NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	103		Excitement	9.3 [138]		MVP	Dennis Schroder (OKC): +25.9%
Oklahoma City Thunder	109		Comeback	2.0 [730]		LVP	Dante Exum (CLE): -15.9%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Larry Nance Jr.	0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.17,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.19,0.19	0.06	0.12	-0.01	11	64%	0.24	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Collin Sexton	0.07	0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.13,0.13,0.29,0.2,0.11,0.07	0.10	0.01	0.03	18	61%	0.11	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
Cedi Osman	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.00	0.03	0.00	9	52%	0.07	2	-0.04	3	33%	-0.05
Kevin Love	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.03	0.02	-0.06	-0.01	17	57%	0.11	3	-0.14	1	100%	0.02
Matthew Dellavedova	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Porter Jr.	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	11	52%	0.04	3	-0.10	3	67%	-0.00
Darius Garland	-0.07	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.07,-0.07	0.00	-0.07	0.01	11	55%	-0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
John Henson	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.04	-0.06	0.01	10	45%	-0.05	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Dante Exum	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.10	-0.06	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	4	-0.13	0	0%	0.00

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dennis Schroder	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.08,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.21,0.26	0.26	0.13	0.17	0.04	17	67%	0.37	3	-0.11	11	73%	0.03
Steven Adams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.03,0.16,0.16	0.16	-0.01	0.17	0.00	5	46%	0.19	1	-0.03	3	67%	0.00
Abdel Nader	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.04	0.05	0.00	2	83%	0.09	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Nerlens Noel	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.02	-0.02	5	60%	0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chris Paul	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	-0.02	-0.00	9	57%	0.06	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.01
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.07	-0.02	0.03	17	61%	0.10	2	-0.08	4	75%	-0.01
Terrance Ferguson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darius Bazley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.04	-0.00	8	42%	0.00	1	-0.05	3	100%	0.02
Luguentz Dort	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.08	-0.02	0.00	7	29%	-0.04	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Danilo Gallinari	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,-0.01,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	0.04	-0.15	0.01	11	58%	-0.09	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.3	1.7	27.8	14.8	25.5	1.7	33.3	131.0
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.4	134.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE -11.6%

OKC +42.2%

CLE -2.1%

OKC +25.9%

CLE -4.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	OKC	NBA	CLE	OKC	NBA
this game	15.1	13.6	14.2	103.0	107.9	109.6
season	15.1	14.3		106.3	108.8
opponent	14.5	13.8		107.6	114.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	15.6	14.9	15.2	14.6	15.1
OKC	15.0	13.3	12.5	13.7	13.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
John Henson	62	67	0.08	-0.58	0.66	-0.04	4	-10	14	14.8	15.5	-0.68	14.5	11.9	2.61
Cedi Osman	49	50	0.06	-0.56	0.62	-0.03	3	-9	12	14.3	15.8	-1.50	15.0	12.2	2.82
Matthew Dellavedova	11	12	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.05	-1	-5	4	15.0	15.1	-0.06	13.5	13.6	-0.13
Dante Exum	32	32	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.07	-7	1	-8	15.5	14.8	0.66	12.9	14.0	-1.08
Collin Sexton	69	71	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.35	-1	-5	4	15.0	15.3	-0.30	14.3	12.1	2.15
Kevin Love	71	70	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.34	-2	-4	2	14.8	15.6	-0.76	14.0	12.8	1.12
Darius Garland	75	72	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.33	-4	-2	-2	14.9	15.5	-0.57	13.1	14.9	-1.85
Kevin Porter Jr.	64	66	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.27	-8	2	-10	15.7	13.9	1.77	12.8	15.1	-2.34
Larry Nance Jr.	67	65	-0.68	0.18	-0.86	-0.27	-14	8	-22	15.5	14.1	1.43	12.3	15.9	-3.58

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dennis Schroder	70	70	0.71	-0.21	0.91	0.33	13	-7	20	13.1	14.7	-1.53	15.3	14.5	0.79
Steven Adams	63	62	0.40	0.10	0.31	0.34	2	4	-2	14.6	12.0	2.55	14.1	16.6	-2.51
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander	83	82	0.29	0.21	0.07	0.34	-2	8	-10	13.7	13.2	0.54	15.0	15.2	-0.21
Darius Bazley	37	36	0.28	0.22	0.05	0.01	9	-3	12	12.9	14.0	-1.18	16.1	14.5	1.66
Danilo Gallinari	64	64	0.22	0.28	-0.05	0.31	-3	9	-12	14.0	12.9	1.18	14.5	16.1	-1.66
Chris Paul	62	61	0.19	0.31	-0.13	0.22	-1	7	-8	14.4	12.4	2.00	14.3	16.2	-1.85
Abdel Nader	27	28	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.01	4	2	2	13.7	13.6	0.12	15.1	15.0	0.08
Luguentz Dort	37	36	0.12	0.38	-0.27	-0.00	4	2	2	13.8	13.5	0.35	14.7	15.2	-0.51
Nerlens Noel	38	38	0.10	0.40	-0.31	-0.02	4	2	2	12.0	14.6	-2.55	16.6	14.1	2.51
Terrance Ferguson	24	23	0.07	0.43	-0.35	0.07	0	6	-6	12.2	14.1	-1.84	16.8	14.5	2.31

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.5,0.42,0.5,0.44,0.45,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.52,0.42,0.49,0.55,0.67,0.65,0.68,0.71,0.64,0.72,0.79,0.67,0.73,0.71,0.66,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.58,0.53,0.54,0.59,0.64,0.75,0.62,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.7,0.76,0.61,0.53,0.46,0.59,0.84,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 86, CLE 87	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.43,0.51,0.56,0.65,0.58,0.64,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.56,0.64,0.71,0.69,0.75,0.73,0.73,0.71,0.63,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.71,0.65,0.56,0.56,0.67,0.68,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.53,0.58,0.64,0.6,0.72,0.75,0.64,0.68,0.73,1	91.7%
MIL 84, SEA 92	0.5,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.53,0.58,0.55,0.62,0.65,0.7,0.75,0.73,0.81,0.79,0.75,0.7,0.66,0.6,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.62,0.59,0.48,0.63,0.68,0.7,0.57,0.67,0.62,0.62,0.69,0.85,0.78,0.81,0.63,0.94,0.96,1	91.0%
LAC 88, POR 96	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.63,0.6,0.47,0.49,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.68,0.71,0.68,0.64,0.61,0.67,0.75,0.78,0.75,0.71,0.74,0.8,0.76,0.73,0.68,0.65,0.55,0.63,0.62,0.75,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.62,0.68,0.69,0.53,0.61,0.38,0.36,0.78,0.91,1	91.0%