NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Bobcats	85		Excitement	7.7 [328]		MVP	Dan Dickau (NOH): +15.8%
New Orleans Hornets	94		Comeback	1.2 [1085]		LVP	Jackson Vroman (NOH): -24.9%

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Melvin Ely	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.02	0.02	-0.04	9	47%	0.07	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Emeka Okafor	0.04	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04	0.00	0.05	0.01	11	58%	0.07	1	-0.03	9	67%	-0.05
Jason Hart	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01	-0.03	-0.00	-0.04	8	53%	0.08	2	-0.07	3	100%	0.02
Malik Allen	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brevin Knight	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	16	50%	0.04	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Cory Alexander	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Wallace	-0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.03	-0.01	8	72%	0.10	4	-0.13	2	50%	-0.01
Kareem Rush	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	0.00	-0.01	6	33%	-0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Theron Smith	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	2	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Keith Bogans	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.05	-0.08	-0.00	6	29%	-0.12	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.04
Primoz Brezec	-0.13	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13	-0.09	-0.04	-0.00	10	33%	-0.10	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Jason Kapono	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.11	-0.05	-0.00	5	8%	-0.11	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dan Dickau	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.02	0.11	-0.02	14	60%	0.21	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.00
P.J. Brown	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.01,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.04	0.07	-0.00	12	46%	0.07	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.04
Chris Andersen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.00	6	65%	0.02	1	-0.02	5	60%	-0.03
Bostjan Nachbar	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
George Lynch	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	5	60%	0.03	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Casey Jacobsen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	6	43%	0.01	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
J.R. Smith	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.03	-0.06	0.01	10	65%	0.04	2	-0.09	6	83%	0.02
Lee Nailon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.12,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.08	-0.08	-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	14	47%	-0.02	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.02
Speedy Claxton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.03	-0.02	4	0%	-0.09	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jackson Vroman	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.22,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25	-0.25	-0.14	-0.09	0.01	11	33%	-0.19	2	-0.06	8	75%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	2.4	29.5	15.5	25.0	1.8	35.2	134.6
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOH +2.5%

NOH +14.9%

NOH +31.6%

CHA -1.9%

NOH +2.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	NOH	NBA	CHA	NOH	NBA
this game	14.9	14.9	15.5	88.5	96.9	104.0
season	15.5	16.5		99.0	97.7
opponent	15.7	15.1		105.2	105.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	14.9	14.8	15.3	14.8	14.9
NOH	15.1	12.4	16.7	15.8	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Cory Alexander	5	6	0.06	-0.56	0.62	-0.06	4	-13	17	20.2	14.7	5.54	11.5	15.1	-3.62
Jason Kapono	26	26	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-10	11	16.9	14.2	2.71	14.3	15.1	-0.75
Jason Hart	40	39	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.01	0	-9	9	15.5	14.6	0.90	12.8	16.3	-3.52
Malik Allen	7	6	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	0.08	-4	-5	1	16.0	14.9	1.13	16.5	14.8	1.71
Kareem Rush	34	35	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.00	-2	-7	5	15.1	14.9	0.22	15.6	14.5	1.10
Gerald Wallace	58	59	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.10	1	-10	11	13.2	17.6	-4.40	14.9	14.8	0.09
Melvin Ely	30	29	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	0.02	-9	0	-9	18.1	13.5	4.54	14.3	15.1	-0.79
Emeka Okafor	80	81	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.30	-1	-8	7	14.8	15.7	-0.96	14.6	16.4	-1.77
Theron Smith	17	17	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.10	-10	1	-11	18.4	14.2	4.21	16.1	14.6	1.41
Primoz Brezec	75	78	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.28	-4	-5	1	13.8	19.1	-5.37	15.3	13.3	1.97
Brevin Knight	70	72	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	-0.19	-10	1	-11	14.0	17.4	-3.39	15.1	14.4	0.62
Keith Bogans	38	37	-0.54	0.04	-0.59	-0.22	-11	2	-13	15.0	14.9	0.13	16.5	13.9	2.57

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lee Nailon	54	53	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.15	16	-7	23	14.8	15.0	-0.19	15.4	14.3	1.09
P.J. Brown	76	75	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.21	11	-2	13	14.6	16.0	-1.47	14.2	17.7	-3.48
Dan Dickau	60	58	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.24	4	5	-1	14.7	15.2	-0.52	13.7	16.9	-3.27
Casey Jacobsen	37	37	0.32	0.18	0.15	0.03	10	-1	11	14.9	14.9	-0.05	17.2	13.6	3.60
Jackson Vroman	72	72	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.21	3	6	-3	15.4	13.5	1.91	14.7	15.7	-1.01
Chris Andersen	44	44	0.25	0.25	-0.01	0.04	7	2	5	14.9	14.9	-0.02	16.5	13.7	2.82
J.R. Smith	60	59	0.18	0.32	-0.15	0.21	-1	10	-11	14.9	14.9	0.05	13.6	17.2	-3.60
Speedy Claxton	37	38	0.14	0.36	-0.22	-0.00	5	4	1	15.2	14.7	0.52	16.9	13.7	3.27
Bostjan Nachbar	18	18	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.05	-2	11	-13	11.6	15.6	-4.03	14.3	15.1	-0.82
George Lynch	27	26	-0.19	0.69	-0.88	0.05	-8	17	-25	16.9	14.1	2.71	14.7	15.0	-0.30

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.64,0.71,0.73,0.71,0.72,0.65,0.72,0.73,0.76,0.8,0.8,0.7,0.62,0.63,0.61,0.7,0.64,0.52,0.59,0.62,0.63,0.6,0.71,0.66,0.57,0.62,0.76,0.77,0.73,0.65,0.61,0.81,0.72,0.78,0.95,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 89, HOU 94	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.6,0.58,0.62,0.66,0.65,0.67,0.66,0.64,0.71,0.81,0.81,0.73,0.7,0.65,0.63,0.51,0.61,0.67,0.68,0.59,0.59,0.63,0.74,0.78,0.7,0.7,0.71,0.71,0.81,0.64,0.66,0.66,0.75,0.79,0.99,0.98,1	93.2%
ATL 84, CHI 91	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.62,0.67,0.67,0.7,0.66,0.71,0.71,0.72,0.67,0.63,0.66,0.6,0.61,0.67,0.64,0.71,0.66,0.59,0.63,0.52,0.6,0.62,0.52,0.71,0.67,0.68,0.74,0.76,0.66,0.85,0.93,0.91,0.98,1	93.0%
WAS 94, DET 98	0.5,0.51,0.47,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.57,0.6,0.64,0.63,0.6,0.64,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.65,0.75,0.78,0.72,0.75,0.75,0.54,0.6,0.57,0.61,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.59,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.68,0.58,0.66,0.67,0.76,0.88,0.89,0.71,0.73,0.68,0.72,0.85,0.96,1	92.9%