NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	107		Excitement	5.6 [700]		MVP	Jalen Rose (IND): +19.1%
Indiana Pacers	117		Comeback	1.3 [521]		LVP	Grant Hill (ORL): -16.1%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Troy Hudson	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.1,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.02	0.02	12	68%	0.10	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
Darrell Armstrong	0.08	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.09	-0.01	0.01	17	61%	0.08	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Andrew DeClercq	0.05	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.01	0.00	3	75%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Horace Grant	0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.00	6	57%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Steven Hunter	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Don Reid	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pat Garrity	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.03	-0.02	17	47%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Bo Outlaw	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Monty Williams	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	3	67%	0.03	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Patrick Ewing	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	1	100%	0.02	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Tracy McGrady	-0.11	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11	-0.10	-0.02	-0.02	10	42%	-0.05	3	-0.06	6	83%	0.02
Grant Hill	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.10	-0.05	0.01	12	43%	-0.08	3	-0.09	6	83%	0.01

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jalen Rose	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.12,0.15,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.11	0.07	-0.01	16	65%	0.19	0	0.00	5	100%	0.01
Reggie Miller	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.11	0.00	-0.01	7	81%	0.12	0	0.00	7	100%	0.03
Al Harrington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.03	0.03	-0.01	13	57%	0.09	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Jamaal Tinsley	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	-0.00	-0.02	4	100%	0.09	3	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Jeff Foster	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	7	57%	-0.00	0	0.00	9	56%	-0.04
Jermaine O'Neal	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	15	53%	0.04	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.00
Jonathan Bender	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Travis Best	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	8	62%	0.02	5	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Austin Croshere	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.10	-0.01	-0.03	8	36%	-0.04	2	-0.04	6	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.3	2.4	31.5	16.6	21.3	2.4	35.6	138.0
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +34.6%

IND +2.2%

IND +12.0%

IND +1.6%

ORL -0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	IND	NBA	ORL	IND	NBA
this game	14.1	16.1	15.6	111.5	123.2	102.3
season	14.6	15.3		104.6	101.6
opponent	15.4	15.8		100.9	103.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	14.0	15.5	14.5	12.7	14.1
IND	14.8	17.3	16.2	16.1	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andrew DeClercq	28	27	0.07	-0.57	0.64	-0.02	3	-13	16	13.7	14.3	-0.57	18.0	15.3	2.77
Darrell Armstrong	61	61	0.02	-0.52	0.55	-0.15	6	-16	22	13.4	15.4	-1.98	16.1	16.0	0.13
Steven Hunter	3	2	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.06	-2	-8	6	6.3	14.4	-8.03	14.0	16.1	-2.10
Bo Outlaw	29	29	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.12	-7	-3	-4	15.3	13.6	1.66	16.1	16.0	0.12
Don Reid	5	4	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	0.02	-4	-6	2	19.0	13.8	5.15	19.0	15.9	3.08
Horace Grant	43	42	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.01	-4	-6	2	14.2	14.0	0.17	16.0	16.1	-0.18
Monty Williams	37	35	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.04	-6	-4	-2	14.5	13.9	0.65	16.1	16.0	0.10
Patrick Ewing	13	15	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.05	-7	-3	-4	14.9	14.0	0.94	16.3	16.0	0.33
Tracy McGrady	57	57	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.11	-8	-2	-6	13.6	14.8	-1.19	16.5	15.3	1.23
Grant Hill	83	82	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.26	-4	-6	2	14.4	12.1	2.36	15.7	18.2	-2.52
Pat Garrity	67	66	-0.53	0.03	-0.57	-0.36	-6	-4	-2	14.2	14.0	0.21	15.6	17.1	-1.51
Troy Hudson	54	55	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.23	-11	1	-12	13.9	14.4	-0.52	15.4	17.0	-1.64

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jalen Rose	86	86	0.57	-0.07	0.65	0.19	13	-3	16	16.2	15.0	1.16	13.9	16.1	-2.22
Al Harrington	50	52	0.51	-0.01	0.51	0.21	10	0	10	16.4	15.7	0.69	14.5	13.7	0.76
Jermaine O'Neal	78	80	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.30	4	6	-2	16.1	15.8	0.35	14.4	12.7	1.71
Reggie Miller	72	73	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.16	6	4	2	15.7	17.2	-1.54	13.9	14.7	-0.82
Jamaal Tinsley	54	54	0.27	0.23	0.05	0.07	7	3	4	15.5	16.8	-1.28	13.1	15.4	-2.25
Austin Croshere	45	45	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.03	8	2	6	16.3	15.8	0.49	14.8	13.5	1.33
Travis Best	43	42	0.26	0.24	0.03	0.00	9	1	8	16.1	16.0	0.16	15.2	13.3	1.96
Jonathan Bender	16	16	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.02	-2	12	-14	16.4	16.0	0.46	13.9	14.2	-0.29
Jeff Foster	31	32	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.04	-5	15	-20	16.2	16.0	0.21	13.2	14.5	-1.30

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.45,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.62,0.65,0.64,0.68,0.64,0.67,0.65,0.66,0.61,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.73,0.69,0.66,0.78,0.64,0.64,0.68,0.71,0.69,0.74,0.81,0.85,0.85,0.81,0.88,0.93,0.93,0.92,0.91,0.97,0.97,0.95,0.97,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 121, OKC 127	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.59,0.57,0.54,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.66,0.63,0.64,0.69,0.58,0.56,0.61,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.7,0.67,0.66,0.63,0.78,0.7,0.64,0.62,0.72,0.67,0.73,0.77,0.87,0.87,0.9,0.82,0.84,0.85,0.89,0.98,1,0.99,1,1,1,1	95.8%
CHA 92, IND 100	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.66,0.55,0.58,0.63,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.56,0.64,0.59,0.7,0.62,0.66,0.7,0.67,0.58,0.65,0.72,0.73,0.69,0.78,0.82,0.87,0.89,0.95,0.93,0.93,0.86,0.84,0.9,0.86,0.97,0.99,1,1	95.4%
HOU 83, SAS 100	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.56,0.68,0.66,0.72,0.64,0.62,0.54,0.56,0.61,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.72,0.73,0.73,0.72,0.7,0.73,0.71,0.68,0.77,0.78,0.79,0.84,0.85,0.85,0.84,0.82,0.83,0.94,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.3%