NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	85		Excitement	4.7 [868]		MVP	Calbert Cheaney (GSW): +15.7%
Golden State Warriors	101		Comeback	1.2 [1053]		LVP	DeShawn Stevenson (UTA): -18.3%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mo Williams	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.06	0.04	-0.01	13	58%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jarron Collins	0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.02	0.01	-0.03	5	64%	0.06	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.01
Paul Grant	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Arroyo	-0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	3	87%	0.04	3	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Raja Bell	-0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	0.02	14	60%	0.01	2	-0.06	14	86%	0.02
Raul Lopez	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.01	-0.02	0.02	8	70%	0.03	4	-0.09	4	100%	0.01
Sasha Pavlovic	-0.12	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.02	-0.02	12	25%	-0.10	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
DeShawn Stevenson	-0.18	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.14	-0.05	-0.01	12	26%	-0.14	2	-0.05	3	100%	0.02

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Calbert Cheaney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.12	0.07	0.03	12	77%	0.18	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Clifford Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.01	-0.01	11	59%	0.07	1	-0.03	5	80%	0.02
Jason Richardson	0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	0.00	0.02	11	69%	0.08	3	-0.07	4	75%	-0.01
Brian Cardinal	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.00	2	60%	0.03	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Avery Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	4	50%	0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Erick Dampier	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	19	44%	-0.00	1	-0.02	3	67%	0.01
Mickael Pietrus	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	2	75%	0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Mike Dunleavy	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.07,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	7	53%	0.02	3	-0.09	3	67%	-0.00
Speedy Claxton	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.05	-0.01	0.03	10	45%	-0.04	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.2	5.7	29.6	19.5	23.2	3.7	31.3	139.1
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +31.9%

GSW +4.3%

GSW +18.0%

UTA -6.3%

GSW +2.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	GSW	NBA	UTA	GSW	NBA
this game	16.5	15.7	15.7	94.4	113.5	100.5
season	17.2	16.1		99.4	100.8
opponent	15.3	15.2		101.6	100.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	17.4	16.9	16.1	15.5	16.5
GSW	13.3	18.2	14.5	17.3	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mo Williams	44	44	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	-0.13	3	-19	22	17.2	15.8	1.47	17.8	13.6	4.15
Paul Grant	27	28	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	-0.08	1	-17	18	15.9	16.7	-0.84	16.7	15.2	1.48
Carlos Arroyo	34	35	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	0.04	-9	-7	-2	16.4	16.5	-0.11	14.4	16.5	-2.14
Raul Lopez	60	59	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.04	-8	-8	0	16.3	16.9	-0.58	16.9	13.4	3.51
Raja Bell	73	74	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.02	-13	-3	-10	16.5	16.2	0.30	15.0	19.2	-4.21
Jarron Collins	63	61	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	0.05	-17	1	-18	16.7	15.9	0.84	15.2	16.7	-1.48
Sasha Pavlovic	70	67	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	0.05	-19	3	-22	16.2	17.4	-1.19	15.0	17.9	-2.88
DeShawn Stevenson	79	77	-0.54	0.04	-0.59	-0.02	-18	2	-20	16.4	16.9	-0.49	15.5	17.1	-1.60

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Erick Dampier	77	78	0.56	-0.06	0.63	-0.02	20	-4	24	15.1	19.7	-4.59	16.4	17.0	-0.60
Speedy Claxton	69	71	0.54	-0.04	0.58	-0.07	21	-5	26	15.2	17.3	-2.13	16.3	17.1	-0.80
Calbert Cheaney	68	68	0.45	0.05	0.39	0.04	14	2	12	16.6	12.8	3.78	16.6	16.1	0.45
Jason Richardson	66	67	0.40	0.10	0.31	0.02	13	3	10	15.5	16.3	-0.82	16.5	16.5	-0.06
Clifford Robinson	69	71	0.38	0.12	0.26	-0.06	15	1	14	15.7	15.7	-0.07	16.2	17.7	-1.53
Brian Cardinal	21	20	0.08	0.42	-0.33	0.14	-2	18	-20	16.1	15.6	0.52	17.4	16.2	1.25
Mike Dunleavy	40	41	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.02	2	14	-12	15.0	16.3	-1.27	16.7	16.3	0.38
Avery Johnson	27	27	0.04	0.46	-0.43	0.07	-1	17	-18	16.9	15.2	1.66	17.0	16.3	0.75
Mickael Pietrus	8	7	-0.03	0.53	-0.57	0.02	-2	18	-20	18.6	15.4	3.22	15.4	16.6	-1.14

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.55,0.57,0.63,0.67,0.67,0.68,0.65,0.7,0.73,0.75,0.73,0.71,0.63,0.71,0.66,0.69,0.64,0.67,0.63,0.66,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.76,0.77,0.78,0.81,0.92,0.89,0.79,0.81,0.85,0.93,0.92,0.9,0.98,0.92,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 79, MIA 101	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.64,0.66,0.68,0.72,0.68,0.75,0.71,0.68,0.59,0.64,0.67,0.69,0.75,0.63,0.66,0.57,0.61,0.7,0.73,0.77,0.74,0.81,0.83,0.83,0.75,0.9,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.4%
GSW 101, UTA 115	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.62,0.65,0.67,0.67,0.69,0.66,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.71,0.75,0.71,0.61,0.66,0.73,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.63,0.6,0.57,0.61,0.67,0.67,0.77,0.68,0.81,0.85,0.78,0.85,0.81,0.87,0.88,0.8,0.91,0.94,0.94,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1	95.2%
BKN 116, POR 130	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.59,0.55,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.65,0.68,0.7,0.76,0.76,0.8,0.73,0.78,0.7,0.68,0.64,0.66,0.56,0.56,0.5,0.66,0.6,0.58,0.61,0.73,0.74,0.75,0.81,0.83,0.78,0.72,0.81,0.84,0.86,0.87,0.88,0.96,0.93,0.95,0.99,0.98,0.98,1,1	95.0%