NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	108		Excitement	7.9 [282]		MVP	Channing Frye (CLE): +17.8%
Cleveland Cavaliers	109		Comeback	1.6 [821]		LVP	CJ Miles (IND): -27.4%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jeff Teague	0.13	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.22,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.05	0.09	0.00	10	56%	0.15	1	-0.02	7	100%	0.04
Paul George	0.12	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.2,0.2,0.22,0.22,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.03,-0.04,-0.04,0.12	0.10	0.03	0.01	19	64%	0.24	4	-0.12	7	71%	-0.04
Lance Stephenson	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.12,0.1,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.07,0.07	0.08	-0.03	-0.03	13	62%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Brooks	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.00	3	83%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Thaddeus Young	0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.02	4	80%	0.07	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Kevin Seraphin	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	-0.02	0.01	6	67%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Lavoy Allen	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Monta Ellis	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.01	-0.04	0.01	8	61%	0.02	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Myles Turner	-0.06	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	0.01	12	42%	-0.01	1	-0.06	2	50%	-0.02
CJ Miles	-0.27	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.27	-0.00	-0.27	-0.00	6	42%	-0.27	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Channing Frye	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.12	0.05	0.00	5	110%	0.18	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
LeBron James	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.16,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.27,0.24,0.21,0.21,0.22,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.23,0.23,0.21,0.25,0.23,0.23,0.18,0.25,0.25,0.26,0.17	0.17	0.15	0.02	0.00	20	65%	0.24	3	-0.08	9	67%	-0.04
Kyle Korver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.04	0.00	1	100%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Deron Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.01	-0.00	4	62%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tristan Thompson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	0.01	5	62%	0.05	1	-0.02	3	0%	-0.04
Richard Jefferson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	3	50%	0.01	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Kevin Love	0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.03	-0.01	0.02	9	65%	0.08	3	-0.08	8	62%	-0.03
JR Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	4	60%	0.06	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.03
Kyrie Irving	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.12,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.02	0.01	27	42%	0.01	2	-0.06	1	0%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.2	3.0	33.0	16.5	26.5	3.3	33.4	145.1
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +38.6%

IND -2.8%

IND -6.7%

CLE +9.2%

CLE +11.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	CLE	NBA	IND	CLE	NBA
this game	15.1	16.7	14.8	117.4	122.5	107.7
season	14.9	14.9		107.5	113.5
opponent	14.7	14.8		109.6	108.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	14.4	14.0	14.8	17.9	15.1
CLE	14.4	15.4	18.0	20.0	16.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Thaddeus Young	62	60	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.14	6	-7	13	15.6	14.0	1.60	17.2	15.8	1.36
Lavoy Allen	10	9	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	-0.04	0	-1	1	10.2	15.7	-5.51	16.6	16.8	-0.21
Aaron Brooks	15	14	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	-0.03	-1	0	-1	15.9	14.9	0.99	14.4	17.2	-2.74
Myles Turner	62	59	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.40	7	-8	15	15.0	15.4	-0.38	17.5	15.3	2.12
Lance Stephenson	49	49	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.45	7	-8	15	15.8	14.3	1.56	16.7	16.8	-0.20
Kevin Seraphin	30	30	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.07	-8	7	-15	15.4	15.0	0.38	15.3	17.5	-2.12
Monta Ellis	55	53	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.07	-9	8	-17	14.8	15.6	-0.86	16.5	17.1	-0.67
CJ Miles	28	29	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.35	-3	2	-5	16.6	14.5	2.10	15.9	17.1	-1.25
Jeff Teague	69	66	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	-0.38	-2	1	-3	14.2	17.8	-3.57	17.3	15.3	2.00
Paul George	80	76	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	-0.44	-2	1	-3	15.2	14.4	0.80	17.0	15.5	1.50

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
LeBron James	80	82	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.39	5	-4	9	16.8	16.3	0.45	15.3	13.8	1.47
Kyrie Irving	73	76	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.40	3	-2	5	16.5	17.9	-1.38	14.5	17.9	-3.35
JR Smith	68	71	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.39	2	-1	3	16.8	16.6	0.22	14.5	17.3	-2.88
Tristan Thompson	58	63	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.35	3	-2	5	16.4	17.3	-0.89	13.7	18.1	-4.32
Richard Jefferson	33	34	0.33	0.17	0.17	0.25	3	-2	5	17.0	16.6	0.41	15.0	15.2	-0.13
Kevin Love	59	62	0.17	0.33	-0.17	0.25	-3	4	-7	16.7	16.8	-0.04	14.9	15.6	-0.68
Deron Williams	18	19	0.04	0.46	-0.43	0.07	-1	2	-3	17.4	16.6	0.81	17.3	14.5	2.72
Channing Frye	28	26	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.12	-3	4	-7	17.5	16.4	1.16	18.7	13.7	5.00
Kyle Korver	28	27	0.01	0.48	-0.47	0.13	-4	5	-9	16.3	17.0	-0.67	16.8	14.4	2.41

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.63,0.56,0.58,0.62,0.65,0.63,0.64,0.71,0.61,0.71,0.67,0.67,0.7,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.64,0.67,0.65,0.59,0.66,0.73,0.88,0.87,0.81,0.84,0.79,0.89,0.85,0.83,0.84,0.86,0.61,0.45,0.77,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
NOP 80, WAS 83	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.55,0.63,0.61,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.58,0.63,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.56,0.58,0.53,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.54,0.58,0.59,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.64,0.68,0.68,0.69,0.66,0.7,0.71,0.81,0.81,0.85,0.89,0.85,0.83,0.76,0.82,0.53,0.46,0.86,0.92,1	92.6%
ORL 97, MIA 103	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.54,0.48,0.47,0.39,0.4,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.62,0.64,0.62,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.64,0.61,0.58,0.64,0.58,0.69,0.6,0.58,0.64,0.64,0.65,0.72,0.72,0.77,0.83,0.94,0.96,0.9,0.93,0.89,0.81,0.83,0.85,0.87,0.85,0.63,0.85,0.92,1	92.5%
MIL 92, ORL 96	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.59,0.58,0.57,0.57,0.61,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.64,0.67,0.6,0.63,0.61,0.54,0.56,0.64,0.56,0.54,0.62,0.69,0.7,0.73,0.76,0.74,0.68,0.59,0.71,0.7,0.68,0.74,0.85,0.82,0.84,0.81,0.74,0.8,0.73,0.47,0.54,0.68,0.92,1	92.0%