NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	96		Excitement	5.7 [656]		MVP	Luol Deng (CHI): +17.8%
Chicago Bulls	101		Comeback	1.2 [1204]		LVP	Jamal Crawford (NYK): -16.5%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Fred Jones	0.12	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11	0.17	-0.01	0.04	13	71%	0.11	0	0.00	5	80%	-0.00
David Lee	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.07	0.02	0.01	7	67%	0.08	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Jared Jeffries	0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.01	0.06	-0.01	4	42%	0.05	0	0.00	4	0%	-0.05
Nate Robinson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	1	100%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zach Randolph	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.03,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01	0.04	-0.03	0.02	21	56%	0.09	3	-0.10	6	100%	0.04
Malik Rose	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wilson Chandler	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	7	43%	-0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Renaldo Balkman	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	0.01	3	67%	0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Eddy Curry	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.10	-0.00	-0.01	5	0%	-0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mardy Collins	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.11	-0.05	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	3	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Jamal Crawford	-0.16	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.01,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.08	-0.05	0.04	22	39%	-0.11	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Luol Deng	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.16,0.17,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.14	0.07	0.03	19	69%	0.24	3	-0.06	4	75%	-0.00
Andres Nocioni	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.05	0.03	-0.00	13	57%	0.12	1	-0.04	4	50%	-0.01
Chris Duhon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.02	0.00	5	64%	0.07	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Joakim Noah	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.03	0.01	-0.02	7	62%	0.07	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Kirk Hinrich	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	-0.00	-0.03	12	54%	0.04	4	-0.05	4	100%	0.01
Joe Smith	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.07	-0.01	-0.05	12	33%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Ben Wallace	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	4	25%	-0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Ben Gordon	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11	-0.11	-0.05	-0.04	0.02	11	44%	-0.02	3	-0.09	3	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.3	2.3	26.4	14.8	28.2	2.4	37.4	135.7
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +34.0%

CHI +6.3%

CHI +1.0%

CHI +8.7%

NYK -0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	CHI	NBA	NYK	CHI	NBA
this game	16.5	13.7	15.4	101.1	105.2	105.7
season	15.7	15.0		103.1	102.2
opponent	15.5	15.2		105.4	109.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	18.0	17.5	17.0	14.2	16.5
CHI	16.3	14.6	13.0	11.5	13.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Malik Rose	10	10	0.10	-0.60	0.70	0.04	2	-7	9	18.7	16.2	2.48	11.4	14.0	-2.55
Wilson Chandler	19	20	-0.01	-0.48	0.47	-0.34	11	-16	27	12.3	17.5	-5.21	12.3	14.0	-1.69
Nate Robinson	9	9	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	-0.01	-4	-1	-3	13.4	16.8	-3.36	6.8	14.4	-7.62
Renaldo Balkman	28	31	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.21	3	-8	11	14.9	17.1	-2.21	15.6	12.8	2.89
Eddy Curry	26	27	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.06	-3	-2	-1	16.5	16.5	-0.03	15.4	13.0	2.44
Jared Jeffries	44	42	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.04	-8	3	-11	17.8	15.4	2.44	13.7	13.7	-0.04
Jamal Crawford	88	88	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.44	4	-9	13	16.2	20.3	-4.10	14.0	10.6	3.34
Zach Randolph	80	81	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.47	5	-10	15	16.3	17.5	-1.17	13.6	14.0	-0.37
Mardy Collins	42	43	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.06	-10	5	-15	16.9	16.1	0.80	14.9	12.7	2.17
David Lee	48	47	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	0.08	-19	14	-33	17.7	15.2	2.56	13.2	14.1	-0.93
Fred Jones	81	82	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.34	-6	1	-7	16.9	14.1	2.75	13.1	16.9	-3.71

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Duhon	48	47	0.50	-0.00	0.50	0.30	7	-2	9	12.2	15.2	-2.96	14.9	18.1	-3.23
Kirk Hinrich	93	92	0.45	0.05	0.41	0.37	3	2	1	13.8	11.3	2.43	16.6	14.0	2.57
Luol Deng	87	87	0.41	0.09	0.31	0.35	2	3	-1	13.2	18.0	-4.76	16.7	14.0	2.71
Andres Nocioni	60	58	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.29	3	2	1	12.9	15.0	-2.10	15.5	18.0	-2.48
Ben Wallace	63	63	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.35	0	5	-5	14.7	11.7	3.03	16.4	16.7	-0.35
Joakim Noah	36	35	0.26	0.24	0.03	0.09	6	-1	7	14.2	13.3	0.90	16.5	16.5	-0.04
Joe Smith	40	40	0.07	0.43	-0.35	0.02	2	3	-1	14.2	13.3	0.96	18.1	15.3	2.88
Ben Gordon	53	53	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.01	2	3	-1	14.5	12.7	1.75	17.4	15.4	2.02

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.57,0.59,0.55,0.61,0.55,0.59,0.6,0.6,0.66,0.64,0.69,0.72,0.65,0.61,0.59,0.64,0.59,0.61,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.67,0.64,0.68,0.59,0.75,0.66,0.67,0.68,0.85,0.87,0.93,0.96,0.98,0.98,1,0.93,0.86,0.96,0.98,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 77, SAS 99	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.57,0.63,0.53,0.6,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.68,0.6,0.63,0.61,0.56,0.59,0.58,0.56,0.61,0.54,0.63,0.6,0.67,0.63,0.58,0.56,0.62,0.67,0.69,0.77,0.79,0.87,0.92,0.93,0.96,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.8%
NYK 108, SAC 115	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.5,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.52,0.63,0.64,0.6,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.71,0.71,0.74,0.61,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.67,0.7,0.58,0.62,0.55,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.66,0.71,0.76,0.7,0.77,0.82,0.74,0.87,0.96,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.94,0.93,0.97,0.99,1,1,1	94.7%
GSW 92, UTA 101	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.61,0.64,0.66,0.64,0.71,0.73,0.71,0.71,0.65,0.56,0.59,0.58,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.62,0.63,0.51,0.58,0.73,0.71,0.65,0.65,0.63,0.74,0.75,0.81,0.82,0.9,0.91,0.93,0.94,0.98,0.99,0.9,0.93,0.85,0.96,1	94.5%