NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	108		Excitement	5.9 [676]		MVP	Allonzo Trier (NYK): +18.3%
Sacramento Kings	115		Comeback	1.3 [1200]		LVP	Noah Vonleh (NYK): -11.2%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Allonzo Trier	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.11,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.14	0.05	0.01	16	62%	0.18	0	0.00	15	67%	-0.06
Kevin Knox	0.07	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.09	-0.00	0.01	6	79%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Henry Ellenson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	6	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Damyean Dotson	0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,0.05,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	10	50%	0.04	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Mitchell Robinson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	-0.00	2	80%	0.05	2	-0.06	1	0%	-0.01
Lance Thomas	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.01	-0.00	5	42%	0.00	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Luke Kornet	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.07,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	6	50%	0.01	2	-0.05	2	50%	0.02
Dennis Smith Jr.	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.01	-0.02	0.05	17	53%	-0.02	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Emmanuel Mudiay	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.00	-0.00	9	40%	-0.01	3	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Noah Vonleh	-0.11	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.05	-0.05	0.01	8	50%	-0.02	3	-0.09	2	50%	-0.01

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Harrison Barnes	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.14	0.04	0.01	13	69%	0.18	0	0.00	6	83%	0.02
Buddy Hield	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.14	0.04	0.01	18	65%	0.21	2	-0.03	7	100%	0.05
Harry Giles III	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.04	0.05	-0.00	9	77%	0.17	4	-0.08	4	75%	-0.01
Nemanja Bjelica	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.02	-0.01	7	57%	0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Yogi Ferrell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bogdan Bogdanovic	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	-0.00	-0.05	11	48%	0.03	4	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Corey Brewer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	2	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
De'Aaron Fox	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.02	12	50%	0.01	2	-0.03	8	62%	-0.01
Willie Cauley-Stein	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	0.03	8	43%	-0.05	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.4	2.5	28.0	14.5	30.3	2.5	36.3	137.5
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +12.1%

SAC +15.5%

SAC +0.5%

SAC +21.9%

SAC +0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	SAC	NBA	NYK	SAC	NBA
this game	14.6	12.8	14.3	102.9	109.5	109.3
season	14.5	13.3		103.8	109.2
opponent	14.3	14.1		110.5	112.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	14.5	15.4	14.0	14.7	14.6
SAC	12.7	13.4	12.1	13.0	12.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Noah Vonleh	74	75	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	-0.28	9	-16	25	14.1	15.8	-1.70	12.9	12.6	0.27
Lance Thomas	34	36	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.12	-2	-5	3	14.2	14.8	-0.64	12.4	13.0	-0.65
Kevin Knox	47	47	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.01	-6	-1	-5	14.5	14.8	-0.27	12.9	12.7	0.11
Luke Kornet	59	56	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.16	-2	-5	3	14.8	14.4	0.44	12.7	12.9	-0.16
Dennis Smith Jr.	65	65	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.15	-3	-4	1	13.9	15.8	-1.92	12.4	13.3	-0.90
Emmanuel Mudiay	40	40	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.15	-4	-3	-1	15.8	13.9	1.92	13.3	12.4	0.90
Henry Ellenson	35	35	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.06	-12	5	-17	15.7	14.1	1.61	11.9	13.3	-1.40
Damyean Dotson	68	67	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.25	-2	-5	3	13.8	16.2	-2.35	13.1	12.3	0.83
Allonzo Trier	64	65	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.31	0	-7	7	15.1	14.0	1.13	12.8	12.7	0.15
Mitchell Robinson	39	39	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.11	-13	6	-19	15.6	14.1	1.55	13.3	12.5	0.82

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nemanja Bjelica	52	51	0.48	0.02	0.45	0.10	13	-6	19	12.9	12.7	0.26	15.0	14.3	0.67
De'Aaron Fox	72	72	0.48	0.02	0.45	0.15	11	-4	15	12.6	13.2	-0.53	14.3	15.3	-1.01
Buddy Hield	76	76	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.14	10	-3	13	12.6	13.2	-0.53	14.3	15.4	-1.12
Harry Giles III	46	47	0.26	0.24	0.01	0.20	2	5	-3	13.3	12.4	0.95	15.7	13.8	1.85
Willie Cauley-Stein	59	58	0.24	0.26	-0.01	0.10	5	2	3	12.4	13.3	-0.95	13.8	15.7	-1.85
Harrison Barnes	81	82	0.22	0.28	-0.05	0.22	0	7	-7	12.7	13.2	-0.49	14.2	16.1	-1.86
Bogdan Bogdanovic	80	81	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.32	-4	11	-15	12.9	12.6	0.30	14.7	14.6	0.07
Yogi Ferrell	30	30	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.13	0	7	-7	13.5	12.5	1.04	15.9	14.1	1.77
Corey Brewer	29	28	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.12	-2	9	-11	12.7	12.8	-0.14	15.5	14.3	1.13

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.5,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.52,0.63,0.64,0.6,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.71,0.71,0.74,0.61,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.67,0.7,0.58,0.62,0.55,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.66,0.71,0.76,0.7,0.77,0.82,0.74,0.87,0.96,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.94,0.93,0.97,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 79, MIA 101	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.64,0.66,0.68,0.72,0.68,0.75,0.71,0.68,0.59,0.64,0.67,0.69,0.75,0.63,0.66,0.57,0.61,0.7,0.73,0.77,0.74,0.81,0.83,0.83,0.75,0.9,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.8%
MIA 92, CLE 102	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.47,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.62,0.65,0.64,0.62,0.73,0.75,0.73,0.68,0.68,0.64,0.67,0.7,0.61,0.63,0.6,0.66,0.73,0.76,0.67,0.72,0.59,0.72,0.76,0.74,0.82,0.85,0.9,0.95,0.95,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.8%
NYK 96, CHI 101	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.57,0.59,0.55,0.61,0.55,0.59,0.6,0.6,0.66,0.64,0.69,0.72,0.65,0.61,0.59,0.64,0.59,0.61,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.67,0.64,0.68,0.59,0.75,0.66,0.67,0.68,0.85,0.87,0.93,0.96,0.98,0.98,1,0.93,0.86,0.96,0.98,1,1	94.7%