inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Detroit Pistons 86 Excitement3.9 [1009] MVPDirk Nowitzki (DAL): +14.3%
Dallas Mavericks 102 Comeback1.1 [869] LVPJosh Howard (DAL): -10.2%


Detroit Pistons
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Chauncey Billups0.060,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.05-0.00-0.011453%0.0600.00250%-0.01
Rodney Stuckey0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.020.00-0.03942%0.0100.00667%-0.01
Jarvis Hayes0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.020.000.01367%0.0100.0000%0.00
Primoz Brezec0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Amir Johnson0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.020.000.021100%0.0000.0000%0.00
Arron Afflalo-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.020.000.03753%-0.0100.001100%0.00
Walter Herrmann-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.03-0.00-0.02437%0.001-0.0200%0.00
Jason Maxiell-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.04-0.00-0.02533%-0.011-0.012100%0.01
Richard Hamilton-0.030,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.050.01-0.011850%0.034-0.0600%0.00
Tayshaun Prince-0.030,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.01-0.01733%-0.0300.004100%0.02
Rasheed Wallace-0.050,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.02-0.020.01950%-0.002-0.0400%0.00
Antonio McDyess-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.02-0.030.01837%-0.0600.0000%0.00

Dallas Mavericks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Dirk Nowitzki0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.140.140.120.01-0.011572%0.182-0.04250%-0.00
Jason Terry0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.110.030.03894%0.122-0.0200%0.00
Jerry Stackhouse0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.12-0.010.021075%0.0900.0000%0.00
Devin Harris0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.040.02-0.011270%0.145-0.083100%0.01
Erick Dampier0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.080.000.033100%0.0500.001100%0.00
Brandon Bass0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.030.01-0.01753%0.0500.0010%-0.01
Juwan Howard0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0200%0.0010.0000%0.00
Trenton Hassell00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Devean George0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.021100%0.0020.0000%0.00
Eddie Jones0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.03-0.00-0.00425%-0.0300.0000%0.00
DeSagana Diop0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.03-0.01-0.00217%-0.0400.00250%0.00
Josh Howard0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.05-0.010.041238%-0.081-0.022100%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.02.826.418.726.23.830.3132.2
league avg27.92.430.016.226.62.433.3140.1
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DAL +47.0%
DAL +0.9%
DET -3.5%
DAL +4.0%
DAL +1.5%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDETDALNBADETDALNBA
this game17.117.115.4103.6120.0105.7
season16.816.1108.8108.9
opponent15.415.8105.0101.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DET17.216.318.216.817.1
DAL14.819.716.018.317.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Walter Herrmann29300.16-0.660.82-0.1912-284015.218.2-3.0319.016.12.92
Amir Johnson660.00-0.500.50-0.155-212614.017.4-3.3920.816.93.97
Primoz Brezec1212-0.00-0.500.50-0.093-192216.217.3-1.0519.216.82.36
Jarvis Hayes2929-0.07-0.430.360.10-6-10417.117.2-0.1219.016.22.77
Arron Afflalo2122-0.08-0.420.33-0.05-1-151417.517.00.5118.316.71.53
Rodney Stuckey3638-0.22-0.280.060.02-8-8017.017.2-0.2118.715.92.84
Richard Hamilton5554-0.28-0.22-0.06-0.01-9-7-216.718.0-1.2917.017.3-0.29
Jason Maxiell3436-0.29-0.21-0.090.09-13-3-1016.517.6-1.0917.117.1-0.00
Rasheed Wallace5355-0.39-0.11-0.280.05-15-1-1418.015.62.4716.718.0-1.33
Chauncey Billups5456-0.42-0.08-0.34-0.01-14-2-1217.516.41.0715.719.9-4.13
Tayshaun Prince4850-0.43-0.07-0.360.01-15-1-1417.616.51.0415.619.3-3.65
Antonio McDyess3837-0.48-0.02-0.450.08-193-2218.316.22.0615.618.3-2.64

Dallas Mavericks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Dirk Nowitzki63610.460.040.43-0.0919-32215.920.7-4.8417.715.52.18
Erick Dampier50500.430.070.36-0.1018-22017.916.11.7918.015.92.10
Devin Harris56540.410.090.33-0.031511417.216.90.3217.516.50.96
Eddie Jones37380.400.100.30-0.1017-11817.616.80.7618.615.92.69
Josh Howard62640.330.170.160.1088017.516.01.5016.917.8-0.90
Jason Terry44420.260.240.01-0.121331016.018.3-2.2717.716.61.15
Brandon Bass31300.150.35-0.190.07313-1019.116.03.0316.317.6-1.32
Jerry Stackhouse42390.100.40-0.30-0.02412-816.218.0-1.7916.218.0-1.77
Juwan Howard430.000.50-0.500.06-218-2019.217.02.2112.317.3-4.99
Trenton Hassell430.000.50-0.500.06-218-2019.217.02.2112.317.3-4.99
Devean George660.000.50-0.500.15-521-2620.816.93.9714.017.4-3.39
DeSagana Diop2625-0.050.55-0.590.19-824-3216.517.4-0.9815.118.0-2.95


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.49,0.54,0.62,0.63,0.65,0.7,0.73,0.73,0.74,0.72,0.71,0.75,0.77,0.82,0.82,0.73,0.71,0.72,0.72,0.64,0.63,0.62,0.72,0.75,0.78,0.76,0.77,0.85,0.89,0.88,0.88,0.9,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
PHX 83, IND 1010.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.57,0.62,0.66,0.64,0.67,0.72,0.69,0.7,0.68,0.7,0.66,0.71,0.77,0.76,0.77,0.76,0.76,0.72,0.7,0.73,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.72,0.76,0.71,0.82,0.85,0.88,0.87,0.89,0.96,0.95,0.91,0.94,0.94,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,196.2%
WAS 109, TOR 1190.5,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.55,0.59,0.64,0.73,0.73,0.76,0.78,0.72,0.74,0.78,0.84,0.77,0.76,0.7,0.69,0.73,0.77,0.67,0.7,0.73,0.63,0.72,0.78,0.81,0.81,0.74,0.83,0.91,0.9,0.91,0.9,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.96,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,196.0%
IND 88, SAC 1070.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.57,0.59,0.65,0.7,0.74,0.73,0.74,0.72,0.66,0.68,0.69,0.8,0.74,0.77,0.73,0.76,0.7,0.59,0.63,0.62,0.69,0.72,0.73,0.79,0.77,0.75,0.76,0.79,0.86,0.87,0.9,0.93,0.94,0.94,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.9%