inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Memphis Grizzlies 98 Excitement6.8 [473] MVPMichael Finley (SAS): +31.3%
San Antonio Spurs 105 Comeback1.5 [1025] LVPDamon Stoudamire (MEM): -10.1%


Memphis Grizzlies
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Mike Miller0.120,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.14,0.14,0.2,0.2,0.27,0.13,0.120.060.04-0.021761%0.173-0.052100%0.04
Hakim Warrick0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.030.080.00765%0.172-0.063100%0.04
Chucky Atkins0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.070.010.00779%0.101-0.0200%0.00
Rudy Gay0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.010.01475%0.081-0.04450%-0.02
Pau Gasol0.030,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.040.020.031357%0.051-0.022100%0.01
Dahntay Jones0.010,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.010.01-0.02450%0.031-0.0200%0.00
Jake Tsakalidis0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Alexander Johnson-0.030,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.030.06-0.060.04482%0.001-0.033100%0.01
Stromile Swift-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.02-0.020.00743%-0.011-0.0400%0.00
Eddie Jones-0.090,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.05-0.030.01425%-0.051-0.0300%0.00
Damon Stoudamire-0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.01-0.09-0.00847%-0.051-0.061100%0.00

San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Michael Finley0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.310.310.170.14-0.001091%0.331-0.02250%-0.00
Tim Duncan0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.07,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.18,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.090.000.01881%0.143-0.051050%-0.16
Francisco Elson0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.060.040.013100%0.122-0.043100%0.01
Bruce Bowen0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.080.07-0.010.07-0.021154%0.173-0.10250%-0.02
Brent Barry0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.020.040.00271%0.0600.003100%0.06
Manu Ginobili0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.040.000.00960%0.071-0.032100%0.01
Jacque Vaughn0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.010.00-0.00333%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Matt Bonner0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.01-0.00-0.00333%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Robert Horry0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.03-0.01-0.00437%0.011-0.0400%0.00
Fabricio Oberto0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.04-0.01-0.0000%0.002-0.0500%0.00
Tony Parker0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.07,-0.07-0.070.00-0.080.001455%0.093-0.17580%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.92.431.218.825.22.534.2139.2
league avg28.72.429.915.926.52.434.0141.5
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
SAS +55.8%
MEM -7.4%
SAS +11.7%
MEM -9.2%
MEM -0.8%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMEMSASNBAMEMSASNBA
this game17.515.815.4112.6122.1104.5
season15.116.2105.1107.5
opponent15.415.198.9110.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MEM19.016.318.416.617.5
SAS14.415.018.515.415.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Alexander Johnson23250.14-0.640.79-0.1510-172718.117.30.8316.215.60.67
Chucky Atkins1920-0.07-0.430.36-0.01-2-5315.718.0-2.3514.216.2-2.04
Dahntay Jones4344-0.09-0.410.32-0.3810-172718.216.81.3717.414.13.27
Jake Tsakalidis1110-0.15-0.350.200.02-6-1-515.717.8-2.0516.815.61.17
Stromile Swift4140-0.21-0.290.08-0.06-5-2-316.718.2-1.5315.416.0-0.59
Pau Gasol4041-0.21-0.290.08-0.210-7719.016.22.8416.615.01.66
Hakim Warrick5249-0.21-0.290.07-0.01-70-717.517.50.0015.516.1-0.55
Damon Stoudamire5857-0.26-0.24-0.02-0.23-1-6518.116.31.7615.915.40.48
Rudy Gay2526-0.26-0.24-0.030.12-136-1917.017.7-0.7814.216.5-2.31
Mike Miller7573-0.29-0.21-0.08-0.321-8917.616.80.7916.213.62.54
Eddie Jones4845-0.880.38-1.26-0.24-2215-3716.618.7-2.1314.317.4-3.15

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Michael Finley47470.68-0.180.860.3611-41514.916.8-1.8816.718.4-1.73
Tony Parker67680.58-0.080.670.2611-41516.214.22.0017.417.8-0.35
Bruce Bowen58590.380.120.260.2643115.815.70.1318.415.72.61
Tim Duncan70710.380.120.260.3516-516.114.51.5617.617.20.33
Manu Ginobili45470.240.26-0.020.1243116.015.50.4418.017.00.96
Fabricio Oberto21210.190.31-0.130.0743116.515.51.0018.517.21.26
Matt Bonner670.140.36-0.22-0.0461516.215.70.4313.617.9-4.29
Brent Barry29280.060.44-0.380.0316-515.615.9-0.2715.518.5-2.92
Francisco Elson42430.000.50-0.490.03-18-915.815.70.1318.616.52.10
Robert Horry2625-0.060.56-0.62-0.00-29-1115.515.9-0.4416.717.8-1.12
Jacque Vaughn1919-0.080.58-0.670.03-411-1514.216.2-2.0017.817.40.35


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.63,0.61,0.57,0.63,0.54,0.54,0.6,0.64,0.62,0.65,0.72,0.76,0.73,0.78,0.83,0.85,0.88,0.9,0.91,0.88,0.78,0.73,0.72,0.69,0.75,0.62,0.59,0.71,0.84,0.74,0.74,0.79,0.8,0.68,0.59,0.66,0.4,0.53,0.72,0.67,0.95,1
GameSimilarity Score
BOS 101, ATL 1020.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.6,0.59,0.6,0.63,0.66,0.68,0.63,0.62,0.66,0.72,0.7,0.7,0.68,0.75,0.8,0.78,0.84,0.8,0.86,0.88,0.88,0.91,0.9,0.9,0.82,0.78,0.79,0.79,0.72,0.84,0.79,0.8,0.79,0.78,0.81,0.75,0.76,0.77,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.61,0.72,0.84,0.92,191.5%
CHA 87, MIA 950.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.6,0.61,0.59,0.63,0.62,0.55,0.6,0.66,0.68,0.7,0.79,0.75,0.74,0.76,0.79,0.84,0.84,0.87,0.94,0.94,0.91,0.86,0.85,0.73,0.76,0.77,0.85,0.91,0.87,0.86,0.79,0.78,0.89,0.71,0.72,0.77,0.64,0.71,0.53,0.55,0.64,0.77,0.99,191.1%
NJN 92, DET 990.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.5,0.59,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.69,0.71,0.76,0.77,0.78,0.77,0.74,0.78,0.75,0.76,0.77,0.75,0.67,0.67,0.71,0.68,0.69,0.66,0.74,0.79,0.78,0.66,0.57,0.67,0.63,0.47,0.53,0.67,0.69,0.78,0.84,0.98,191.0%