NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	85		Excitement	7.4 [350]		MVP	Kevin Garnett (MIN): +25.5%
Portland Trail Blazers	89		Comeback	2.1 [754]		LVP	Theo Ratliff (POR): -8.6%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Garnett	0.26	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26	0.18	0.09	0.01	13	87%	0.31	2	-0.05	5	60%	-0.03
Marko Jaric	0.04	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	-0.00	0.01	4	67%	0.04	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Marcus Banks	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.06,0.06,0.06,0	0.01	-0.01	-0.00	10	62%	0.10	3	-0.10	4	75%	0.00
Troy Hudson	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ricky Davis	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.15,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03	-0.07	0.01	-0.02	20	40%	0.01	2	-0.04	3	67%	-0.04
Anthony Carter	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mark Blount	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	8	37%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rashad McCants	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Trenton Hassell	-0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,-0.05,-0.05	-0.01	-0.04	-0.01	10	43%	-0.02	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.00
Eddie Griffin	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Justin Reed	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	4	20%	-0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jarrett Jack	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.18,0.18,0.22,0.22,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.23,0.23	0.23	0.13	0.12	0.01	10	83%	0.33	2	-0.10	3	67%	-0.02
Zach Randolph	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.16,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.22,-0.22,-0.09,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	-0.08	0.14	-0.00	24	39%	0.12	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.02
Travis Outlaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.01	0.03	-0.03	6	50%	0.07	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Steve Blake	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.03	-0.01	6	57%	0.09	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.00
Juan Dixon	0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.00	12	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Ruben Patterson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	0.02	0.03	10	46%	0.01	1	-0.03	6	67%	-0.03
Sebastian Telfair	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	5	36%	-0.03	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Viktor Khryapa	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joel Przybilla	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.01	4	30%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Theo Ratliff	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	-0.07	0.00	2	33%	-0.09	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.12

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.8	2.7	33.2	16.7	25.8	2.8	37.1	144.1
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +23.6%

MIN -4.5%

POR +35.2%

MIN -6.7%

POR +2.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	POR	NBA	MIN	POR	NBA
this game	15.3	18.8	15.6	100.0	106.0	104.4
season	16.1	16.6		101.0	99.4
opponent	15.7	15.9		109.8	103.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	12.7	17.4	17.3	14.3	15.3
POR	18.7	17.8	20.6	18.4	18.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eddie Griffin	42	43	0.07	-0.57	0.65	-0.13	7	-11	18	15.8	14.8	0.95	19.7	17.9	1.89
Troy Hudson	4	5	0.05	-0.55	0.59	-0.04	3	-7	10	20.7	15.0	5.74	18.8	18.8	-0.02
Marko Jaric	32	32	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.08	2	-6	8	14.6	15.7	-1.05	19.3	18.5	0.74
Rashad McCants	12	11	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.05	-7	3	-10	18.2	14.8	3.46	17.3	19.1	-1.78
Trenton Hassell	65	65	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.38	6	-10	16	14.8	16.8	-1.98	19.5	16.4	3.10
Anthony Carter	10	9	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.06	-6	2	-8	15.5	15.3	0.25	14.1	19.4	-5.28
Ricky Davis	67	66	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.28	0	-4	4	14.6	18.0	-3.45	19.4	16.8	2.60
Justin Reed	23	21	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.02	-10	6	-16	15.6	15.2	0.45	15.6	19.9	-4.27
Kevin Garnett	74	75	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.42	2	-6	8	15.4	14.2	1.26	19.4	13.9	5.52
Marcus Banks	54	52	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.31	-6	2	-8	15.5	15.0	0.50	18.5	19.3	-0.74
Mark Blount	42	41	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.25	-11	7	-18	15.1	15.5	-0.42	17.9	19.7	-1.89

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Theo Ratliff	39	41	0.53	-0.03	0.55	0.32	7	-3	10	17.8	19.7	-1.92	14.8	15.7	-0.88
Juan Dixon	51	50	0.52	-0.02	0.53	0.49	1	3	-2	19.9	17.2	2.70	14.5	16.4	-1.85
Jarrett Jack	54	57	0.51	-0.01	0.51	0.36	5	-1	6	18.2	19.9	-1.63	14.6	16.7	-2.14
Steve Blake	38	38	0.50	-0.00	0.51	0.39	4	0	4	19.8	18.0	1.72	15.7	14.9	0.77
Zach Randolph	59	59	0.25	0.25	-0.00	0.37	-4	8	-12	19.7	16.7	3.05	15.3	15.3	-0.04
Ruben Patterson	39	41	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.02	4	0	4	17.7	19.8	-2.11	14.2	16.2	-2.01
Sebastian Telfair	34	34	0.09	0.41	-0.31	-0.05	5	-1	6	17.2	19.9	-2.76	16.4	14.5	1.83
Joel Przybilla	41	39	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.11	-2	6	-8	19.9	17.8	2.11	16.1	14.6	1.52
Viktor Khryapa	32	31	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	0.04	-2	6	-8	19.7	18.2	1.50	15.8	15.0	0.82
Travis Outlaw	33	35	-0.07	0.57	-0.63	-0.12	2	2	0	17.4	19.7	-2.30	16.4	14.5	1.85

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.47,0.5,0.54,0.49,0.53,0.62,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.56,0.56,0.64,0.59,0.54,0.58,0.57,0.61,0.7,0.71,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.64,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.75,0.81,0.7,0.54,0.46,0.45,0.72,0.78,0.91,1
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 86, DAL 92	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.44,0.53,0.62,0.62,0.57,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.57,0.63,0.61,0.63,0.55,0.57,0.61,0.64,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.59,0.7,0.74,0.71,0.5,0.66,0.75,0.62,0.63,0.64,0.7,0.53,0.56,0.79,0.94,0.98,1	92.5%
MIN 110, BKN 119	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.64,0.61,0.55,0.63,0.61,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.56,0.51,0.61,0.56,0.64,0.58,0.49,0.61,0.5,0.57,0.6,0.58,0.55,0.67,0.61,0.68,0.59,0.63,0.67,0.64,0.66,0.7,0.57,0.8,0.73,0.59,0.53,0.54,0.64,0.79,0.67,0.92,1	92.4%
SAC 86, WAS 96	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.62,0.61,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.61,0.59,0.59,0.52,0.49,0.54,0.61,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.61,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.68,0.59,0.59,0.67,0.64,0.66,0.7,0.7,0.71,0.63,0.7,0.65,0.67,0.68,0.79,0.89,0.96,1	92.3%