NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	83		Excitement	4.5 [886]		MVP	Rasheed Wallace (POR): +11.8%
Portland Trail Blazers	103		Comeback	1.0 [1237]		LVP	Robert Traylor (CLE): -9.9%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andre Miller	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.02	0.02	-0.01	8	64%	0.07	1	-0.01	6	100%	0.04
Etdrick Bohannon	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	0	100%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Trajan Langdon	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cedric Henderson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	6	50%	0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Clar. Weatherspoon	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.02	0.00	12	63%	0.06	3	-0.08	3	100%	0.02
Chris Gatling	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	11	50%	0.01	3	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Anthony Johnson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	0.00	-0.02	4	10%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Lamond Murray	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	-0.01	-0.04	18	36%	-0.05	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jim Jackson	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	0.01	10	50%	-0.01	2	-0.05	4	75%	0.01
Robert Traylor	-0.10	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.07	-0.02	0.01	7	37%	-0.06	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rasheed Wallace	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.09	0.03	-0.00	12	75%	0.16	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Arvydas Sabonis	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.07	0.04	-0.00	12	62%	0.12	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Damon Stoudamire	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.02	0.00	9	65%	0.10	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Greg Anthony	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.00	6	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stacey Augmon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bonzi Wells	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.04	-0.02	0.04	11	69%	0.05	2	-0.07	10	60%	-0.04
Dale Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.02	2	17%	-0.05	1	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Steven Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	0.01	13	59%	0.01	4	-0.07	6	100%	0.03
Shawn Kemp	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.08	0.00	-0.02	8	32%	-0.04	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.8	2.4	30.2	15.8	25.0	1.8	29.0	127.1
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +52.7%

CLE -13.5%

POR +2.0%

POR +0.0%

POR +8.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	POR	NBA	CLE	POR	NBA
this game	15.9	16.7	15.5	94.3	115.7	100.9
season	15.3	15.8		98.4	103.9
opponent	15.8	15.6		100.3	102.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	16.0	16.0	17.5	14.0	15.9
POR	18.2	16.7	14.5	17.3	16.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Trajan Langdon	5	4	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.02	2	-22	24	12.6	16.1	-3.47	14.0	16.8	-2.79
Etdrick Bohannon	4	3	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-20	20	9.7	16.2	-6.42	18.7	16.6	2.07
Anthony Johnson	25	23	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	0.09	-10	-10	0	14.2	16.5	-2.28	17.3	16.4	0.92
Cedric Henderson	28	26	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.11	-4	-16	12	14.8	16.4	-1.60	17.6	16.3	1.29
Chris Gatling	54	53	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	0.15	-15	-5	-10	15.2	16.9	-1.74	17.6	15.3	2.28
Andre Miller	63	66	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.00	-10	-10	0	16.5	14.2	2.28	16.4	17.3	-0.92
Clar. Weatherspoon	67	69	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.20	-5	-15	10	16.5	13.9	2.59	16.8	16.3	0.40
Lamond Murray	69	71	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	0.15	-17	-3	-14	16.2	14.6	1.65	16.2	18.6	-2.37
Robert Traylor	51	53	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	0.22	-20	0	-20	16.3	15.4	0.90	15.5	18.4	-2.85
Jim Jackson	74	77	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	0.14	-21	1	-22	16.2	14.3	1.89	16.9	14.9	2.02

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Steven Smith	58	57	0.39	0.11	0.27	-0.11	17	3	14	16.9	16.2	0.77	15.2	17.1	-1.89
Rasheed Wallace	59	57	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.13	8	12	-4	16.5	16.9	-0.41	16.5	14.7	1.80
Damon Stoudamire	51	50	0.35	0.15	0.21	0.03	11	9	2	15.9	17.7	-1.74	16.5	15.0	1.49
Stacey Augmon	45	43	0.34	0.16	0.19	0.05	10	10	0	15.9	17.4	-1.48	16.8	15.0	1.84
Arvydas Sabonis	38	36	0.29	0.21	0.07	0.08	7	13	-6	15.7	17.4	-1.75	17.2	14.9	2.33
Dale Davis	39	43	0.25	0.25	-0.00	-0.28	18	2	16	17.6	15.9	1.65	14.6	17.1	-2.44
Bonzi Wells	76	76	0.23	0.27	-0.04	-0.09	11	9	2	16.7	16.6	0.06	15.8	16.1	-0.24
Greg Anthony	38	38	0.15	0.35	-0.21	-0.12	9	11	-2	17.7	15.9	1.74	15.0	16.5	-1.49
Shawn Kemp	41	40	0.14	0.36	-0.22	-0.12	9	11	-2	17.3	16.1	1.21	15.1	16.5	-1.47

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.57,0.61,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.64,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.71,0.75,0.74,0.72,0.77,0.74,0.69,0.7,0.67,0.67,0.71,0.72,0.75,0.7,0.64,0.71,0.74,0.75,0.7,0.73,0.82,0.9,0.9,0.93,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 78, SEA 89	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.54,0.55,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.57,0.6,0.56,0.6,0.68,0.73,0.77,0.73,0.78,0.78,0.73,0.71,0.69,0.67,0.67,0.67,0.72,0.72,0.78,0.73,0.71,0.68,0.65,0.78,0.79,0.78,0.9,0.92,0.92,0.85,0.86,0.91,0.94,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.6%
MIL 84, IND 106	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.63,0.62,0.69,0.71,0.73,0.69,0.76,0.76,0.74,0.72,0.64,0.61,0.7,0.77,0.72,0.73,0.67,0.64,0.68,0.74,0.69,0.71,0.74,0.82,0.81,0.87,0.91,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	95.5%
DET 79, MIN 88	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.5,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.6,0.66,0.68,0.72,0.69,0.71,0.71,0.67,0.75,0.73,0.78,0.69,0.69,0.73,0.8,0.74,0.72,0.67,0.75,0.73,0.72,0.78,0.65,0.77,0.81,0.89,0.87,0.89,0.9,0.89,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1	95.3%