NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	119		Excitement	6.9 [469]		MVP	Max Strus (CLE): +35.9%
LA Clippers	132		Comeback	2.7 [340]		LVP	Donovan Mitchell (CLE): -9.7%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Max Strus	0.36	0,0,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.33,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36	0.24	0.13	0.01	12	89%	0.36	0	0.00	3	100%	0.03
De'Andre Hunter	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.15	-0.02	0.02	10	81%	0.11	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.03
Dean Wade	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darius Garland	0.02	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.01	14	55%	0.09	2	-0.07	3	100%	0.01
Evan Mobley	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.04	-0.02	0.01	12	57%	0.05	1	-0.04	6	50%	-0.02
Jarrett Allen	0.00	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.00	0.01	7	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.04
Jaylon Tyson	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Javonte Green	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Craig Porter Jr.	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ty Jerome	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	-0.00	9	43%	-0.00	0	0.00	5	40%	-0.06
Isaac Okoro	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.05	0.01	-0.03	4	37%	0.04	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Sam Merrill	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Donovan Mitchell	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.04	-0.07	-0.01	18	43%	-0.05	2	-0.05	6	100%	0.02

LA Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kawhi Leonard	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.19,0.21,0.24,0.25,0.29,0.29,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.27,0.3,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.26,0.27,0.27,0.27	0.27	0.22	0.08	0.03	19	79%	0.29	2	-0.02	4	100%	0.04
Bogdan Bogdanovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.17,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.23	0.20	0.07	0.04	8	125%	0.29	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Ivica Zubac	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.12,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.16	0.05	0.02	18	68%	0.21	1	-0.03	5	40%	-0.05
Derrick Jones Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.14,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.05	0.05	-0.00	6	71%	0.12	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
James Harden	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.02	0.02	18	47%	0.03	0	0.00	11	91%	0.05
Norman Powell	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	-0.00	0.01	6	69%	0.07	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.02
Amir Coffey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	4	37%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kris Dunn	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	33%	0.00	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Ben Simmons	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Nicolas Batum	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	2	75%	0.02	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.4	2.5	27.5	15.5	36.9	2.0	31.0	141.7
league avg	25.9	2.3	28.2	14.9	28.6	2.3	32.2	135.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +29.8%

LAC +9.2%

LAC +12.9%

CLE -1.6%

CLE -0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	LAC	NBA	CLE	LAC	NBA
this game	14.4	15.8	14.4	125.3	137.5	113.0
season	13.7	14.9		120.5	113.8
opponent	14.4	14.9		109.1	110.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	13.3	16.8	15.0	12.7	14.4
LAC	14.3	16.7	13.8	18.6	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Darius Garland	65	65	0.17	-0.67	0.84	-0.06	8	-21	29	13.8	15.8	-2.01	16.1	15.1	1.03
Jarrett Allen	65	65	0.17	-0.67	0.84	-0.06	8	-21	29	13.8	15.8	-2.01	16.1	15.1	1.03
Isaac Okoro	22	22	0.15	-0.65	0.80	-0.05	7	-20	27	14.0	14.5	-0.57	18.7	14.9	3.85
Jaylon Tyson	1	2	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.00	0	-13	13	13.0	14.4	-1.40	26.0	15.5	10.46
Javonte Green	1	2	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.00	0	-13	13	13.0	14.4	-1.40	26.0	15.5	10.46
Craig Porter Jr.	1	2	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.00	0	-13	13	13.0	14.4	-1.40	26.0	15.5	10.46
Max Strus	55	54	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	0.01	-2	-11	9	14.2	14.6	-0.41	15.2	16.5	-1.23
De'Andre Hunter	39	39	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.09	-3	-10	7	15.1	13.9	1.12	15.3	16.1	-0.85
Dean Wade	28	29	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.04	-6	-7	1	15.3	14.0	1.27	18.1	14.7	3.36
Ty Jerome	39	39	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.01	-14	1	-15	15.8	13.4	2.43	14.3	16.7	-2.40
Sam Merrill	28	28	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.07	-17	4	-21	15.5	13.9	1.52	14.5	16.3	-1.73
Donovan Mitchell	68	69	-0.67	0.17	-0.83	-0.11	-19	6	-25	14.0	15.4	-1.42	15.1	17.5	-2.45
Evan Mobley	63	64	-0.90	0.40	-1.29	-0.10	-27	14	-41	14.3	14.5	-0.17	15.0	17.4	-2.42

LA Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ben Simmons	28	27	0.64	-0.14	0.77	0.14	17	-4	21	13.5	16.7	-3.19	15.3	14.0	1.27
Bogdan Bogdanovic	57	55	0.64	-0.14	0.77	0.08	19	-6	25	16.5	14.7	1.84	14.5	14.3	0.20
Derrick Jones Jr.	43	42	0.51	-0.01	0.53	0.01	17	-4	21	14.2	17.0	-2.81	15.2	13.8	1.39
Nicolas Batum	34	34	0.42	0.08	0.33	0.21	7	6	1	14.9	16.3	-1.41	14.3	14.4	-0.15
Kawhi Leonard	71	71	0.24	0.26	-0.02	-0.02	9	4	5	16.2	14.6	1.57	14.3	14.5	-0.20
Amir Coffey	30	28	0.23	0.27	-0.04	-0.09	11	2	9	18.6	14.5	4.13	14.1	14.5	-0.40
James Harden	78	77	0.22	0.28	-0.07	0.13	3	10	-7	15.5	16.9	-1.39	14.2	15.3	-1.10
Kris Dunn	34	35	-0.09	0.59	-0.67	0.12	-7	20	-27	15.4	16.0	-0.59	14.8	14.1	0.70
Ivica Zubac	68	68	-0.14	0.64	-0.77	-0.02	-4	17	-21	16.7	13.5	3.19	14.0	15.3	-1.27
Norman Powell	37	38	-0.17	0.67	-0.83	0.04	-7	20	-27	15.1	16.2	-1.15	13.8	14.8	-0.96

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.46,0.39,0.42,0.35,0.39,0.37,0.35,0.32,0.29,0.34,0.34,0.4,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.34,0.41,0.36,0.41,0.36,0.37,0.41,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.52,0.38,0.34,0.44,0.56,0.66,0.74,0.85,0.93,0.88,0.87,0.88,0.86,0.89,0.98,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
IND 86, CLE 98	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.44,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.32,0.31,0.42,0.42,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.44,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.4,0.49,0.42,0.52,0.42,0.48,0.62,0.56,0.44,0.4,0.56,0.7,0.74,0.75,0.87,0.81,0.9,0.92,0.78,0.9,0.97,1,1,1	93.5%
IND 88, SEA 99	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.41,0.39,0.37,0.39,0.38,0.4,0.37,0.41,0.45,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.42,0.41,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.64,0.7,0.81,0.79,0.79,0.81,0.74,0.76,0.9,0.9,0.96,0.97,1,1	93.1%
ORL 83, IND 93	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.38,0.39,0.43,0.45,0.4,0.32,0.37,0.38,0.44,0.42,0.46,0.49,0.52,0.44,0.39,0.39,0.44,0.41,0.46,0.34,0.37,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.38,0.55,0.45,0.44,0.56,0.72,0.78,0.78,0.82,0.89,0.93,0.98,0.94,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1	93.1%