NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	88		Excitement	8.3 [225]		MVP	CJ McCollum (POR): +23.2%
Portland Trail Blazers	96		Comeback	3.1 [503]		LVP	Blake Griffin (LAC): -29.1%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jamal Crawford	0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.06	0.17	0.02	18	51%	0.20	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Chris Paul	0.08	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.09,0.09,0.08	0.06	0.00	-0.01	21	57%	0.14	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.03
Luc Mbah a Moute	0.04	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.01	2	100%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Austin Rivers	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.02	0.02	-0.01	3	67%	0.05	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Cole Aldrich	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Paul Pierce	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	2	17%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jeff Green	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	0.02	-0.00	5	25%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.03
Wesley Johnson	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
DeAndre Jordan	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15	-0.00	-0.15	0.00	7	46%	-0.15	0	0.00	10	30%	-0.35
JJ Redick	-0.16	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.14,-0.16	-0.09	-0.08	-0.01	10	25%	-0.13	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Blake Griffin	-0.29	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.2,-0.2,-0.29,-0.29	-0.12	-0.17	0.00	16	35%	-0.16	3	-0.13	2	100%	0.02

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
CJ McCollum	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.23	0.23	0.08	0.12	-0.03	22	56%	0.25	2	-0.02	4	75%	-0.01
Ed Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.03	0.04	0.00	3	60%	0.07	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.04
Damian Lillard	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,0.04,0,0	-0.00	0.08	-0.03	0.06	20	65%	0.17	5	-0.17	9	100%	0.03
Al-Farouq Aminu	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	12	37%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Maurice Harkless	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.11,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.19,-0.19,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04	-0.04	-0.09	0.03	-0.01	9	50%	0.17	5	-0.21	2	0%	-0.04
Allen Crabbe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	4	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Kaman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	5	40%	-0.02	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Mason Plumlee	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	5	43%	-0.03	2	-0.06	4	50%	-0.01
Gerald Henderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.07	-0.03	-0.00	7	14%	-0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.3	2.8	30.2	16.6	28.5	3.4	40.5	145.3
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +36.9%

POR +12.5%

POR +16.6%

LAC -20.2%

POR +4.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	POR	NBA	LAC	POR	NBA
this game	15.1	14.3	14.9	89.8	98.0	105.1
season	14.8	15.0		106.6	107.1
opponent	14.6	14.9		106.7	102.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	16.1	15.2	15.0	14.2	15.1
POR	13.9	14.1	15.7	13.5	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Wesley Johnson	26	26	0.05	-0.55	0.61	-0.06	4	-12	16	13.9	15.6	-1.68	14.4	14.2	0.21
Jeff Green	46	46	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	-0.11	3	-11	14	14.9	15.3	-0.44	15.0	13.6	1.34
Paul Pierce	12	11	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	0.06	-7	-1	-6	15.9	15.0	0.91	12.0	14.6	-2.55
Austin Rivers	32	30	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	0.11	-10	2	-12	13.6	15.9	-2.27	12.9	14.9	-1.97
Luc Mbah a Moute	30	30	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	0.04	-8	0	-8	16.2	14.6	1.55	14.1	14.4	-0.29
Cole Aldrich	28	27	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.01	-8	0	-8	14.4	15.4	-1.07	12.6	14.9	-2.26
DeAndre Jordan	62	63	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.32	2	-10	12	15.9	13.8	2.08	15.0	12.9	2.10
JJ Redick	49	51	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.29	0	-8	8	14.9	15.3	-0.41	14.3	14.3	0.02
Chris Paul	74	76	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.31	0	-8	8	15.4	14.2	1.27	14.8	12.5	2.22
Blake Griffin	68	68	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.27	-5	-3	-2	15.3	14.7	0.56	14.8	13.1	1.68
Jamal Crawford	63	62	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.16	-11	3	-14	15.1	15.1	-0.03	13.6	15.4	-1.82

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Maurice Harkless	65	64	0.64	-0.14	0.77	0.23	14	-6	20	14.0	14.7	-0.70	14.7	15.9	-1.16
Mason Plumlee	66	66	0.61	-0.11	0.71	0.40	7	1	6	14.4	14.0	0.39	15.4	14.5	0.92
CJ McCollum	85	85	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.18	13	-5	18	14.2	14.8	-0.58	15.3	14.0	1.29
Damian Lillard	75	74	0.40	0.10	0.31	0.29	4	4	0	14.6	13.1	1.48	15.3	14.5	0.77
Al-Farouq Aminu	72	71	0.37	0.13	0.25	0.32	2	6	-4	14.4	13.8	0.68	15.1	15.1	0.02
Chris Kaman	18	20	0.04	0.46	-0.41	-0.10	5	3	2	13.7	14.4	-0.67	14.7	15.2	-0.53
Gerald Henderson	32	33	0.01	0.49	-0.49	0.04	-1	9	-10	14.1	14.3	-0.21	15.1	15.1	-0.00
Allen Crabbe	41	40	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	0.03	-2	10	-12	13.6	14.7	-1.13	14.4	15.6	-1.18
Ed Davis	36	37	-0.10	0.60	-0.71	-0.04	-2	10	-12	14.7	14.0	0.68	15.5	14.9	0.58

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.63,0.6,0.47,0.49,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.68,0.71,0.68,0.64,0.61,0.67,0.75,0.78,0.75,0.71,0.74,0.8,0.76,0.73,0.68,0.65,0.55,0.63,0.62,0.75,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.62,0.68,0.69,0.53,0.61,0.38,0.36,0.78,0.91,1
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 83, LAL 92	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.49,0.48,0.53,0.53,0.62,0.6,0.68,0.68,0.64,0.71,0.66,0.72,0.64,0.67,0.59,0.69,0.72,0.61,0.67,0.69,0.68,0.52,0.41,0.56,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.7,0.62,0.53,0.64,0.54,0.54,0.45,0.55,0.86,0.99,1	92.1%
SAS 84, MIA 88	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.57,0.54,0.6,0.64,0.63,0.65,0.65,0.64,0.68,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.71,0.69,0.72,0.77,0.76,0.77,0.67,0.73,0.75,0.74,0.74,0.8,0.76,0.73,0.65,0.62,0.69,0.66,0.63,0.64,0.58,0.58,0.62,0.67,0.58,0.59,0.65,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.57,0.84,1	91.8%
CHI 87, ATL 97	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.57,0.56,0.51,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.62,0.62,0.56,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.6,0.58,0.51,0.61,0.54,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.63,0.71,0.69,0.72,0.81,0.71,0.74,0.75,0.76,0.77,0.81,0.75,0.74,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.68,0.64,0.65,0.61,0.53,0.46,0.77,0.98,1	91.2%