NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	95		Excitement	4.1 [974]		MVP	Casey Jacobsen (PHX): +10.8%
Phoenix Suns	108		Comeback	1.0 [979]		LVP	Michael Olowokandi (LAC): -18.1%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Elton Brand	0.09	0,0,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.12	0.01	0.04	18	71%	0.13	2	-0.04	5	60%	0.01
Quentin Richardson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.05	0.00	0.05	13	57%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Corey Maggette	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	0.00	0.02	8	55%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Wang Zhi-zhi	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	4	25%	-0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Andre Miller	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	-0.01	-0.03	12	40%	-0.04	0	0.00	6	33%	-0.02
Marko Jaric	-0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.00	0.01	5	42%	-0.03	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Tremaine Fowlkes	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	0.00	7	50%	-0.03	3	-0.06	4	75%	0.01
Keyon Dooling	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.11	-0.01	-0.03	9	24%	-0.09	1	-0.01	3	100%	0.00
Michael Olowokandi	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.15	-0.05	-0.01	8	37%	-0.02	6	-0.16	0	0%	0.00

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Casey Jacobsen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.16	0.00	0.05	9	95%	0.11	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
Stephon Marbury	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.04	0.04	-0.02	21	55%	0.11	1	-0.00	5	60%	-0.02
Amar'e Stoudemire	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.09	0.01	0.02	9	80%	0.10	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Jake Tsakalidis	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	-0.00	4	60%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Bo Outlaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	1	100%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anfernee Hardaway	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	0.01	-0.02	13	48%	0.03	2	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Randy Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	3	67%	0.01	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jake Voskuhl	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Marion	0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.01	-0.02	0.02	11	58%	0.01	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Scott Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Joe Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.09	-0.01	-0.02	11	27%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.5	1.6	28.2	14.8	24.3	2.4	28.2	122.9
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +37.7%

PHX +3.2%

LAC -7.5%

PHX +15.0%

PHX +1.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	PHX	NBA	LAC	PHX	NBA
this game	14.8	14.4	15.5	96.0	110.2	101.6
season	15.4	15.0		100.2	101.1
opponent	15.9	15.4		100.1	104.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	14.0	18.7	14.7	12.2	14.8
PHX	13.7	13.2	14.1	16.6	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Keyon Dooling	49	49	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.25	7	-20	27	15.3	14.3	0.99	14.9	14.0	0.90
Wang Zhi-zhi	26	27	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	0.14	-10	-3	-7	16.2	14.3	1.90	13.2	14.9	-1.64
Corey Maggette	36	36	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.05	-4	-9	5	13.0	15.9	-2.87	15.4	13.8	1.64
Elton Brand	66	66	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.21	-1	-12	11	14.0	16.5	-2.53	15.1	12.9	2.23
Marko Jaric	29	30	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	0.08	-11	-2	-9	14.5	15.0	-0.49	14.0	14.6	-0.54
Quentin Richardson	58	55	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.08	-6	-7	1	15.5	13.9	1.58	14.3	14.6	-0.31
Tremaine Fowlkes	66	66	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.21	-6	-7	1	15.1	14.2	0.88	14.3	14.5	-0.18
Andre Miller	97	95	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	-0.11	-13	0	-13	14.8	16.5	-1.71	14.5	12.3	2.14
Michael Olowokandi	68	66	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	0.10	-21	8	-29	15.1	14.3	0.78	13.5	16.2	-2.73

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Stephon Marbury	75	78	0.49	0.01	0.47	0.08	14	-1	15	14.1	15.5	-1.46	15.0	14.2	0.81
Joe Johnson	60	61	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.00	14	-1	15	14.0	15.0	-0.92	14.5	15.3	-0.83
Jake Voskuhl	42	41	0.37	0.13	0.23	-0.07	15	-2	17	13.9	14.8	-0.88	13.3	15.9	-2.66
Bo Outlaw	50	50	0.32	0.18	0.13	0.05	9	4	5	15.0	13.8	1.25	13.9	15.8	-1.88
Anfernee Hardaway	65	69	0.28	0.22	0.07	0.02	9	4	5	15.0	13.3	1.67	15.0	14.5	0.47
Casey Jacobsen	59	58	0.25	0.25	-0.01	0.19	2	11	-9	14.5	14.3	0.25	14.7	15.0	-0.33
Shawn Marion	29	29	0.16	0.34	-0.19	0.04	4	9	-5	14.0	14.6	-0.58	17.7	13.7	4.00
Jake Tsakalidis	28	29	0.12	0.38	-0.25	0.04	3	10	-7	14.0	14.6	-0.62	15.8	14.4	1.36
Amar'e Stoudemire	51	51	0.07	0.43	-0.35	0.22	-5	18	-23	15.0	13.7	1.27	14.9	14.8	0.07
Scott Williams	13	14	0.06	0.44	-0.38	-0.03	3	10	-7	13.8	14.5	-0.65	15.5	14.7	0.78
Randy Brown	18	15	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	0.06	-3	16	-19	14.2	14.5	-0.30	14.4	14.9	-0.50

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.63,0.59,0.66,0.66,0.63,0.67,0.71,0.72,0.78,0.74,0.73,0.69,0.69,0.66,0.64,0.66,0.66,0.7,0.75,0.75,0.77,0.72,0.73,0.78,0.79,0.74,0.75,0.87,0.91,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 99, MIN 116	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.57,0.6,0.63,0.66,0.68,0.72,0.74,0.7,0.75,0.76,0.78,0.79,0.69,0.73,0.74,0.64,0.66,0.69,0.64,0.7,0.7,0.77,0.77,0.8,0.81,0.84,0.84,0.8,0.88,0.9,0.95,0.95,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.96,0.98,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.3%
LAL 78, DET 93	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.57,0.6,0.66,0.68,0.67,0.72,0.72,0.71,0.72,0.74,0.7,0.69,0.71,0.63,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.72,0.72,0.75,0.82,0.79,0.74,0.75,0.76,0.76,0.84,0.88,0.9,0.93,0.96,0.98,0.95,0.93,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.1%
MIN 99, BOS 113	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.55,0.59,0.64,0.67,0.62,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.72,0.74,0.81,0.77,0.72,0.68,0.69,0.73,0.71,0.75,0.8,0.7,0.74,0.74,0.78,0.75,0.7,0.74,0.8,0.91,0.96,0.95,0.95,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.9%