NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	89		Excitement	4.6 [911]		MVP	Kobe Bryant (LAL): +14.8%
Los Angeles Lakers	99		Comeback	1.2 [1297]		LVP	Lamar Odom (LAL): -15.3%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marc Gasol	0.09	0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.13	0.02	0.05	7	81%	0.11	1	-0.01	7	100%	0.03
Darrell Arthur	-0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	-0.01	0.02	8	62%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Greg Buckner	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darius Miles	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.00	3	67%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
O.J. Mayo	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.03	-0.01	0.04	12	61%	0.02	3	-0.04	4	100%	0.01
Quinton Ross	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	7	56%	0.03	3	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Marko Jaric	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	1	100%	0.02	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Mike Conley	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	13	43%	-0.05	2	-0.01	4	100%	0.01
Hakim Warrick	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.08	-0.00	-0.01	4	10%	-0.05	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Darko Milicic	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.01	0.00	5	20%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Rudy Gay	-0.08	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.03	-0.02	17	41%	-0.03	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kobe Bryant	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.03,0.07,0.06,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.13,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.14	0.02	0.02	23	60%	0.15	0	0.00	6	100%	0.04
Derek Fisher	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.11	0.02	0.01	5	100%	0.12	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Pau Gasol	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.07	0.02	-0.11	13	41%	0.11	3	-0.05	6	50%	-0.03
Sasha Vujacic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.06	0.00	0.04	9	61%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luke Walton	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	-0.00	0.01	6	71%	0.06	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Jordan Farmar	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.01	-0.00	7	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
DJ Mbenga	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	5	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Powell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	-0.00	-0.03	8	50%	0.00	3	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Trevor Ariza	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.11	-0.00	-0.08	6	7%	-0.03	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Lamar Odom	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.13	-0.03	-0.00	8	11%	-0.14	1	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.1	2.7	31.6	16.7	25.5	2.6	27.5	132.7
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +26.0%

MEM -1.3%

LAL +3.9%

LAL +18.7%

LAL +2.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	LAL	NBA	MEM	LAL	NBA
this game	16.4	15.6	15.5	98.9	110.0	106.4
season	16.1	14.9		101.7	110.6
opponent	15.4	15.3		102.6	107.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	21.2	13.8	17.5	13.5	16.4
LAL	10.1	15.0	19.4	18.6	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Greg Buckner	15	13	0.07	-0.57	0.64	-0.08	5	-15	20	12.9	17.1	-4.15	14.9	15.7	-0.80
Quinton Ross	23	25	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.13	1	-11	12	13.4	17.4	-3.97	17.9	14.7	3.20
Marko Jaric	19	19	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	0.13	-8	-2	-6	14.5	16.9	-2.43	16.0	15.5	0.49
Darius Miles	21	18	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.05	-2	-8	6	14.4	17.0	-2.56	17.9	15.0	2.85
Darrell Arthur	51	54	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.28	5	-15	20	16.2	16.7	-0.54	16.6	14.1	2.55
Marc Gasol	65	66	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.22	1	-11	12	15.7	18.3	-2.62	15.5	15.9	-0.36
Hakim Warrick	17	17	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	0.11	-13	3	-16	20.5	15.4	5.03	10.7	16.8	-6.05
Darko Milicic	25	24	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	0.01	-11	1	-12	18.3	15.7	2.62	15.9	15.5	0.36
Mike Conley	71	71	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.34	-2	-8	6	16.9	14.5	2.43	15.5	16.0	-0.49
Rudy Gay	75	75	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.12	-11	1	-12	16.9	13.9	3.03	14.9	19.2	-4.31
O.J. Mayo	68	68	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.07	-15	5	-20	17.4	13.4	3.94	15.5	16.0	-0.45

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lamar Odom	54	55	0.47	0.03	0.44	-0.03	17	-7	24	14.2	17.7	-3.56	18.4	13.2	5.26
Kobe Bryant	54	53	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.09	12	-2	14	14.8	16.8	-1.94	18.7	13.1	5.66
Luke Walton	47	48	0.42	0.08	0.35	-0.08	17	-7	24	13.8	17.6	-3.82	19.1	13.3	5.73
Derek Fisher	51	51	0.39	0.11	0.28	-0.05	15	-5	20	14.1	17.6	-3.45	18.4	13.8	4.62
Pau Gasol	56	57	0.33	0.17	0.17	0.07	9	1	8	15.0	16.6	-1.52	17.6	14.3	3.25
DJ Mbenga	34	33	0.17	0.33	-0.17	0.14	1	9	-8	16.6	15.0	1.52	14.3	17.6	-3.25
Jordan Farmar	39	39	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.26	-5	15	-20	17.6	14.1	3.45	13.8	18.4	-4.62
Trevor Ariza	43	42	0.08	0.42	-0.35	0.28	-7	17	-24	17.6	13.8	3.82	13.3	19.1	-5.73
Sasha Vujacic	36	37	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.12	-2	12	-14	16.8	14.8	1.94	13.1	18.7	-5.66
Josh Powell	36	35	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.24	-7	17	-24	17.7	14.2	3.56	13.2	18.4	-5.26

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.45,0.5,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.65,0.73,0.71,0.75,0.79,0.76,0.71,0.75,0.71,0.68,0.66,0.75,0.72,0.64,0.7,0.63,0.62,0.63,0.67,0.73,0.79,0.71,0.74,0.78,0.83,0.84,0.79,0.9,0.93,0.98,0.99,1,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NOH 80, SAS 99	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.57,0.63,0.66,0.7,0.74,0.7,0.72,0.73,0.73,0.76,0.65,0.61,0.71,0.74,0.75,0.67,0.7,0.71,0.66,0.69,0.78,0.76,0.77,0.74,0.76,0.76,0.86,0.93,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.6%
DAL 79, MIA 101	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.64,0.66,0.68,0.72,0.68,0.75,0.71,0.68,0.59,0.64,0.67,0.69,0.75,0.63,0.66,0.57,0.61,0.7,0.73,0.77,0.74,0.81,0.83,0.83,0.75,0.9,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.6%
IND 88, SAC 107	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.57,0.59,0.65,0.7,0.74,0.73,0.74,0.72,0.66,0.68,0.69,0.8,0.74,0.77,0.73,0.76,0.7,0.59,0.63,0.62,0.69,0.72,0.73,0.79,0.77,0.75,0.76,0.79,0.86,0.87,0.9,0.93,0.94,0.94,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.0%