inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Dallas Mavericks 79 Excitement4.6 [860] MVPTim Hardaway (MIA): +20.2%
Miami Heat 101 Comeback1.2 [905] LVPAlonzo Mourning (MIA): -13.4%


Dallas Mavericks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jason Kidd0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02-0.050.03-0.041055%0.094-0.062100%0.01
Oliver Miller0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02-0.000.00-0.022100%0.032-0.0200%0.00
Tony Dumas0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Fred Roberts0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.020.000.021100%0.0000.0000%0.00
Greg Dreiling0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.020.000.021100%0.0000.0000%0.00
Derek Harper-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.03-0.00-0.02333%-0.0210.0000%0.00
Eric Montross-0.030,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.06-0.00-0.04933%-0.0310.0000%0.00
George McCloud-0.060,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.05-0.02-0.001245%-0.061-0.01560%-0.02
Samaki Walker-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.03-0.010.02450%-0.041-0.03450%-0.02
Jim Jackson-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.11-0.02-0.051545%-0.005-0.0710%-0.00
Loren Meyer-0.080,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.01-0.01617%-0.061-0.0200%0.00
Chris Gatling-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.04-0.04-0.001550%0.013-0.092100%0.01

Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Tim Hardaway0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.13,0.19,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.20.200.180.030.0113106%0.367-0.165100%0.02
Ike Austin0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.050.03-0.02583%0.101-0.002100%0.01
Gary Grant0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.030.03-0.011150%0.0700.0000%0.00
Keith Askins0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.010.00-0.01462%0.041-0.0200%0.00
Ed Pinckney0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.000.00250%0.0000.0000%0.00
James Scott0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Mark Strickland0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.000.00250%0.0000.0000%0.00
Voshon Lenard0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.050.00-0.0530%0.0000.0000%0.00
P.J. Brown0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.030.00-0.03844%0.021-0.022100%0.01
Dan Majerle0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.06-0.010.06869%0.011-0.0300%0.00
Sasha Danilovic0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.04-0.020.03847%-0.042-0.063100%0.01
Alonzo Mourning0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.13-0.10-0.04-0.00750%-0.034-0.11633%-0.08
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game21.62.026.115.828.01.826.0121.3
league avg32.72.123.215.325.72.133.1135.6
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIA +61.4%
DAL -2.3%
MIA +0.3%
DAL -12.2%
MIA +2.8%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDALMIANBADALMIANBA
this game15.217.115.689.8112.2104.4
season15.915.899.1103.1
opponent16.315.798.3105.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DAL17.114.315.114.515.2
MIA16.417.016.218.917.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Tony Dumas890.00-0.500.50-0.093-252814.215.3-1.0619.416.92.58
Fred Roberts770.00-0.500.50-0.031-232414.315.3-1.0118.317.01.26
Greg Dreiling220.00-0.500.50-0.124-263011.015.3-4.3118.017.10.90
Samaki Walker2425-0.08-0.420.340.12-7-15814.515.5-0.9317.816.90.88
Derek Harper4347-0.19-0.310.13-0.13-2-201814.016.4-2.4217.716.41.30
Oliver Miller4345-0.19-0.310.12-0.10-3-191613.816.6-2.8317.716.61.09
Chris Gatling3939-0.25-0.250.00-0.04-7-15814.715.6-0.8917.217.10.10
Loren Meyer2525-0.26-0.24-0.030.06-11-11016.614.71.9917.117.1-0.06
Eric Montross4343-0.31-0.19-0.120.36-231-2416.913.63.2216.517.7-1.17
George McCloud6868-0.38-0.12-0.250.30-231-2415.713.62.0916.917.8-0.92
Jason Kidd6767-0.39-0.11-0.270.20-20-2-1815.614.11.4116.618.7-2.06
Jim Jackson7173-0.46-0.04-0.410.19-220-2215.414.50.9216.818.6-1.81

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Alonzo Mourning65660.63-0.130.75-0.3433-114416.418.9-2.4916.212.23.98
Dan Majerle73710.57-0.070.65-0.2528-63416.718.9-2.1715.414.41.07
Gary Grant45430.360.140.23-0.161841418.216.12.0714.915.5-0.60
Tim Hardaway60590.350.150.200.001210216.019.3-3.3215.115.4-0.35
Ike Austin44410.320.180.140.06913-417.017.2-0.2413.516.7-3.14
Sasha Danilovic62610.230.27-0.03-0.15139417.217.00.1815.414.80.58
P.J. Brown53530.130.37-0.24-0.10814-618.215.62.5015.714.41.31
Ed Pinckney980.000.50-0.500.09-325-2819.416.92.5814.215.3-1.06
James Scott770.000.50-0.500.03-123-2418.317.01.2614.315.3-1.01
Mark Strickland770.000.50-0.500.03-123-2418.317.01.2614.315.3-1.01
Voshon Lenard980.000.50-0.500.09-325-2819.416.92.5814.215.3-1.06
Keith Askins1616-0.100.60-0.70-0.01-325-2816.117.3-1.2115.115.2-0.11


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.64,0.66,0.68,0.72,0.68,0.75,0.71,0.68,0.59,0.64,0.67,0.69,0.75,0.63,0.66,0.57,0.61,0.7,0.73,0.77,0.74,0.81,0.83,0.83,0.75,0.9,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
MEM 89, LAL 990.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.45,0.5,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.65,0.73,0.71,0.75,0.79,0.76,0.71,0.75,0.71,0.68,0.66,0.75,0.72,0.64,0.7,0.63,0.62,0.63,0.67,0.73,0.79,0.71,0.74,0.78,0.83,0.84,0.79,0.9,0.93,0.98,0.99,1,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,195.6%
UTA 85, GSW 1010.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.55,0.57,0.63,0.67,0.67,0.68,0.65,0.7,0.73,0.75,0.73,0.71,0.63,0.71,0.66,0.69,0.64,0.67,0.63,0.66,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.76,0.77,0.78,0.81,0.92,0.89,0.79,0.81,0.85,0.93,0.92,0.9,0.98,0.92,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,195.4%
WAS 84, PHI 930.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.57,0.63,0.61,0.63,0.62,0.65,0.64,0.62,0.62,0.6,0.65,0.7,0.68,0.73,0.69,0.75,0.75,0.58,0.69,0.66,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.74,0.75,0.72,0.83,0.81,0.75,0.85,0.92,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.93,0.99,1,1,1,195.3%