NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Miami Heat	76		Excitement	3.9 [1018]		MVP	Dell Curry (TOR): +5.5%
Toronto Raptors	83		Comeback	1.5 [977]		LVP	LaPhonso Ellis (MIA): -10.4%

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Malik Allen	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike James	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	3	62%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Eddie House	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	3	67%	0.01	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Eddie Jones	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	8	50%	-0.02	1	-0.01	6	83%	0.01
Kendall Gill	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.00	0.03	6	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Gatling	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	6	43%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Vladimir Stepania	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	1	62%	-0.01	1	-0.02	6	50%	-0.02
Alonzo Mourning	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	10	37%	-0.06	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Jim Jackson	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.04	-0.02	0.03	11	52%	-0.01	3	-0.07	1	0%	0.00
Rod Strickland	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	-0.02	0.00	5	42%	-0.03	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Brian Grant	-0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.09	0.00	0.00	12	31%	-0.08	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
LaPhonso Ellis	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.13	-0.02	-0.05	7	31%	-0.04	4	-0.06	2	0%	-0.03

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dell Curry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.07,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.00	-0.02	9	60%	0.08	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Keon Clark	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.04	0.01	-0.05	4	75%	0.03	4	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Antonio Davis	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.03	-0.00	-0.04	14	43%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Arroyo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Bradley	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tracy Murray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerome Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	2	17%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Vince Carter	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	25	49%	0.03	2	-0.05	5	80%	0.01
Morris Peterson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.01	-0.01	8	56%	0.05	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Eric Montross	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	3	0%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Alvin Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.01	0.01	12	39%	-0.07	1	-0.01	4	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	19.5	2.4	30.8	17.0	27.1	2.4	29.6	128.8
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +32.5%

TOR +4.7%

TOR +9.0%

TOR +3.1%

TOR +0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIA	TOR	NBA	MIA	TOR	NBA
this game	16.2	15.8	15.6	84.4	92.2	102.3
season	16.5	16.2		96.6	100.3
opponent	15.6	15.8		100.9	98.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIA	14.5	19.7	15.6	15.4	16.2
TOR	16.1	13.9	17.1	15.9	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Malik Allen	8	9	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.29	10	-17	27	13.9	16.5	-2.60	16.9	15.6	1.26
Mike James	9	10	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.29	10	-17	27	14.1	16.5	-2.37	17.6	15.5	2.07
Eddie House	14	13	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	-0.09	2	-9	11	15.2	16.4	-1.22	18.0	15.4	2.62
Vladimir Stepania	20	21	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.32	10	-17	27	15.0	16.6	-1.60	18.0	15.1	2.87
Rod Strickland	42	42	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.01	-6	-1	-5	16.3	16.2	0.17	15.7	15.8	-0.08
Jim Jackson	79	80	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.36	4	-11	15	15.8	19.5	-3.76	15.8	15.7	0.06
Brian Grant	65	63	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.07	-7	0	-7	16.0	16.9	-0.94	16.4	14.3	2.14
LaPhonso Ellis	34	32	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.01	-10	3	-13	17.4	15.6	1.78	14.4	16.5	-2.14
Kendall Gill	35	36	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.20	-3	-4	1	16.3	16.2	0.02	14.6	16.5	-1.91
Chris Gatling	28	26	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.22	-18	11	-29	16.7	16.0	0.63	14.0	16.5	-2.47
Alonzo Mourning	44	46	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.00	-12	5	-17	17.8	14.7	3.12	14.7	16.8	-2.12
Eddie Jones	72	72	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	-0.06	-15	8	-23	16.3	15.9	0.44	16.2	13.8	2.47

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Antonio Davis	76	76	0.50	0.00	0.49	0.06	15	-8	23	15.7	16.1	-0.46	16.5	14.8	1.73
Vince Carter	80	80	0.49	0.01	0.48	-0.01	17	-10	27	15.4	18.4	-2.97	16.5	13.9	2.64
Alvin Williams	72	74	0.47	0.03	0.45	-0.03	17	-10	27	15.6	16.5	-0.93	16.1	16.7	-0.54
Keon Clark	34	36	0.35	0.15	0.20	-0.06	14	-7	21	16.1	15.5	0.58	17.6	15.3	2.32
Dell Curry	34	34	0.26	0.24	0.01	-0.01	9	-2	11	14.8	16.3	-1.55	17.9	15.2	2.63
Morris Peterson	51	51	0.24	0.26	-0.01	0.07	6	1	5	16.4	14.9	1.51	15.3	17.4	-2.10
Jerome Williams	35	35	0.10	0.40	-0.31	0.27	-6	13	-19	15.5	15.9	-0.35	15.9	16.5	-0.59
Eric Montross	38	36	0.07	0.43	-0.37	0.30	-8	15	-23	15.9	15.6	0.29	15.3	16.9	-1.56
Carlos Arroyo	16	15	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.35	-11	18	-29	17.2	15.4	1.82	14.8	16.5	-1.73
Tracy Murray	9	8	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.29	-10	17	-27	16.9	15.6	1.26	13.9	16.5	-2.60
Michael Bradley	5	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.23	-8	15	-23	15.6	15.8	-0.16	14.4	16.4	-1.95

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.53,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.6,0.55,0.58,0.65,0.73,0.7,0.71,0.74,0.73,0.73,0.75,0.81,0.82,0.82,0.85,0.93,0.91,0.83,0.86,0.92,0.95,0.93,0.95,0.93,0.93,0.92,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 78, IND 100	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.43,0.4,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.5,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.56,0.58,0.7,0.73,0.73,0.78,0.77,0.78,0.75,0.74,0.77,0.83,0.85,0.92,0.92,0.91,0.95,0.93,0.92,0.94,0.92,0.93,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	96.2%
SAC 84, PHX 109	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.56,0.6,0.72,0.73,0.78,0.84,0.81,0.73,0.7,0.71,0.77,0.83,0.81,0.93,0.92,0.91,0.88,0.89,0.89,0.87,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.9%
MIA 68, ORL 97	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.49,0.44,0.47,0.53,0.59,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.5,0.55,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.67,0.68,0.68,0.78,0.8,0.75,0.73,0.8,0.81,0.82,0.87,0.83,0.88,0.91,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.8%