NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	86		Excitement	6.1 [640]		MVP	Reggie Miller (IND): +10.7%
Cleveland Cavaliers	98		Comeback	2.4 [796]		LVP	Stephen Jackson (IND): -18.5%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Reggie Miller	0.11	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.10	0.03	0.01	13	71%	0.15	1	-0.04	15	93%	0.08
Anthony Johnson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.04	-0.00	0.03	10	68%	0.04	2	-0.03	5	80%	0.02
James Jones	-0.00	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	50%	0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Foster	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.00	2	67%	0.03	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Scot Pollard	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	5	55%	0.01	1	-0.04	1	0%	-0.01
Austin Croshere	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	6	44%	-0.04	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.02
Eddie Gill	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Dale Davis	-0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	6	36%	-0.04	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Fred Jones	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.11	-0.07	-0.01	5	8%	-0.14	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
Stephen Jackson	-0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.19,-0.19	-0.16	-0.08	-0.05	16	34%	-0.09	3	-0.09	6	100%	0.04

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
LeBron James	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.03	0.03	-0.01	23	61%	0.19	4	-0.12	11	91%	0.04
Anderson Varejao	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	0.00	0.02	4	80%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Robert Traylor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	4	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.02	0.04	15	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Eric Snow	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	0.01	4	58%	0.02	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.02
Ira Newble	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	6	29%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Drew Gooden	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	0.01	-0.01	15	38%	-0.04	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Jeff McInnis	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	8	35%	-0.06	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Sasha Pavlovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	5	25%	-0.07	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jiri Welsch	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	2	25%	-0.07	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.9	2.3	35.3	15.8	28.2	1.8	33.2	140.5
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +17.6%

IND -9.0%

CLE +9.8%

CLE +29.1%

CLE +2.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	CLE	NBA	IND	CLE	NBA
this game	16.6	17.7	15.5	102.4	116.7	104.0
season	16.8	16.2		101.9	104.6
opponent	15.3	15.5		103.9	101.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	17.3	15.0	16.6	17.6	16.6
CLE	19.7	17.7	15.4	18.4	17.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dale Davis	54	54	0.05	-0.55	0.61	-0.12	6	-18	24	15.8	18.1	-2.27	18.8	15.7	3.13
James Jones	29	28	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.04	-2	-10	8	17.2	16.3	0.92	17.5	17.7	-0.21
Reggie Miller	63	63	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	-0.08	-1	-11	10	15.3	20.4	-5.10	18.4	15.6	2.81
Scot Pollard	50	51	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	-0.17	2	-14	16	16.2	17.2	-1.06	19.1	15.5	3.51
Anthony Johnson	62	63	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.06	-3	-9	6	15.7	19.1	-3.37	18.7	14.6	4.14
Eddie Gill	22	21	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.08	-9	-3	-6	19.1	15.7	3.37	14.6	18.7	-4.14
Jeff Foster	31	30	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.03	-12	0	-12	17.4	16.1	1.29	15.8	18.7	-2.87
Fred Jones	34	32	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.16	-9	-3	-6	18.0	15.7	2.34	16.3	18.5	-2.26
Stephen Jackson	47	50	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	0.01	-16	4	-20	17.0	16.1	0.84	17.6	17.8	-0.14
Austin Croshere	28	28	-0.54	0.04	-0.57	-0.07	-16	4	-20	18.0	15.9	2.04	15.2	18.9	-3.64

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sasha Pavlovic	44	43	0.69	-0.19	0.87	0.10	20	-8	28	17.3	18.1	-0.85	18.4	14.7	3.66
Eric Snow	48	48	0.66	-0.16	0.83	0.17	17	-5	22	17.0	18.6	-1.68	16.6	16.6	0.04
Anderson Varejao	31	32	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.00	15	-3	18	17.5	17.8	-0.26	18.0	15.8	2.20
LeBron James	75	75	0.40	0.10	0.31	0.05	12	0	12	18.0	15.3	2.63	16.4	18.7	-2.31
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	54	53	0.25	0.25	-0.00	0.19	2	10	-8	18.9	15.5	3.44	16.2	17.3	-1.13
Robert Traylor	28	28	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.06	5	7	-2	16.4	18.3	-1.93	17.3	16.2	1.07
Jiri Welsch	18	18	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.12	0	12	-12	16.7	18.0	-1.29	14.1	17.3	-3.18
Drew Gooden	51	51	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.10	0	12	-12	17.5	18.0	-0.58	15.6	18.1	-2.44
Ira Newble	31	31	-0.17	0.67	-0.85	0.03	-7	19	-26	18.2	17.4	0.77	16.2	16.8	-0.66
Jeff McInnis	40	41	-0.20	0.70	-0.90	-0.08	-4	16	-20	18.2	17.2	1.00	16.8	16.5	0.29

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.44,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.32,0.31,0.42,0.42,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.44,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.4,0.49,0.42,0.52,0.42,0.48,0.62,0.56,0.44,0.4,0.56,0.7,0.74,0.75,0.87,0.81,0.9,0.92,0.78,0.9,0.97,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
IND 88, SEA 99	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.41,0.39,0.37,0.39,0.38,0.4,0.37,0.41,0.45,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.42,0.41,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.64,0.7,0.81,0.79,0.79,0.81,0.74,0.76,0.9,0.9,0.96,0.97,1,1	94.1%
DAL 89, SAS 98	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.41,0.41,0.39,0.43,0.36,0.29,0.34,0.24,0.29,0.36,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.41,0.46,0.42,0.36,0.46,0.49,0.41,0.46,0.36,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.59,0.59,0.63,0.48,0.56,0.66,0.57,0.62,0.79,0.85,0.86,0.85,0.78,0.94,0.93,1,1,1	93.7%
MIA 103, TOR 111	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.42,0.36,0.37,0.39,0.41,0.4,0.35,0.32,0.29,0.28,0.3,0.38,0.36,0.44,0.44,0.47,0.54,0.48,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.46,0.34,0.4,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.55,0.62,0.6,0.59,0.52,0.6,0.66,0.7,0.75,0.83,0.88,0.87,0.76,0.87,0.95,0.84,0.86,0.92,1	93.5%