NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	125		Excitement	8.7 [223]		MVP	Kenyon Martin Jr. (HOU): +36.7%
Memphis Grizzlies	130		Comeback	1.2 [1138]		LVP	Daishen Nix (HOU): -24.2%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kenyon Martin Jr.	0.37	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.25,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37	0.22	0.18	0.03	18	70%	0.37	0	0.00	8	62%	-0.01
Jalen Green	0.12	0,0,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.24,0.24,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.12,0.12	0.23	-0.03	0.08	18	71%	0.12	0	0.00	9	100%	0.03
Alperen Sengun	0.08	0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.08,0.08	0.11	-0.02	0.01	15	69%	0.18	3	-0.10	6	50%	-0.08
Kevin Porter Jr.	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.13,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0,0,0	-0.03	0.01	-0.01	14	50%	0.09	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Josh Christopher	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	4	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Usman Garuba	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tari Eason	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	4	62%	0.02	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Jabari Smith Jr.	-0.13	0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.01	-0.10	0.01	14	57%	-0.02	4	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Daishen Nix	-0.24	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24	-0.15	-0.10	-0.00	4	0%	-0.08	4	-0.16	0	0%	0.00

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jaren Jackson Jr.	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.19,0.24,0.29,0.29,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.17,0.25,0.25	0.25	0.18	0.09	0.02	20	73%	0.36	4	-0.11	11	73%	-0.02
Desmond Bane	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.11,0.13	0.13	0.12	0.07	0.05	13	65%	0.13	0	0.00	5	100%	0.01
Luke Kennard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.07,0.07,0.08	0.08	0.09	0.00	0.02	6	81%	0.10	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.03
Tyus Jones	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.07	0.01	0.01	12	56%	0.07	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
David Roddy	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	0.00	0.01	9	59%	0.05	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Ja Morant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.02	-0.00	13	53%	0.11	2	-0.06	6	83%	0.01
Kenneth Lofton Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.01	-0.01	3	62%	0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Santi Aldama	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.01	-0.04	-0.00	5	50%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Xavier Tillman	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	3	67%	0.03	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
John Konchar	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.4	2.4	25.5	14.6	24.2	2.5	42.3	135.9
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.2	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM +5.4%

MEM +18.9%

MEM +8.7%

MEM +13.2%

MEM +3.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	MEM	NBA	HOU	MEM	NBA
this game	14.8	14.3	14.4	126.3	131.3	113.4
season	14.8	13.9		109.8	113.4
opponent	14.3	13.9		110.0	118.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	13.7	13.9	16.5	15.3	14.8
MEM	14.6	12.7	16.2	14.1	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Daishen Nix	30	29	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	-0.07	1	-6	7	15.4	14.5	0.89	14.5	14.2	0.24
Tari Eason	55	54	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.03	-4	-1	-3	15.7	13.6	2.18	13.9	14.8	-0.85
Alperen Sengun	63	64	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.33	5	-10	15	15.3	13.9	1.40	15.1	12.9	2.12
Josh Christopher	19	20	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.03	-6	1	-7	16.2	14.4	1.77	13.3	14.6	-1.27
Kenyon Martin Jr.	83	83	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.33	3	-8	11	13.8	19.7	-5.86	14.4	13.6	0.82
Usman Garuba	31	30	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.00	-9	4	-13	14.9	14.7	0.23	14.1	14.4	-0.35
Jalen Green	78	78	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.29	-1	-4	3	14.5	15.8	-1.25	14.5	13.7	0.82
Kevin Porter Jr.	71	71	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.30	-4	-1	-3	14.4	15.7	-1.26	14.3	14.2	0.09
Jabari Smith Jr.	65	66	-0.67	0.17	-0.83	-0.37	-10	5	-15	14.6	15.1	-0.52	13.8	15.2	-1.39

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ja Morant	50	48	0.74	-0.24	0.98	0.42	11	-6	17	13.4	15.2	-1.84	16.0	13.7	2.29
Santi Aldama	40	41	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.23	9	-4	13	15.4	13.6	1.87	15.7	14.1	1.59
Desmond Bane	74	71	0.44	0.06	0.37	0.23	7	-2	9	14.2	14.7	-0.54	14.6	15.3	-0.76
Luke Kennard	48	48	0.43	0.07	0.37	0.26	6	-1	7	15.0	13.7	1.25	15.0	14.6	0.43
Jaren Jackson Jr.	76	74	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.27	4	1	3	13.9	15.6	-1.63	15.3	13.2	2.11
Kenneth Lofton Jr.	27	26	0.18	0.32	-0.13	0.10	3	2	1	14.1	14.4	-0.28	15.8	14.4	1.45
David Roddy	53	56	0.16	0.34	-0.19	0.24	-3	8	-11	13.7	15.0	-1.32	13.2	16.9	-3.72
John Konchar	32	32	-0.05	0.55	-0.61	0.09	-5	10	-15	13.7	14.6	-0.83	15.4	14.5	0.97
Xavier Tillman	41	42	-0.10	0.60	-0.71	-0.02	-3	8	-11	14.8	14.0	0.84	12.9	16.1	-3.21
Tyus Jones	54	57	-0.17	0.67	-0.83	-0.05	-4	9	-13	15.1	13.3	1.84	14.6	15.0	-0.43

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.57,0.56,0.58,0.53,0.58,0.67,0.7,0.73,0.71,0.75,0.76,0.7,0.8,0.76,0.75,0.69,0.64,0.58,0.48,0.55,0.66,0.63,0.77,0.75,0.7,0.69,0.71,0.76,0.81,0.78,0.81,0.6,0.61,0.61,0.68,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 103, OKC 109	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.5,0.42,0.5,0.44,0.45,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.52,0.42,0.49,0.55,0.67,0.65,0.68,0.71,0.64,0.72,0.79,0.67,0.73,0.71,0.66,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.58,0.53,0.54,0.59,0.64,0.75,0.62,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.7,0.76,0.61,0.53,0.46,0.59,0.84,1	91.9%
IND 108, CLE 109	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.63,0.56,0.58,0.62,0.65,0.63,0.64,0.71,0.61,0.71,0.67,0.67,0.7,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.64,0.67,0.65,0.59,0.66,0.73,0.88,0.87,0.81,0.84,0.79,0.89,0.85,0.83,0.84,0.86,0.61,0.45,0.77,0.96,1	91.7%
CHA 85, NOH 94	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.64,0.71,0.73,0.71,0.72,0.65,0.72,0.73,0.76,0.8,0.8,0.7,0.62,0.63,0.61,0.7,0.64,0.52,0.59,0.62,0.63,0.6,0.71,0.66,0.57,0.62,0.76,0.77,0.73,0.65,0.61,0.81,0.72,0.78,0.95,1	91.7%