NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	67		Excitement	5.1 [819]		MVP	Shane Battier (HOU): +8.6%
Utah Jazz	81		Comeback	1.3 [940]		LVP	Tracy McGrady (HOU): -26.7%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shane Battier	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.05	0.01	-0.03	10	55%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kirk Snyder	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dikembe Mutombo	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luther Head	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.08	-0.01	-0.03	5	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Juwan Howard	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.08	-0.00	-0.01	5	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Yao Ming	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	14	59%	0.08	8	-0.18	16	87%	0.03
Charles Hayes	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.09	-0.04	0.00	2	0%	-0.06	2	-0.08	2	0%	-0.03
Rafer Alston	-0.14	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.07	-0.06	0.01	5	60%	0.02	5	-0.16	0	0%	0.00
Tracy McGrady	-0.27	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.18,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.23,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27	-0.09	-0.12	0.06	23	44%	-0.17	4	-0.10	8	62%	-0.04

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Paul Millsap	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.01	-0.01	4	90%	0.08	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.02
Carlos Boozer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.07	-0.00	0.02	18	56%	0.09	1	-0.04	3	67%	-0.01
Gordan Giricek	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	9	56%	0.07	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Matt Harpring	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	-0.02	0.00	12	45%	-0.00	0	0.00	5	100%	0.01
Jarron Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Derek Fisher	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	9	33%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrei Kirilenko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	2	33%	-0.02	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.03
Mehmet Okur	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.11	0.00	-0.04	12	26%	-0.06	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Deron Williams	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17,-0.18,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.19	-0.03	-0.03	18	30%	-0.07	5	-0.12	1	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.2	2.4	31.2	15.8	24.1	2.3	27.6	129.6
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +22.5%

HOU -4.1%

UTA +6.6%

UTA +23.4%

UTA +1.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	UTA	NBA	HOU	UTA	NBA
this game	15.3	17.6	15.4	77.0	92.0	104.5
season	15.6	15.9		103.6	107.4
opponent	15.0	15.7		104.9	99.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	15.3	15.4	16.1	14.3	15.3
UTA	16.0	16.6	18.1	20.0	17.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Charles Hayes	51	53	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.20	3	-17	20	15.8	14.6	1.27	17.8	17.3	0.48
Dikembe Mutombo	10	11	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	0.01	-6	-8	2	17.0	15.1	1.92	14.8	18.0	-3.18
Kirk Snyder	5	5	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.07	-9	-5	-4	18.2	15.1	3.08	16.6	17.7	-1.06
Tracy McGrady	70	73	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.13	-5	-9	4	15.4	14.9	0.52	17.3	19.1	-1.77
Yao Ming	73	72	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.07	-8	-6	-2	15.2	15.8	-0.58	17.5	17.9	-0.41
Rafer Alston	82	83	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.16	-5	-9	4	15.1	18.2	-3.08	17.7	16.6	1.06
Shane Battier	76	77	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.10	-8	-6	-2	15.1	16.8	-1.74	17.1	21.4	-4.30
Juwan Howard	26	24	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	0.07	-15	1	-16	14.7	15.5	-0.81	19.2	17.0	2.21
Luther Head	42	42	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	0.06	-17	3	-20	15.0	15.6	-0.58	18.8	16.5	2.31

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Paul Millsap	25	26	0.39	0.11	0.29	-0.05	15	-1	16	18.9	17.1	1.84	14.5	15.6	-1.14
Derek Fisher	47	46	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.09	10	4	6	16.9	18.4	-1.48	15.7	14.9	0.75
Gordan Giricek	40	39	0.38	0.12	0.26	-0.03	14	0	14	18.0	17.2	0.77	16.0	14.7	1.32
Jarron Collins	20	22	0.38	0.12	0.25	-0.06	15	-1	16	18.3	17.4	0.90	16.1	15.0	1.06
Matt Harpring	56	53	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.08	10	4	6	17.1	18.6	-1.51	15.3	15.3	0.06
Deron Williams	70	72	0.24	0.26	-0.01	0.07	6	8	-2	18.1	15.6	2.57	14.9	17.1	-2.22
Carlos Boozer	65	63	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.10	1	13	-12	17.0	19.4	-2.42	15.7	14.1	1.62
Mehmet Okur	68	65	0.12	0.38	-0.25	0.15	-1	15	-16	17.4	18.3	-0.90	15.0	16.1	-1.06
Andrei Kirilenko	49	49	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.10	0	14	-14	18.0	17.2	0.81	14.8	16.0	-1.20

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.44,0.47,0.46,0.5,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.58,0.65,0.66,0.73,0.69,0.71,0.67,0.72,0.73,0.66,0.64,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.6,0.63,0.67,0.7,0.64,0.65,0.59,0.69,0.73,0.7,0.75,0.85,0.85,0.94,0.95,0.94,0.92,0.85,0.97,0.98,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 92, CLE 102	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.47,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.62,0.65,0.64,0.62,0.73,0.75,0.73,0.68,0.68,0.64,0.67,0.7,0.61,0.63,0.6,0.66,0.73,0.76,0.67,0.72,0.59,0.72,0.76,0.74,0.82,0.85,0.9,0.95,0.95,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.1%
MIL 84, IND 106	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.63,0.62,0.69,0.71,0.73,0.69,0.76,0.76,0.74,0.72,0.64,0.61,0.7,0.77,0.72,0.73,0.67,0.64,0.68,0.74,0.69,0.71,0.74,0.82,0.81,0.87,0.91,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	94.7%
ORL 107, IND 117	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.45,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.62,0.65,0.64,0.68,0.64,0.67,0.65,0.66,0.61,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.73,0.69,0.66,0.78,0.64,0.64,0.68,0.71,0.69,0.74,0.81,0.85,0.85,0.81,0.88,0.93,0.93,0.92,0.91,0.97,0.97,0.95,0.97,1,1	94.7%