NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Brooklyn Nets	103		Excitement	7.2 [357]		MVP	Tim Hardaway Jr. (DEN): +27.5%
Denver Nuggets	107		Comeback	1.7 [587]		LVP	Ben Saraf (BKN): -11.8%

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jalen Wilson	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.07	0.04	-0.00	5	80%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nolan Traore	0.10	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.03	0.06	-0.00	7	56%	0.10	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Michael Porter Jr.	0.10	0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.14,0.12,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.26,0.26,0.31,0.31,0.24,0.09,0.11,0.1	0.20	-0.07	0.03	28	62%	0.12	1	-0.02	5	100%	0.02
Terance Mann	0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06	0.01	0.06	0.00	9	52%	0.12	2	-0.05	5	80%	0.00
Drake Powell	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.01	0.05	-0.00	5	58%	0.09	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Day'Ron Sharpe	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	5	58%	0.04	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Tyrese Martin	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.01	-0.00	8	31%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Danny Wolf	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	0.02	-0.06	0.02	7	50%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nic Claxton	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07	0.01	-0.05	0.03	7	62%	-0.02	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Ben Saraf	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.08	-0.03	-0.00	4	0%	-0.10	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tim Hardaway Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.07,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.31,0.31,0.28,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.27,0.27	0.27	0.23	0.05	0.00	15	81%	0.27	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Jonas Valan?i?nas	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.14,0.14,0.17	0.17	0.03	0.14	0.00	11	46%	0.17	0	0.00	4	100%	0.04
Bruce Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.05	0.07	-0.02	7	71%	0.16	2	-0.03	3	33%	-0.04
Jamal Murray	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.02,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.04,0.09,0.11	0.11	0.15	0.02	0.05	16	69%	0.19	2	-0.08	7	100%	0.03
Julian Strawther	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.02	0.07	-0.02	6	50%	0.11	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Peyton Watson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.06	0.05	0.00	15	53%	0.10	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.02
Zeke Nnaji	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	4	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Pickett	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hunter Tyson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Spencer Jones	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	3	12%	-0.10	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.6	0.0	27.2	0.0	25.7	0.0	38.9	0.0
league avg	26.4	1.9	29.0	14.3	29.7	2.2	32.8	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DEN +34.0%

DEN +12.9%

BKN -1.1%

DEN +3.1%

DEN +1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BKN	DEN	NBA	BKN	DEN	NBA
this game	15.6	17.1	14.2	117.0	121.6	113.4
season	14.9	14.6		107.5	119.1
opponent	14.1	14.4		114.9	116.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BKN	15.9	16.5	14.6	15.6	15.6
DEN	17.5	13.5	19.0	18.7	17.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ben Saraf	60	59	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.10	1	-5	6	15.4	16.0	-0.59	17.8	15.6	2.16
Jalen Wilson	72	71	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.11	-2	-2	0	15.8	14.7	1.16	17.2	16.4	0.89
Tyrese Martin	58	59	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.05	-7	3	-10	15.3	16.3	-1.01	17.4	16.5	0.87
Day'Ron Sharpe	73	72	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.36	1	-5	6	15.3	17.3	-2.05	17.8	13.7	4.06
Terance Mann	70	69	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.35	0	-4	4	15.9	14.6	1.36	17.5	15.4	2.17
Michael Porter Jr.	80	80	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.37	-1	-3	2	15.9	13.0	2.90	17.5	12.6	4.89
Nolan Traore	72	71	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.35	-3	-1	-2	16.0	14.1	1.85	17.3	16.0	1.32
Nic Claxton	72	71	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.35	-3	-1	-2	16.0	14.1	1.85	17.3	16.0	1.32
Drake Powell	65	65	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.30	-5	1	-6	15.6	15.7	-0.14	17.7	15.3	2.33
Danny Wolf	71	69	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.34	-4	0	-4	16.2	13.5	2.68	17.5	15.5	2.03

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bruce Brown	88	88	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.38	4	0	4	17.1	0.0	17.07	15.6	0.0	15.64
Peyton Watson	88	88	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.38	4	0	4	17.1	0.0	17.07	15.6	0.0	15.64
Zeke Nnaji	88	88	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.38	4	0	4	17.1	0.0	17.07	15.6	0.0	15.64
Jamal Murray	80	80	0.40	0.10	0.31	0.37	1	3	-2	17.5	12.6	4.89	15.9	13.0	2.90
Tim Hardaway Jr.	77	78	0.40	0.10	0.31	0.34	2	2	0	17.6	13.6	3.92	15.4	17.2	-1.76
Hunter Tyson	24	24	0.30	0.20	0.09	0.06	8	-4	12	16.0	17.5	-1.47	16.4	15.4	1.02
Jonas Valan?i?nas	54	55	0.28	0.22	0.05	0.30	-1	5	-6	18.4	15.0	3.42	15.4	16.0	-0.58
Spencer Jones	39	40	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.43	-12	16	-28	19.8	14.9	4.94	15.2	16.0	-0.71
Julian Strawther	74	74	-0.03	0.53	-0.57	0.03	-2	6	-8	17.5	14.9	2.63	15.7	15.4	0.33
Jalen Pickett	26	27	-0.22	0.72	-0.94	0.04	-9	13	-22	19.7	16.0	3.72	15.9	15.5	0.31

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.48,0.46,0.5,0.5,0.51,0.47,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.49,0.55,0.6,0.73,0.78,0.8,0.83,0.8,0.8,0.85,0.9,0.88,0.86,0.8,0.7,0.58,0.59,0.62,0.62,0.52,0.56,0.6,0.68,0.62,0.65,0.79,0.76,0.77,0.74,0.59,0.52,0.46,0.37,0.85,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 88, POR 96	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.63,0.6,0.47,0.49,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.68,0.71,0.68,0.64,0.61,0.67,0.75,0.78,0.75,0.71,0.74,0.8,0.76,0.73,0.68,0.65,0.55,0.63,0.62,0.75,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.62,0.68,0.69,0.53,0.61,0.38,0.36,0.78,0.91,1	91.2%
HOU 125, MEM 130	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.57,0.56,0.58,0.53,0.58,0.67,0.7,0.73,0.71,0.75,0.76,0.7,0.8,0.76,0.75,0.69,0.64,0.58,0.48,0.55,0.66,0.63,0.77,0.75,0.7,0.69,0.71,0.76,0.81,0.78,0.81,0.6,0.61,0.61,0.68,0.98,1	90.7%
MEM 98, SAS 105	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.63,0.61,0.57,0.63,0.54,0.54,0.6,0.64,0.62,0.65,0.72,0.76,0.73,0.78,0.83,0.85,0.88,0.9,0.91,0.88,0.78,0.73,0.72,0.69,0.75,0.62,0.59,0.71,0.84,0.74,0.74,0.79,0.8,0.68,0.59,0.66,0.4,0.53,0.72,0.67,0.95,1	90.5%