NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	99		Excitement	3.7 [1067]		MVP	Shabazz Muhammad (MIN): +15.9%
Minnesota Timberwolves	116		Comeback	1.0 [839]		LVP	John Henson (MIL): -8.7%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jabari Parker	0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.01	14	62%	0.11	2	-0.05	4	50%	-0.01
Giannis Antetokounmpo	0.06	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.12	-0.01	0.06	14	78%	0.14	3	-0.09	4	75%	0.01
Malcolm Brogdon	0.02	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	8	61%	0.05	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Jason Terry	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.04	0.00	0.03	1	150%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Novak	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.04	1	150%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Miles Plumlee	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Beasley	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	10	55%	0.01	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.00
Mirza Teletovic	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	0.00	0.03	4	80%	0.03	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Tony Snell	-0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	7	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Thon Maker	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Monroe	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	10	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Henson	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.01	0.01	4	40%	-0.02	3	-0.06	2	0%	-0.03

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shabazz Muhammad	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.09,0.1,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.14	0.00	-0.02	13	79%	0.19	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Zach LaVine	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.13	0.02	0.02	17	71%	0.18	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Wiggins	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.15	0.02	0.08	18	63%	0.12	1	-0.02	13	85%	-0.00
Nemanja Bjelica	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.09	0.00	0.03	6	83%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ricky Rubio	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	4	62%	0.05	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Gorgui Dieng	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.00	6	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cole Aldrich	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kris Dunn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Karl-Anthony Towns	0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	0.02	12	60%	0.05	4	-0.08	6	67%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.1	2.4	29.6	15.4	22.6	2.3	28.4	123.7
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +31.6%

MIN +3.2%

MIN +5.0%

MIN +8.9%

MIN +1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	MIN	NBA	MIL	MIN	NBA
this game	15.6	16.8	14.8	111.2	130.3	107.7
season	14.9	15.3		107.4	109.3
opponent	14.7	15.3		110.2	107.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	15.9	13.6	16.8	16.0	15.6
MIN	14.8	17.7	16.7	18.2	16.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mirza Teletovic	38	35	0.08	-0.58	0.66	-0.18	9	-26	35	14.2	16.5	-2.34	17.3	16.5	0.88
Steve Novak	4	4	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.06	-2	-15	13	15.2	15.6	-0.31	23.7	16.5	7.27
Miles Plumlee	4	5	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.06	-2	-15	13	15.2	15.6	-0.31	23.0	16.4	6.56
Thon Maker	9	10	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.03	1	-18	19	15.3	15.6	-0.24	19.1	16.5	2.58
Michael Beasley	41	40	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	0.06	-9	-8	-1	14.9	16.1	-1.29	14.7	18.5	-3.83
John Henson	35	37	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.03	-6	-11	5	16.1	15.2	0.88	18.1	15.9	2.22
Greg Monroe	29	28	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.06	-11	-6	-5	15.7	15.5	0.26	13.7	18.2	-4.46
Malcolm Brogdon	60	60	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.12	-7	-10	3	15.4	15.8	-0.41	17.5	15.3	2.27
Jason Terry	44	43	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	0.05	-13	-4	-9	15.6	15.5	0.08	15.4	18.1	-2.74
Jabari Parker	71	72	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.12	-8	-9	1	15.8	14.6	1.18	16.8	16.6	0.20
Giannis Antetokounmpo	57	57	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	0.09	-18	1	-19	15.8	15.1	0.66	17.9	14.9	3.02
Tony Snell	53	54	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	0.09	-19	2	-21	16.2	14.6	1.67	16.3	17.6	-1.26

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ricky Rubio	62	63	0.57	-0.07	0.63	-0.23	27	-10	37	17.4	15.4	2.07	16.5	13.3	3.17
Karl-Anthony Towns	67	66	0.50	-0.00	0.50	-0.11	21	-4	25	17.8	13.9	3.91	16.3	13.3	3.03
Gorgui Dieng	64	64	0.47	0.03	0.44	-0.03	17	0	17	16.3	18.2	-1.88	15.6	15.4	0.15
Andrew Wiggins	70	69	0.44	0.06	0.38	-0.03	16	1	15	17.7	13.6	4.11	15.6	15.3	0.26
Zach LaVine	71	71	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.03	10	7	3	17.7	13.1	4.64	15.9	14.1	1.87
Shabazz Muhammad	37	38	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.01	8	9	-1	13.4	19.3	-5.92	14.7	16.2	-1.42
Nemanja Bjelica	37	38	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.09	-2	19	-21	16.5	17.0	-0.46	14.4	16.4	-2.02
Cole Aldrich	10	10	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	19	-21	14.7	17.1	-2.38	14.5	15.7	-1.18
Kris Dunn	27	26	-0.07	0.57	-0.63	0.23	-10	27	-37	15.4	17.4	-2.07	13.3	16.5	-3.17

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.57,0.6,0.63,0.66,0.68,0.72,0.74,0.7,0.75,0.76,0.78,0.79,0.69,0.73,0.74,0.64,0.66,0.69,0.64,0.7,0.7,0.77,0.77,0.8,0.81,0.84,0.84,0.8,0.88,0.9,0.95,0.95,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.96,0.98,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 95, PHX 108	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.63,0.59,0.66,0.66,0.63,0.67,0.71,0.72,0.78,0.74,0.73,0.69,0.69,0.66,0.64,0.66,0.66,0.7,0.75,0.75,0.77,0.72,0.73,0.78,0.79,0.74,0.75,0.87,0.91,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1	96.3%
POR 93, NOH 113	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.57,0.56,0.6,0.64,0.66,0.72,0.75,0.74,0.71,0.7,0.74,0.7,0.75,0.69,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.71,0.7,0.7,0.73,0.74,0.77,0.75,0.87,0.86,0.92,0.9,0.94,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.1%
SAS 72, LAL 111	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.53,0.52,0.51,0.6,0.67,0.69,0.65,0.68,0.68,0.75,0.7,0.71,0.71,0.69,0.69,0.68,0.69,0.71,0.66,0.67,0.74,0.78,0.79,0.84,0.8,0.75,0.79,0.84,0.83,0.92,0.93,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.0%