NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Denver Nuggets	88		Excitement	5.8 [673]		MVP	Randy Foye (DEN): +16.0%
Cleveland Cavaliers	98		Comeback	1.2 [479]		LVP	Ty Lawson (DEN): -20.1%

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Randy Foye	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.12	0.07	0.03	8	76%	0.16	0	0.00	5	100%	0.01
Kenneth Faried	0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	0.00	0.02	6	54%	0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Nate Robinson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	0.00	15	45%	0.00	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Wilson Chandler	-0.02	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.03	-0.02	0.03	13	48%	-0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
JJ Hickson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.00	0.01	0.03	13	54%	0.03	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Andre Miller	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Timofey Mozgov	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	6	67%	0.05	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Evan Fournier	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Darrell Arthur	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.01	11	36%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Hamilton	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.03	-0.01	5	30%	-0.05	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Ty Lawson	-0.20	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.21	-0.04	-0.05	13	14%	-0.12	3	-0.08	3	67%	-0.01

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anderson Varejao	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.10	0.02	0.01	9	75%	0.13	1	-0.02	6	67%	-0.03
Anthony Bennett	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	5	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jarrett Jack	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.06	0.02	-0.05	7	40%	0.04	2	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Earl Clark	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Kyrie Irving	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	-0.02	-0.02	20	53%	0.10	3	-0.10	3	100%	0.02
Andrew Bynum	0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	15	44%	-0.00	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Tristan Thompson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.01	-0.01	0.04	13	53%	0.01	2	-0.05	6	83%	0.00
Alonzo Gee	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	0.03	8	39%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
CJ Miles	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	4	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dion Waiters	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.10	-0.00	-0.01	8	28%	-0.03	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.5	2.6	29.0	15.8	29.2	2.0	30.6	130.8
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +18.8%

DEN -1.4%

CLE +28.8%

CLE +1.6%

CLE +2.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DEN	CLE	NBA	DEN	CLE	NBA
this game	14.7	16.6	15.1	95.7	106.5	105.2
season	14.0	15.2		104.5	102.8
opponent	15.3	14.9		106.5	106.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DEN	14.8	14.2	14.6	15.1	14.7
CLE	15.9	15.2	16.0	20.1	16.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Randy Foye	49	50	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	-0.14	3	-13	16	13.4	16.0	-2.60	18.1	14.9	3.28
Evan Fournier	8	9	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	-0.09	-1	-9	8	15.9	14.5	1.33	17.2	16.6	0.64
Wilson Chandler	64	63	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.10	-2	-8	6	14.0	16.2	-2.18	17.0	16.0	0.99
JJ Hickson	53	52	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.10	-3	-7	4	15.2	13.9	1.28	15.0	18.8	-3.86
Darrell Arthur	47	48	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.13	-2	-8	6	14.2	15.2	-0.96	18.1	15.0	3.10
Ty Lawson	67	65	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.12	-3	-7	4	14.1	16.2	-2.11	17.4	14.9	2.53
Kenneth Faried	38	38	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.06	-5	-5	0	14.6	14.7	-0.05	15.1	17.7	-2.57
Jordan Hamilton	20	20	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.01	-7	-3	-4	16.3	14.2	2.09	15.4	17.0	-1.59
Timofey Mozgov	31	32	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.05	-8	-2	-6	14.8	14.6	0.17	17.1	16.4	0.74
Andre Miller	32	33	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.10	-10	0	-10	16.6	13.6	2.96	14.8	17.7	-2.94
Nate Robinson	51	50	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	-0.13	-12	2	-14	15.2	14.0	1.20	16.6	16.7	-0.13

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jarrett Jack	60	60	0.56	-0.06	0.61	0.18	13	-3	16	17.3	15.5	1.80	15.2	13.6	1.59
Anderson Varejao	52	52	0.53	-0.03	0.57	0.15	13	-3	16	16.9	16.3	0.60	15.4	13.7	1.62
Dion Waiters	49	49	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.14	12	-2	14	16.2	17.1	-0.89	15.9	13.2	2.69
Earl Clark	26	26	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.09	6	4	2	15.7	17.0	-1.38	15.7	14.3	1.38
Kyrie Irving	72	73	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.17	3	7	-4	16.4	17.6	-1.29	14.5	15.4	-0.89
Anthony Bennett	20	19	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.03	7	3	4	17.6	16.4	1.29	15.4	14.5	0.89
Tristan Thompson	66	66	0.23	0.27	-0.03	0.12	4	6	-2	17.0	15.7	1.38	14.3	15.7	-1.38
Alonzo Gee	43	43	0.01	0.49	-0.49	0.07	-2	12	-14	17.1	16.2	0.89	13.2	15.9	-2.69
Andrew Bynum	40	40	-0.03	0.53	-0.57	0.05	-3	13	-16	16.3	16.9	-0.60	13.7	15.4	-1.62
CJ Miles	32	32	-0.06	0.56	-0.61	0.03	-3	13	-16	15.5	17.3	-1.80	13.6	15.2	-1.59

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.5,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.57,0.62,0.63,0.6,0.65,0.64,0.66,0.71,0.69,0.69,0.77,0.68,0.67,0.81,0.77,0.73,0.58,0.58,0.54,0.61,0.67,0.7,0.68,0.62,0.69,0.73,0.74,0.72,0.74,0.81,0.85,0.86,0.93,0.97,0.99,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 85, CHA 104	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.53,0.55,0.61,0.65,0.65,0.6,0.6,0.63,0.68,0.64,0.67,0.71,0.76,0.75,0.73,0.78,0.79,0.75,0.73,0.63,0.68,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.62,0.65,0.72,0.66,0.81,0.82,0.87,0.84,0.9,0.95,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.0%
DEN 83, UTA 104	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.48,0.55,0.49,0.57,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.56,0.6,0.64,0.6,0.67,0.72,0.78,0.77,0.77,0.74,0.8,0.79,0.78,0.7,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.58,0.58,0.62,0.68,0.69,0.73,0.67,0.75,0.81,0.74,0.82,0.86,0.93,0.94,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.6%
NYK 108, SAC 115	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.5,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.52,0.63,0.64,0.6,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.71,0.71,0.74,0.61,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.67,0.7,0.58,0.62,0.55,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.66,0.71,0.76,0.7,0.77,0.82,0.74,0.87,0.96,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.94,0.93,0.97,0.99,1,1,1	94.3%