NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	78		Excitement	3.7 [1068]		MVP	Tayshaun Prince (DET): +11.6%
Detroit Pistons	93		Comeback	1.0 [1095]		LVP	Lamar Odom (LAL): -10.2%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jordan Farmar	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.00	-0.00	7	71%	0.06	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Ronny Turiaf	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.06	-0.00	0.05	9	57%	0.01	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.00
Sasha Vujacic	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Smush Parker	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	10	48%	0.05	3	-0.06	3	33%	-0.04
Maurice Evans	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.06	0.00	-0.04	9	28%	-0.02	0	0.00	7	71%	0.00
Andrew Bynum	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	6	36%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Vladimir Radmanovic	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	3	33%	0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Kobe Bryant	-0.09	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.03	-0.03	13	56%	0.06	8	-0.16	6	100%	0.03
Lamar Odom	-0.10	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.09	-0.03	-0.02	17	33%	-0.07	2	-0.03	2	0%	-0.02

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tayshaun Prince	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.09	0.02	-0.01	15	57%	0.12	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.01
Rasheed Wallace	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.08	0.01	0.04	13	67%	0.08	2	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Chris Webber	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.00	0.01	-0.05	13	50%	0.06	1	-0.01	10	50%	-0.02
Carlos Delfino	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.02	0.01	-0.04	7	36%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lindsey Hunter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.00	-0.01	5	50%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Ronald Murray	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Richard Hamilton	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	11	53%	0.06	3	-0.06	8	75%	0.01
Antonio McDyess	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	4	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Maxiell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	3	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chauncey Billups	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	7	43%	-0.02	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	3.4	28.4	20.4	28.0	2.8	33.1	139.5
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +24.3%

DET +2.6%

LAL -1.1%

DET +23.4%

DET +0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	DET	NBA	LAL	DET	NBA
this game	17.1	17.4	15.4	92.9	112.0	104.5
season	15.3	16.8		106.3	106.1
opponent	15.7	14.9		101.7	107.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	16.8	18.3	16.6	17.0	17.1
DET	16.7	21.7	14.1	18.2	17.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sasha Vujacic	16	15	0.02	-0.52	0.55	-0.27	10	-25	35	17.7	16.9	0.81	22.5	16.3	6.27
Ronny Turiaf	44	43	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	-0.11	3	-18	21	18.2	15.9	2.28	17.4	17.3	0.09
Jordan Farmar	40	39	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	-0.26	5	-20	25	17.8	16.5	1.35	17.6	17.2	0.41
Maurice Evans	49	48	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.12	0	-15	15	16.8	17.5	-0.67	17.3	17.5	-0.15
Vladimir Radmanovic	35	34	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.06	-9	-6	-3	15.9	18.0	-2.07	19.3	16.1	3.26
Smush Parker	44	44	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	0.20	-20	5	-25	16.5	17.8	-1.35	17.2	17.6	-0.41
Lamar Odom	71	72	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	0.08	-19	4	-23	17.3	15.8	1.48	17.2	18.5	-1.32
Kobe Bryant	68	68	-0.52	0.02	-0.55	0.21	-25	10	-35	16.9	17.7	-0.81	16.3	22.5	-6.27
Andrew Bynum	53	52	-0.56	0.06	-0.63	0.02	-20	5	-25	16.9	17.4	-0.41	16.4	19.1	-2.66

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Webber	72	74	0.59	-0.09	0.68	-0.11	24	-9	33	17.0	20.1	-3.10	16.3	22.7	-6.36
Chauncey Billups	63	62	0.59	-0.09	0.68	-0.17	26	-11	37	16.5	20.3	-3.82	16.4	19.0	-2.64
Tayshaun Prince	69	68	0.54	-0.04	0.58	-0.11	22	-7	29	16.4	22.2	-5.79	16.9	18.0	-1.12
Rasheed Wallace	66	65	0.51	-0.01	0.52	-0.11	21	-6	27	16.7	20.3	-3.64	16.8	18.3	-1.51
Richard Hamilton	57	57	0.29	0.21	0.08	-0.15	15	0	15	17.1	18.1	-1.05	18.1	15.0	3.03
Carlos Delfino	26	28	0.09	0.41	-0.31	0.21	-4	19	-23	21.6	15.5	6.09	17.0	17.1	-0.14
Ronald Murray	3	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	19	-23	29.7	16.9	12.73	9.7	17.5	-7.71
Lindsey Hunter	31	33	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.28	-10	25	-35	17.4	17.4	-0.07	18.1	16.4	1.69
Jason Maxiell	7	8	-0.01	0.51	-0.53	0.10	-4	19	-23	25.3	16.7	8.61	18.4	17.0	1.41
Antonio McDyess	21	21	-0.09	0.59	-0.67	0.24	-11	26	-37	18.5	17.0	1.51	20.3	16.0	4.32

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.57,0.6,0.66,0.68,0.67,0.72,0.72,0.71,0.72,0.74,0.7,0.69,0.71,0.63,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.72,0.72,0.75,0.82,0.79,0.74,0.75,0.76,0.76,0.84,0.88,0.9,0.93,0.96,0.98,0.95,0.93,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
POR 93, NOH 113	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.57,0.56,0.6,0.64,0.66,0.72,0.75,0.74,0.71,0.7,0.74,0.7,0.75,0.69,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.71,0.7,0.7,0.73,0.74,0.77,0.75,0.87,0.86,0.92,0.9,0.94,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.3%
DAL 97, SAC 110	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.55,0.61,0.66,0.69,0.69,0.72,0.72,0.71,0.66,0.68,0.62,0.69,0.62,0.67,0.67,0.66,0.71,0.71,0.71,0.69,0.7,0.78,0.76,0.77,0.75,0.73,0.81,0.82,0.9,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.3%
SAS 72, LAL 111	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.53,0.52,0.51,0.6,0.67,0.69,0.65,0.68,0.68,0.75,0.7,0.71,0.71,0.69,0.69,0.68,0.69,0.71,0.66,0.67,0.74,0.78,0.79,0.84,0.8,0.75,0.79,0.84,0.83,0.92,0.93,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.2%