.46,0.54,0.78,0.68,0.58,0.46,0.68,0.72,0.94,1,187.2%
UTA 115, HOU 1200.5,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.54,0.63,0.62,0.67,0.65,0.69,0.66,0.7,0.7,0.66,0.71,0.75,0.75,0.71,0.75,0.73,0.73,0.8,0.85,0.86,0.84,0.9,0.86,0.89,0.83,0.84,0.79,0.8,0.89,0.8,0.9,0.87,0.87,0.78,0.88,0.89,0.91,0.89,0.88,0.9,0.81,0.71,0.85,0.84,0.54,0.55,0.37,0.43,0.58,0.46,0.75,0.78,0.9,1,187.1%