NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Brooklyn Nets	95		Excitement	5.6 [704]		MVP	Noah Clowney (BKN): +14.0%
Miami Heat	110		Comeback	1.4 [1122]		LVP	Shake Milton (BKN): -16.0%

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Noah Clowney	0.14	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.11	0.03	0.00	13	66%	0.17	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.02
Tyrese Martin	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.11	0.07	0.04	7	100%	0.18	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Cameron Johnson	0.07	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.05	-0.02	-0.04	15	59%	0.08	2	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Reece Beekman	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jaylen Martin	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dariq Whitehead	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ben Simmons	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0.01	2	67%	0.01	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Day'Ron Sharpe	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	9	32%	-0.04	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Keon Johnson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.00	-0.04	0.01	12	58%	0.02	3	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Jalen Wilson	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.05	-0.02	0.03	10	35%	-0.09	1	-0.01	3	67%	-0.01
Nic Claxton	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.08	-0.04	-0.01	7	32%	-0.04	2	-0.06	5	80%	0.01
Shake Milton	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.11	-0.05	-0.00	8	22%	-0.12	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kel'el Ware	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.03	0.09	-0.02	6	75%	0.16	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Alec Burks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.08	0.05	0.00	8	67%	0.13	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Nikola Jovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.15	0.01	0.05	8	90%	0.15	1	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
Bam Adebayo	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.13	0.03	0.07	12	72%	0.13	2	-0.05	8	87%	0.04
Duncan Robinson	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.10	-0.01	0.02	11	77%	0.11	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jaime Jaquez Jr.	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	-0.00	0.01	4	90%	0.08	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Tyler Herro	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	-0.03	-0.00	13	53%	0.05	1	-0.03	6	83%	0.01
Josh Christopher	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	1	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Keshad Johnson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Haywood Highsmith	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	4	37%	-0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Dru Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Pelle Larsson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	-0.01	-0.01	5	17%	-0.05	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.4	2.4	31.4	14.6	27.4	2.6	25.2	131.0
league avg	25.9	2.3	28.2	14.9	28.6	2.3	32.2	135.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIA +46.1%

MIA +8.5%

BKN -7.5%

MIA +0.2%

MIA +2.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BKN	MIA	NBA	BKN	MIA	NBA
this game	15.5	15.0	14.4	101.1	115.8	113.0
season	15.3	15.0		107.6	111.5
opponent	14.6	14.4		112.2	114.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BKN	15.0	12.5	18.7	16.8	15.5
MIA	13.8	13.2	15.6	18.3	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Reece Beekman	2	3	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.15	5	-20	25	14.0	15.5	-1.49	17.7	14.9	2.73
Jaylen Martin	2	3	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.15	5	-20	25	14.0	15.5	-1.49	17.7	14.9	2.73
Dariq Whitehead	2	3	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.15	5	-20	25	14.0	15.5	-1.49	17.7	14.9	2.73
Ben Simmons	57	58	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.13	-5	-10	5	15.6	15.2	0.35	15.6	14.2	1.41
Nic Claxton	57	55	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.03	-6	-9	3	15.8	15.0	0.80	15.6	14.2	1.42
Keon Johnson	55	57	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.23	2	-17	19	14.5	16.9	-2.42	15.4	14.4	1.00
Noah Clowney	57	57	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.15	-14	-1	-13	16.2	14.4	1.82	15.1	14.9	0.25
Tyrese Martin	44	45	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	0.11	-13	-2	-11	14.8	16.0	-1.24	14.5	15.5	-1.05
Day'Ron Sharpe	31	33	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.03	-10	-5	-5	14.4	16.0	-1.60	13.6	15.8	-2.17
Cameron Johnson	64	63	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.10	-15	0	-15	16.3	13.6	2.68	15.2	14.6	0.60
Jalen Wilson	58	58	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.09	-13	-2	-11	15.7	15.0	0.70	14.8	15.3	-0.45
Shake Milton	41	40	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	-0.02	-16	1	-17	15.2	15.7	-0.47	13.8	15.9	-2.07

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nikola Jovic	64	65	0.45	0.05	0.41	-0.16	21	-6	27	14.6	16.0	-1.41	15.2	16.1	-0.98
Kel'el Ware	37	35	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.21	7	8	-1	15.3	14.8	0.45	13.8	16.4	-2.64
Alec Burks	49	50	0.41	0.09	0.32	-0.09	17	-2	19	14.6	15.4	-0.80	15.1	15.9	-0.81
Duncan Robinson	50	51	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.01	11	4	7	14.2	15.9	-1.65	16.3	14.5	1.83
Tyler Herro	74	71	0.32	0.18	0.15	-0.06	13	2	11	15.6	12.9	2.72	16.3	12.9	3.43
Haywood Highsmith	36	36	0.24	0.26	-0.03	-0.20	15	0	15	15.9	14.5	1.40	18.0	13.9	4.08
Pelle Larsson	35	33	0.15	0.35	-0.19	0.30	-5	20	-25	15.9	14.5	1.37	13.5	16.5	-3.09
Dru Smith	17	18	0.13	0.37	-0.23	-0.04	6	9	-3	13.9	15.3	-1.39	10.7	16.6	-5.93
Bam Adebayo	58	59	0.09	0.41	-0.32	-0.15	8	7	1	14.8	15.3	-0.45	16.4	13.8	2.64
Josh Christopher	3	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.15	-5	20	-25	17.7	14.9	2.73	14.0	15.5	-1.49
Keshad Johnson	3	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.15	-5	20	-25	17.7	14.9	2.73	14.0	15.5	-1.49
Jaime Jaquez Jr.	49	48	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.20	-8	23	-31	14.7	15.3	-0.63	15.5	15.4	0.17

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.43,0.46,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.66,0.72,0.72,0.77,0.71,0.72,0.74,0.7,0.77,0.68,0.72,0.58,0.59,0.5,0.55,0.6,0.58,0.61,0.71,0.58,0.62,0.75,0.76,0.77,0.82,0.7,0.81,0.88,0.83,0.9,0.97,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 98, SAS 112	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.5,0.5,0.54,0.51,0.57,0.61,0.57,0.55,0.6,0.63,0.7,0.7,0.79,0.77,0.76,0.74,0.75,0.74,0.69,0.62,0.57,0.5,0.57,0.69,0.64,0.61,0.67,0.55,0.62,0.75,0.8,0.81,0.85,0.92,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.99,0.95,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.0%
DEN 88, CLE 98	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.5,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.57,0.62,0.63,0.6,0.65,0.64,0.66,0.71,0.69,0.69,0.77,0.68,0.67,0.81,0.77,0.73,0.58,0.58,0.54,0.61,0.67,0.7,0.68,0.62,0.69,0.73,0.74,0.72,0.74,0.81,0.85,0.86,0.93,0.97,0.99,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1	93.9%
DEN 102, LAL 116	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.47,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.57,0.62,0.7,0.66,0.7,0.71,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.7,0.7,0.66,0.69,0.61,0.56,0.5,0.52,0.46,0.48,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.72,0.81,0.88,0.84,0.82,0.78,0.81,0.88,0.92,0.81,0.86,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	93.9%