NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	84		Excitement	4.2 [958]		MVP	Shawn Marion (PHX): +18.7%
Phoenix Suns	109		Comeback	1.4 [416]		LVP	Chris Webber (SAC): -12.6%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike Bibby	0.09	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.06,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	-0.00	0.01	13	71%	0.13	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Keon Clark	0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.01	0.02	8	65%	0.04	2	-0.04	4	75%	-0.00
Scot Pollard	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Wallace	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.07	0.00	-0.07	1	0%	0.00	1	-0.00	2	0%	0.00
Doug Christie	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	7	53%	0.03	3	-0.07	1	100%	0.01
Jim Jackson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	0.00	0.03	8	47%	-0.03	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Peja Stojakovic	-0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.02	7	25%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Bobby Jackson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.09	-0.01	-0.05	13	32%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Hedo Turkoglu	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.08	-0.00	-0.03	4	0%	-0.05	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Webber	-0.13	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.14	-0.03	-0.04	29	37%	-0.08	3	-0.05	1	0%	-0.01

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shawn Marion	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.16	0.03	-0.00	18	71%	0.21	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Bo Outlaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.00	5	75%	0.05	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Stephon Marbury	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.01	-0.02	17	63%	0.11	5	-0.09	7	100%	0.02
Jake Voskuhl	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	4	72%	0.04	1	-0.02	10	70%	-0.02
Dan Langhi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Casey Jacobsen	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joe Johnson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.07	-0.01	0.08	11	62%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Tom Gugliotta	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	4	50%	0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Anfernee Hardaway	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.07	0.00	-0.04	8	28%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Amar'e Stoudemire	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.14	-0.00	-0.04	7	36%	-0.04	3	-0.05	8	75%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.8	2.8	32.0	19.8	24.3	3.6	30.0	138.3
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +37.1%

PHX +8.9%

PHX +6.5%

SAC -2.5%

PHX +0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	PHX	NBA	SAC	PHX	NBA
this game	14.5	16.1	15.5	89.4	116.0	101.6
season	14.0	15.0		104.4	101.1
opponent	15.9	15.7		100.1	98.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	12.8	15.5	17.7	12.6	14.5
PHX	14.9	15.8	16.6	17.4	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gerald Wallace	15	15	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	0.23	-8	-17	9	10.5	15.3	-4.75	17.0	15.9	1.05
Doug Christie	55	55	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	-0.20	6	-31	37	14.0	15.2	-1.21	15.9	16.4	-0.41
Scot Pollard	21	23	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.20	-10	-15	5	14.3	14.6	-0.30	16.7	15.9	0.82
Peja Stojakovic	50	51	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.00	-5	-20	15	13.7	15.5	-1.75	16.0	16.3	-0.34
Hedo Turkoglu	27	27	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.32	-18	-7	-11	14.0	14.7	-0.73	17.4	15.6	1.81
Chris Webber	79	79	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	0.04	-11	-14	3	14.5	14.6	-0.09	16.1	16.1	0.06
Keon Clark	56	55	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.11	-8	-17	9	14.9	13.9	1.01	15.6	16.8	-1.25
Mike Bibby	66	63	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.05	-10	-15	5	15.0	13.5	1.51	15.6	17.2	-1.65
Jim Jackson	56	55	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	0.32	-28	3	-31	15.8	12.7	3.08	16.5	15.6	0.90
Bobby Jackson	45	47	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	0.43	-33	8	-41	15.1	14.0	1.13	16.0	16.2	-0.15

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Stephon Marbury	85	86	0.45	0.05	0.40	-0.05	17	8	9	16.0	17.2	-1.22	14.8	11.7	3.03
Shawn Marion	81	82	0.43	0.07	0.36	-0.04	16	9	7	15.8	18.4	-2.63	14.5	14.7	-0.26
Amar'e Stoudemire	52	52	0.42	0.08	0.33	-0.14	19	6	13	15.6	16.7	-1.08	14.4	14.6	-0.22
Bo Outlaw	57	56	0.36	0.14	0.21	-0.29	22	3	19	17.0	14.8	2.15	15.4	13.2	2.24
Joe Johnson	62	62	0.34	0.16	0.18	-0.07	14	11	3	15.9	16.6	-0.77	13.3	16.8	-3.47
Anfernee Hardaway	36	35	0.21	0.29	-0.08	-0.17	13	12	1	16.8	15.7	1.12	16.6	13.3	3.36
Jake Voskuhl	39	41	0.17	0.33	-0.15	-0.18	12	13	-1	16.3	16.0	0.37	14.8	14.3	0.42
Dan Langhi	13	12	0.07	0.43	-0.36	-0.20	9	16	-7	18.4	15.8	2.63	14.7	14.5	0.26
Tom Gugliotta	40	39	0.05	0.45	-0.39	0.14	-3	28	-31	15.3	16.7	-1.38	13.1	15.5	-2.42
Casey Jacobsen	5	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.18	6	19	-13	16.4	16.1	0.30	10.0	14.8	-4.78

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.56,0.6,0.72,0.73,0.78,0.84,0.81,0.73,0.7,0.71,0.77,0.83,0.81,0.93,0.92,0.91,0.88,0.89,0.89,0.87,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 78, IND 100	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.43,0.4,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.5,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.56,0.58,0.7,0.73,0.73,0.78,0.77,0.78,0.75,0.74,0.77,0.83,0.85,0.92,0.92,0.91,0.95,0.93,0.92,0.94,0.92,0.93,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	96.3%
MIA 76, TOR 83	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.53,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.6,0.55,0.58,0.65,0.73,0.7,0.71,0.74,0.73,0.73,0.75,0.81,0.82,0.82,0.85,0.93,0.91,0.83,0.86,0.92,0.95,0.93,0.95,0.93,0.93,0.92,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.9%
MIL 99, LAL 111	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.4,0.43,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.6,0.7,0.78,0.75,0.75,0.78,0.73,0.74,0.82,0.89,0.85,0.93,0.92,0.94,0.92,0.9,0.86,0.85,0.9,0.9,0.93,0.92,0.92,0.94,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1	95.7%