NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	109		Excitement	4.1 [1008]		MVP	Jose Calderon (TOR): +20.3%
Toronto Raptors	119		Comeback	1.2 [996]		LVP	Anthony Parker (TOR): -11.0%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Antonio Daniels	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.09	-0.00	0.01	7	74%	0.10	1	-0.02	5	100%	0.02
Jarvis Hayes	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.12	0.00	0.06	5	108%	0.07	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Gilbert Arenas	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.07	0.02	0.03	19	55%	0.11	3	-0.06	11	82%	0.00
Brendan Haywood	0.04	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.00	-0.00	4	80%	0.08	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Roger Mason Jr.	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.02	4	37%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Donell Taylor	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Etan Thomas	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.00	0.01	4	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeShawn Stevenson	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	0.02	6	56%	0.02	2	-0.02	6	100%	0.01
Calvin Booth	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	5	40%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andray Blatche	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	3	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.02
Caron Butler	-0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.02	-0.02	0.04	14	62%	0.07	4	-0.10	6	83%	0.00

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jose Calderon	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.17	0.03	0.00	13	80%	0.20	1	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Chris Bosh	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.23	0.02	0.08	19	76%	0.20	1	-0.02	7	43%	-0.06
Andrea Bargnani	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	-0.01	0.02	-0.06	12	48%	0.11	2	-0.03	5	100%	0.02
Morris Peterson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.07	0.01	0.00	7	79%	0.10	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Joey Graham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.01	-0.01	6	67%	0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Rasho Nesterovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.06	0.00	0.02	5	83%	0.06	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
T.J. Ford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	100%	0.04	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Darrick Martin	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jorge Garbajosa	0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	0.01	6	42%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Parker	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.11	-0.02	-0.02	11	41%	-0.01	5	-0.10	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	20.9	1.6	28.4	16.5	28.3	1.6	28.7	126.0
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +41.6%

WAS -6.3%

TOR +7.0%

TOR +3.6%

TOR +4.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	TOR	NBA	WAS	TOR	NBA
this game	13.5	16.0	15.4	111.2	122.7	104.5
season	14.8	15.2		107.8	104.7
opponent	15.4	15.3		104.1	108.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	16.3	14.8	11.8	11.5	13.5
TOR	16.4	13.4	14.4	20.3	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Donell Taylor	4	5	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-11	12	7.2	13.8	-6.56	18.4	15.9	2.52
Roger Mason Jr.	18	20	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.13	2	-12	14	11.3	14.0	-2.70	17.4	15.6	1.75
Etan Thomas	35	35	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.07	-2	-8	6	13.3	13.7	-0.40	15.0	16.6	-1.63
Andray Blatche	36	34	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.06	-4	-6	2	13.0	13.9	-0.90	15.3	16.4	-1.15
Calvin Booth	36	36	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.01	-6	-4	-2	15.6	12.4	3.18	14.9	16.7	-1.78
Antonio Daniels	53	52	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.14	-2	-8	6	13.4	13.7	-0.23	14.4	17.9	-3.46
Jarvis Hayes	41	42	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.19	-1	-9	8	10.9	15.5	-4.62	17.3	15.1	2.21
DeShawn Stevenson	57	57	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.19	-4	-6	2	13.8	13.2	0.59	18.2	12.9	5.29
Brendan Haywood	50	48	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.00	-12	2	-14	14.5	12.6	1.88	15.6	16.4	-0.85
Caron Butler	74	73	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.07	-12	2	-14	14.4	10.7	3.70	15.6	17.2	-1.65
Gilbert Arenas	86	83	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.16	-10	0	-10	13.7	12.7	1.00	16.2	14.6	1.60

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jose Calderon	82	81	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.13	13	-3	16	16.4	14.1	2.30	13.3	14.6	-1.34
Anthony Parker	67	65	0.46	0.04	0.43	0.02	15	-5	20	16.7	14.5	2.14	13.6	13.4	0.18
Chris Bosh	80	81	0.46	0.04	0.43	-0.04	17	-7	24	15.7	17.3	-1.56	13.5	13.8	-0.27
Jorge Garbajosa	42	42	0.31	0.19	0.12	-0.01	11	-1	12	14.5	17.1	-2.58	15.2	12.3	2.85
Joey Graham	34	36	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.12	5	5	0	15.4	16.3	-0.88	12.7	14.0	-1.34
Rasho Nesterovic	53	52	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.12	3	7	-4	15.1	17.1	-1.94	14.9	12.0	2.90
Andrea Bargnani	48	51	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.13	2	8	-6	16.1	15.9	0.27	13.0	14.2	-1.21
Morris Peterson	46	48	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.27	-7	17	-24	16.4	15.7	0.72	13.0	14.0	-1.02
T.J. Ford	31	33	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.22	-7	17	-24	17.3	15.4	1.93	12.7	14.0	-1.32
Darrick Martin	2	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	12	-14	21.5	15.9	5.61	7.0	13.6	-6.61

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.55,0.59,0.64,0.73,0.73,0.76,0.78,0.72,0.74,0.78,0.84,0.77,0.76,0.7,0.69,0.73,0.77,0.67,0.7,0.73,0.63,0.72,0.78,0.81,0.81,0.74,0.83,0.91,0.9,0.91,0.9,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.96,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DET 86, DAL 102	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.49,0.54,0.62,0.63,0.65,0.7,0.73,0.73,0.74,0.72,0.71,0.75,0.77,0.82,0.82,0.73,0.71,0.72,0.72,0.64,0.63,0.62,0.72,0.75,0.78,0.76,0.77,0.85,0.89,0.88,0.88,0.9,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.0%
MIL 99, MIN 116	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.57,0.6,0.63,0.66,0.68,0.72,0.74,0.7,0.75,0.76,0.78,0.79,0.69,0.73,0.74,0.64,0.66,0.69,0.64,0.7,0.7,0.77,0.77,0.8,0.81,0.84,0.84,0.8,0.88,0.9,0.95,0.95,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.96,0.98,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.7%
WAS 79, CHI 98	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.57,0.6,0.65,0.64,0.7,0.7,0.74,0.75,0.74,0.76,0.83,0.8,0.75,0.74,0.76,0.73,0.69,0.74,0.67,0.61,0.58,0.63,0.66,0.72,0.76,0.79,0.74,0.83,0.91,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.9,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.6%