NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	88		Excitement	4.5 [898]		MVP	Bobby Jackson (SAC): +15.5%
Sacramento Kings	107		Comeback	1.1 [1217]		LVP	Al Harrington (IND): -20.2%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jeff Foster	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.00	7	67%	0.05	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Reggie Miller	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.01	-0.01	9	52%	0.04	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Erick Strickland	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	4	25%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Fred Jones	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	3	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Primoz Brezec	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	-0.00	-0.03	2	33%	-0.02	1	0.00	2	0%	0.00
Ron Mercer	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.10	-0.03	-0.05	13	23%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jermaine O'Neal	-0.09	0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.05	-0.03	0.01	14	57%	0.01	4	-0.10	7	57%	-0.03
Jamaal Tinsley	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.08	-0.02	0.00	11	33%	-0.08	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Al Harrington	-0.20	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.13,-0.11,-0.13,-0.15,-0.17,-0.18,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.17	-0.06	-0.03	26	43%	-0.09	4	-0.11	11	64%	-0.02

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bobby Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.11,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.11	0.01	-0.04	12	68%	0.15	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Doug Christie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.08	0.02	0.01	4	100%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Bibby	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.08	0.01	0.00	11	65%	0.08	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Peja Stojakovic	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.06	0.01	0.02	10	67%	0.06	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Keon Clark	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	0.00	0.02	2	100%	0.04	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Hedo Turkoglu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.01	-0.02	6	60%	0.01	1	0.00	3	100%	0.00
Gerald Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	1	50%	0.00	1	0.00	2	0%	0.00
Lawrence Funderburke	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scot Pollard	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jim Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	4	50%	-0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Vlade Divac	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	8	50%	0.03	4	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Chris Webber	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.14,-0.11,-0.15,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.16	-0.02	-0.02	22	33%	-0.10	2	-0.05	4	50%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.4	2.7	29.0	15.8	27.2	2.7	28.6	129.3
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +51.2%

IND -2.6%

IND -4.0%

SAC +4.1%

SAC +1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	SAC	NBA	IND	SAC	NBA
this game	16.8	14.2	15.5	94.6	115.1	101.6
season	15.4	14.0		102.2	104.4
opponent	15.7	15.5		98.6	99.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	16.0	16.9	15.9	18.4	16.8
SAC	12.8	15.8	14.7	13.7	14.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Primoz Brezec	22	22	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.04	-1	-18	17	13.7	17.7	-3.98	12.8	14.6	-1.82
Erick Strickland	22	21	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	-0.06	-2	-17	15	16.0	17.0	-1.00	13.0	14.6	-1.62
Fred Jones	21	21	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	0.05	-6	-13	7	17.2	16.6	0.55	13.1	14.5	-1.37
Ron Mercer	62	62	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.06	-6	-13	7	17.2	15.9	1.34	15.2	12.2	3.06
Jeff Foster	49	47	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	0.32	-20	1	-21	17.9	15.5	2.35	13.5	15.0	-1.49
Jamaal Tinsley	81	82	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	0.06	-15	-4	-11	16.4	19.2	-2.76	14.3	13.7	0.54
Jermaine O'Neal	58	59	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.04	-12	-7	-5	16.5	17.2	-0.75	14.3	14.0	0.28
Reggie Miller	59	60	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	0.09	-17	-2	-15	17.2	16.1	1.11	14.5	13.6	0.88
Al Harrington	91	91	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.03	-16	-3	-13	16.9	10.0	6.91	14.4	4.0	10.43

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Keon Clark	49	49	0.49	0.01	0.49	-0.15	22	-3	25	14.2	14.2	-0.04	18.5	14.9	3.61
Chris Webber	67	66	0.42	0.08	0.35	-0.19	21	-2	23	13.9	15.1	-1.26	17.3	15.4	1.91
Doug Christie	47	47	0.36	0.14	0.22	-0.05	14	5	9	13.9	14.5	-0.59	16.6	16.9	-0.25
Peja Stojakovic	55	55	0.35	0.15	0.20	-0.00	12	7	5	13.9	14.7	-0.81	15.9	17.9	-2.00
Mike Bibby	58	59	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.04	8	11	-3	14.1	14.5	-0.41	16.2	17.8	-1.62
Vlade Divac	43	44	0.23	0.28	-0.05	0.08	5	14	-9	15.1	13.4	1.65	16.2	17.2	-0.97
Bobby Jackson	47	48	0.17	0.33	-0.16	-0.01	6	13	-7	14.5	13.9	0.53	17.2	16.3	0.92
Jim Jackson	28	28	0.13	0.37	-0.23	-0.10	8	11	-3	15.3	13.7	1.60	19.0	15.8	3.15
Hedo Turkoglu	42	40	0.06	0.44	-0.37	-0.08	5	14	-9	14.6	13.9	0.67	17.5	16.2	1.25
Scot Pollard	11	11	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	21	-23	13.5	14.3	-0.85	13.7	17.2	-3.44
Gerald Wallace	9	9	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	21	-23	12.9	14.3	-1.46	11.8	17.3	-5.52
Lawrence Funderburke	9	9	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	21	-23	12.9	14.3	-1.46	11.8	17.3	-5.52

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.57,0.59,0.65,0.7,0.74,0.73,0.74,0.72,0.66,0.68,0.69,0.8,0.74,0.77,0.73,0.76,0.7,0.59,0.63,0.62,0.69,0.72,0.73,0.79,0.77,0.75,0.76,0.79,0.86,0.87,0.9,0.93,0.94,0.94,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DET 86, DAL 102	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.49,0.54,0.62,0.63,0.65,0.7,0.73,0.73,0.74,0.72,0.71,0.75,0.77,0.82,0.82,0.73,0.71,0.72,0.72,0.64,0.63,0.62,0.72,0.75,0.78,0.76,0.77,0.85,0.89,0.88,0.88,0.9,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.9%
DAL 97, LAL 105	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.61,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.67,0.71,0.73,0.75,0.69,0.64,0.64,0.69,0.73,0.76,0.71,0.78,0.74,0.72,0.67,0.7,0.68,0.69,0.69,0.73,0.67,0.73,0.78,0.76,0.82,0.91,0.92,0.96,0.96,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1	95.8%
DET 86, MIA 100	0.5,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.57,0.62,0.65,0.65,0.68,0.65,0.74,0.67,0.66,0.71,0.75,0.74,0.75,0.68,0.64,0.72,0.64,0.61,0.63,0.57,0.58,0.67,0.7,0.7,0.7,0.77,0.72,0.85,0.89,0.9,0.87,0.87,0.94,0.94,0.97,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	95.4%