NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Miami Heat	92		Excitement	4.5 [931]		MVP	Kevin Love (CLE): +21.9%
Cleveland Cavaliers	102		Comeback	1.3 [1036]		LVP	Mo Williams (CLE): -15.4%

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mario Chalmers	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.02	-0.01	6	57%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Chris Bosh	0.05	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.00	-0.00	15	53%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luol Deng	0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.01	0.01	8	56%	0.04	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Amar'e Stoudemire	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyler Johnson	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Ennis	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dwyane Wade	-0.00	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.01	15	66%	0.11	7	-0.11	8	100%	0.05
Justise Winslow	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	4	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hassan Whiteside	-0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.03	-0.02	0.02	7	61%	0.02	2	-0.03	4	75%	0.01
Josh McRoberts	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Green	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.09	-0.02	-0.04	9	25%	-0.04	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Goran Dragic	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	0.00	-0.04	0.10	9	50%	-0.09	1	-0.04	4	100%	0.00

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Love	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.14	0.07	-0.01	15	62%	0.22	0	0.00	9	100%	0.04
Tristan Thompson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.07	0.03	-0.03	9	65%	0.14	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jared Cunningham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.01	0.04	-0.02	4	50%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Timofey Mozgov	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.02	0.01	6	69%	0.09	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
LeBron James	0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.10	-0.01	0.06	19	67%	0.15	4	-0.12	5	60%	-0.01
Anderson Varejao	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.01	-0.01	2	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Jones	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sasha Kaun	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joe Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	0.00	0.04	1	150%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Richard Jefferson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.08	0.00	-0.08	7	36%	-0.01	3	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matthew Dellavedova	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	0.01	5	42%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
J.R. Smith	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.13	-0.02	-0.00	8	12%	-0.10	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Mo Williams	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.09	-0.05	0.02	10	27%	-0.12	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.0	3.4	27.5	15.5	25.6	3.4	33.5	137.9
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +35.9%

MIA -6.0%

CLE +15.1%

CLE +2.8%

CLE +2.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIA	CLE	NBA	MIA	CLE	NBA
this game	14.6	16.7	14.9	100.0	110.9	105.1
season	15.5	15.8		104.5	110.3
opponent	14.9	15.1		103.7	103.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIA	13.7	15.8	16.8	12.2	14.6
CLE	16.3	16.2	17.5	17.0	16.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dwyane Wade	61	60	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.11	4	-14	18	13.7	16.3	-2.65	16.7	16.8	-0.06
Tyler Johnson	3	4	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.12	4	-14	18	8.0	14.8	-6.79	16.0	16.8	-0.77
James Ennis	3	4	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.12	4	-14	18	8.0	14.8	-6.79	16.0	16.8	-0.77
Goran Dragic	66	66	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	-0.31	9	-19	28	13.6	17.0	-3.34	16.7	16.9	-0.26
Chris Bosh	64	63	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	-0.16	3	-13	16	14.0	15.8	-1.81	16.9	16.4	0.53
Luol Deng	54	54	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.28	6	-16	22	14.7	14.4	0.29	17.6	15.6	1.98
Hassan Whiteside	69	70	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.30	6	-16	22	13.8	17.0	-3.19	16.8	16.5	0.31
Amar'e Stoudemire	23	22	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	0.10	-16	6	-22	17.0	13.8	3.19	16.5	16.8	-0.31
Justise Winslow	38	38	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	0.07	-16	6	-22	14.4	14.7	-0.29	15.6	17.6	-1.98
Josh McRoberts	25	25	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	0.08	-17	7	-24	16.8	13.7	3.01	16.4	16.9	-0.41
Mario Chalmers	26	26	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	0.10	-19	9	-28	17.0	13.6	3.34	16.9	16.7	0.26
Gerald Green	28	28	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	0.02	-18	8	-26	17.2	13.4	3.81	16.9	16.7	0.22

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Matthew Dellavedova	51	50	0.57	-0.07	0.63	-0.11	23	-13	36	16.2	17.4	-1.17	15.8	13.1	2.75
Tristan Thompson	49	48	0.50	-0.00	0.50	0.09	14	-4	18	16.9	16.6	0.30	15.1	14.0	1.08
Richard Jefferson	47	46	0.41	0.09	0.31	0.14	9	1	8	16.8	16.6	0.19	14.1	15.1	-1.00
Anderson Varejao	29	28	0.30	0.20	0.11	-0.02	11	-1	12	17.1	16.6	0.48	17.0	13.5	3.45
LeBron James	64	66	0.25	0.25	-0.00	0.04	7	3	4	17.0	16.1	0.91	14.7	14.2	0.47
Kevin Love	63	66	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.09	3	7	-4	16.7	16.9	-0.28	13.7	16.7	-3.02
Jared Cunningham	19	18	0.18	0.32	-0.15	0.12	2	8	-6	16.2	16.9	-0.67	14.5	14.6	-0.08
Mo Williams	49	51	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.23	-4	14	-18	17.2	16.2	1.04	13.8	15.5	-1.71
Timofey Mozgov	35	36	0.01	0.49	-0.47	0.01	0	10	-10	16.6	16.8	-0.22	14.7	14.5	0.17
James Jones	4	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	14	-18	16.0	16.8	-0.77	8.0	14.8	-6.79
Sasha Kaun	4	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	14	-18	16.0	16.8	-0.77	8.0	14.8	-6.79
Joe Harris	4	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	14	-18	16.0	16.8	-0.77	8.0	14.8	-6.79
J.R. Smith	42	42	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.08	-3	13	-16	16.6	16.9	-0.26	14.8	14.3	0.49

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.45,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.47,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.62,0.65,0.64,0.62,0.73,0.75,0.73,0.68,0.68,0.64,0.67,0.7,0.61,0.63,0.6,0.66,0.73,0.76,0.67,0.72,0.59,0.72,0.76,0.74,0.82,0.85,0.9,0.95,0.95,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 67, UTA 81	0.5,0.49,0.44,0.47,0.46,0.5,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.58,0.65,0.66,0.73,0.69,0.71,0.67,0.72,0.73,0.66,0.64,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.6,0.63,0.67,0.7,0.64,0.65,0.59,0.69,0.73,0.7,0.75,0.85,0.85,0.94,0.95,0.94,0.92,0.85,0.97,0.98,1,1,1,1	95.1%
CLE 83, POR 103	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.57,0.61,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.64,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.71,0.75,0.74,0.72,0.77,0.74,0.69,0.7,0.67,0.67,0.71,0.72,0.75,0.7,0.64,0.71,0.74,0.75,0.7,0.73,0.82,0.9,0.9,0.93,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	94.9%
NYK 108, SAC 115	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.5,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.52,0.63,0.64,0.6,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.71,0.71,0.74,0.61,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.67,0.7,0.58,0.62,0.55,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.66,0.71,0.76,0.7,0.77,0.82,0.74,0.87,0.96,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.94,0.93,0.97,0.99,1,1,1	94.8%