inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Washington Wizards 78 Excitement4.1 [960] MVPAl Harrington (IND): +4.7%
Indiana Pacers 100 Comeback1.6 [1065] LVPLaron Profit (WAS): -13.2%


Washington Wizards
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Loy Vaught0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.040.00-0.05633%0.031-0.0200%0.00
Christian Laettner-0.030,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.02-0.02-0.011262%0.064-0.085100%0.01
Courtney Alexander-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.07-0.01-0.05936%0.001-0.034100%0.01
Popeye Jones-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.010.000.02750%-0.011-0.022100%0.01
Michael Smith-0.050,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.00-0.0020%-0.031-0.0200%0.00
Tyrone Nesby-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.04-0.010.01520%-0.0500.0000%0.00
Richard Hamilton-0.060,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.120.00-0.062147%0.026-0.09333%-0.02
Mike Smith-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.100.00-0.0350%-0.051-0.0200%0.00
David Vanterpool-0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.13-0.01-0.041137%-0.053-0.04540%-0.04
Laron Profit-0.130,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.08-0.020.04939%-0.063-0.0700%0.00

Indiana Pacers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Al Harrington0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.020.01-0.01967%0.052-0.00367%0.00
Travis Best0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.03-0.000.01-0.031048%0.0300.00333%-0.01
Jeff Foster0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.010.01-0.02467%0.051-0.024100%0.02
Jalen Rose0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.060.01-0.062051%0.094-0.08580%0.01
Sam Perkins00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Tyus Edney0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.030.000.03757%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Reggie Miller0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.030.01-0.02957%0.043-0.043100%0.01
Jonathan Bender0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.00-0.000.012100%0.032-0.041100%0.00
Zan Tabak0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.050.00-0.01743%-0.012-0.0300%0.00
Austin Croshere0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.080.00-0.031041%-0.041-0.00771%-0.01
Jermaine O'Neal0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.100.00-0.01714%-0.071-0.0200%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game26.12.828.115.729.22.325.4129.7
league avg28.82.228.916.626.22.233.1139.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
IND +25.1%
IND +13.5%
WAS -5.7%
IND +15.9%
IND +1.3%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsWASINDNBAWASINDNBA
this game16.113.915.581.2104.2100.9
season15.215.998.699.3
opponent15.615.299.9105.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
WAS15.215.317.516.516.1
IND14.815.314.411.413.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Mike Smith23220.04-0.540.57-0.084-263015.816.2-0.4513.514.0-0.49
Popeye Jones3736-0.03-0.470.450.09-4-181416.116.2-0.1213.314.2-0.87
Loy Vaught3433-0.18-0.320.140.17-12-10-217.215.51.6313.813.9-0.13
Tyrone Nesby3636-0.22-0.280.060.19-14-8-617.315.41.8913.414.1-0.73
Courtney Alexander5454-0.28-0.22-0.060.22-17-5-1216.615.60.9814.313.40.88
Laron Profit5959-0.31-0.19-0.12-0.08-8-14615.916.5-0.6313.913.80.15
Michael Smith6263-0.32-0.18-0.14-0.03-10-12215.517.2-1.6313.913.80.13
Richard Hamilton6768-0.35-0.15-0.19-0.05-10-12215.617.4-1.8514.113.40.63
David Vanterpool4949-0.38-0.12-0.250.24-21-1-2016.016.3-0.2613.614.1-0.50
Christian Laettner5960-0.47-0.03-0.450.05-18-4-1416.216.10.1214.213.30.87

Indiana Pacers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jeff Foster52530.440.060.38-0.2624-22613.714.0-0.3115.317.1-1.84
Travis Best52530.420.080.34-0.051661014.613.01.6216.415.80.65
Austin Croshere54550.390.110.290.01139413.614.3-0.6915.317.2-1.87
Al Harrington65640.370.130.23-0.101661013.614.5-0.9016.315.80.52
Reggie Miller51530.360.140.230.011210215.312.23.1116.815.31.49
Jalen Rose77780.350.150.200.14715-814.312.22.1415.717.8-2.10
Zan Tabak36340.140.36-0.23-0.13913-412.314.8-2.5117.615.32.22
Jonathan Bender35350.120.38-0.27-0.181012-212.314.8-2.5515.916.3-0.38
Tyus Edney27250.080.42-0.34-0.211012-211.414.9-3.4816.516.00.53
Jermaine O'Neal2020-0.070.57-0.650.01-325-2815.813.42.4916.516.00.47
Sam Perkins1110-0.090.59-0.680.03-426-3017.413.43.9416.016.1-0.14


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.43,0.4,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.5,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.56,0.58,0.7,0.73,0.73,0.78,0.77,0.78,0.75,0.74,0.77,0.83,0.85,0.92,0.92,0.91,0.95,0.93,0.92,0.94,0.92,0.93,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
SAC 84, PHX 1090.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.56,0.6,0.72,0.73,0.78,0.84,0.81,0.73,0.7,0.71,0.77,0.83,0.81,0.93,0.92,0.91,0.88,0.89,0.89,0.87,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.3%
MIA 76, TOR 830.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.53,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.6,0.55,0.58,0.65,0.73,0.7,0.71,0.74,0.73,0.73,0.75,0.81,0.82,0.82,0.85,0.93,0.91,0.83,0.86,0.92,0.95,0.93,0.95,0.93,0.93,0.92,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,196.2%
DET 91, LAC 1130.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.42,0.36,0.43,0.4,0.38,0.45,0.45,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.58,0.61,0.63,0.7,0.78,0.79,0.83,0.84,0.8,0.77,0.79,0.87,0.89,0.9,0.89,0.94,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.1%