NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	83		Excitement	6.9 [443]		MVP	Kevin Garnett (BOS): +31.6%
Los Angeles Lakers	92		Comeback	1.6 [653]		LVP	Ray Allen (BOS): -21.4%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Garnett	0.32	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.26,0.26,0.32,0.32	0.17	0.14	-0.01	14	79%	0.32	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kendrick Perkins	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.02	0.01	5	80%	0.07	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Leon Powe	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.01	0.00	0	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Brian Scalabrine	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Paul Pierce	-0.00	0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.04	-0.01	13	67%	0.19	5	-0.19	4	100%	0.03
Glen Davis	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	6	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eddie House	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07	-0.09	0.01	-0.01	5	20%	-0.00	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Tony Allen	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.12,-0.03,-0.06,-0.12,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.10	-0.04	-0.02	9	33%	0.01	3	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
Rajon Rondo	-0.20	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.11	-0.08	0.01	11	27%	-0.15	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Ray Allen	-0.21	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.07,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.19,-0.21,-0.21	-0.04	-0.16	0.01	14	47%	-0.13	3	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Pau Gasol	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,0.14,0.27,0.27	0.27	0.05	0.22	-0.00	14	59%	0.42	3	-0.15	6	100%	0.06
Lamar Odom	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.03	0.06	0.00	6	71%	0.14	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Luke Walton	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.01	0.01	6	67%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kobe Bryant	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.02	0.01	23	59%	0.15	4	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Bynum	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.02	0.00	7	56%	0.05	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Vladimir Radmanovic	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sasha Vujacic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.03	-0.04	0.00	9	48%	-0.01	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Trevor Ariza	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.03	-0.07	0.01	3	33%	-0.06	1	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Derek Fisher	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.06	-0.07	0.01	10	27%	-0.14	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	3.4	32.8	23.0	29.7	3.0	37.3	154.4
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +18.0%

LAL +15.5%

BOS -6.1%

LAL +20.6%

LAL +2.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	LAL	NBA	BOS	LAL	NBA
this game	15.9	16.1	15.5	93.3	101.1	106.4
season	15.8	14.9		108.3	110.6
opponent	15.4	15.6		102.6	101.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	15.2	16.4	15.8	16.4	15.9
LAL	14.2	14.2	18.5	17.8	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brian Scalabrine	1	1	0.02	-0.52	0.53	0.02	0	-9	9	2.0	16.1	-14.09	11.0	16.1	-5.12
Glen Davis	23	25	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	0.09	-6	-3	-3	17.3	15.4	1.91	14.8	16.6	-1.80
Leon Powe	18	19	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.03	-6	-3	-3	19.2	15.1	4.05	16.3	16.0	0.32
Eddie House	24	27	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	0.03	-7	-2	-5	18.4	15.0	3.34	15.0	16.5	-1.57
Rajon Rondo	63	63	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.19	-3	-6	3	15.5	17.1	-1.62	16.8	14.5	2.31
Tony Allen	30	31	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	0.01	-11	2	-13	16.8	15.5	1.26	15.3	16.5	-1.23
Paul Pierce	71	73	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.17	-6	-3	-3	15.6	17.1	-1.48	15.8	17.3	-1.58
Kevin Garnett	70	71	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.28	-3	-6	3	15.2	18.8	-3.63	16.2	15.5	0.73
Ray Allen	80	81	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.33	-2	-7	5	15.5	19.7	-4.15	16.4	13.2	3.22
Kendrick Perkins	65	64	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.39	-1	-8	7	15.6	16.8	-1.23	16.5	15.1	1.36

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Derek Fisher	66	67	0.54	-0.04	0.57	0.24	10	-1	11	16.2	15.8	0.31	15.8	16.3	-0.45
Andrew Bynum	68	67	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.36	0	9	-9	16.4	15.2	1.19	16.0	15.9	0.09
Lamar Odom	45	42	0.35	0.15	0.19	-0.15	17	-8	25	15.4	16.7	-1.23	17.1	14.9	2.25
Pau Gasol	68	68	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.27	1	8	-7	16.4	15.0	1.37	15.2	18.2	-2.96
Kobe Bryant	84	81	0.28	0.22	0.05	0.22	2	7	-5	15.9	17.6	-1.63	15.6	19.4	-3.78
Luke Walton	52	53	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.32	-2	11	-13	16.7	15.3	1.37	15.4	16.7	-1.33
Trevor Ariza	36	31	0.26	0.24	0.02	-0.01	9	0	9	15.3	16.6	-1.26	17.0	15.4	1.59
Sasha Vujacic	34	34	0.19	0.31	-0.12	-0.04	8	1	7	16.3	15.9	0.32	17.3	15.1	2.16
Vladimir Radmanovic	2	2	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	-0.02	0	9	-9	5.5	16.3	-10.80	7.0	16.1	-9.14

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.49,0.48,0.53,0.53,0.62,0.6,0.68,0.68,0.64,0.71,0.66,0.72,0.64,0.67,0.59,0.69,0.72,0.61,0.67,0.69,0.68,0.52,0.41,0.56,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.7,0.62,0.53,0.64,0.54,0.54,0.45,0.55,0.86,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 88, POR 96	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.63,0.6,0.47,0.49,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.68,0.71,0.68,0.64,0.61,0.67,0.75,0.78,0.75,0.71,0.74,0.8,0.76,0.73,0.68,0.65,0.55,0.63,0.62,0.75,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.62,0.68,0.69,0.53,0.61,0.38,0.36,0.78,0.91,1	92.1%
CHI 93, DEN 101	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.48,0.47,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.56,0.58,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.72,0.65,0.58,0.65,0.72,0.75,0.7,0.75,0.71,0.59,0.59,0.59,0.49,0.44,0.5,0.66,0.57,0.53,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.67,0.61,0.72,0.97,0.98,1	92.0%
MIN 85, POR 89	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.47,0.5,0.54,0.49,0.53,0.62,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.56,0.56,0.64,0.59,0.54,0.58,0.57,0.61,0.7,0.71,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.64,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.75,0.81,0.7,0.54,0.46,0.45,0.72,0.78,0.91,1	91.5%