NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	121		Excitement	6.3 [569]		MVP	Kevin Durant (OKC): +36.1%
Oklahoma City Thunder	127		Comeback	1.2 [754]		LVP	Harrison Barnes (GSW): -13.6%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Klay Thompson	0.15	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.17	-0.01	0.02	17	72%	0.17	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Marreese Speights	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.12	0.02	0.04	4	93%	0.09	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.03
Stephen Curry	0.08	0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.08,0.1,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.17	-0.04	0.06	18	79%	0.24	7	-0.16	11	82%	0.02
Jordan Crawford	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.01	-0.01	4	100%	0.08	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Draymond Green	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.07	-0.00	0.05	4	71%	0.02	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.04
MarShon Brooks	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	3	67%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kent Bazemore	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	1	0%	-0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Bogut	-0.05	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	0.01	5	53%	0.02	2	-0.07	5	0%	-0.08
David Lee	-0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	14	43%	-0.01	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Andre Iguodala	-0.10	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.11	-0.01	-0.02	8	11%	-0.10	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Harrison Barnes	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.10	-0.04	-0.01	4	0%	-0.07	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Durant	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.12,0.17,0.19,0.17,0.2,0.22,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.21,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.2,0.23,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.35,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36	0.36	0.33	0.03	0.00	28	78%	0.43	5	-0.07	13	85%	0.01
Serge Ibaka	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.13	0.03	0.04	11	72%	0.15	1	-0.03	7	71%	-0.01
Jeremy Lamb	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.08	0.01	0.01	9	67%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derek Fisher	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.01	-0.02	5	50%	0.04	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Steven Adams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.00	4	75%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.04	0.01	-0.01	13	52%	0.06	4	-0.07	1	100%	0.00
Nick Collison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Perry Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Thabo Sefolosha	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	3	50%	0.01	3	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Kendrick Perkins	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	5	50%	0.00	2	-0.07	2	0%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.5	2.8	43.3	17.8	31.1	2.7	33.0	154.2
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

OKC +23.0%

OKC +11.8%

OKC +5.6%

OKC +12.3%

GSW -2.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	OKC	NBA	GSW	OKC	NBA
this game	13.7	14.5	15.1	118.6	124.5	105.2
season	14.2	14.4		105.9	107.8
opponent	15.4	15.3		102.9	102.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	14.3	13.8	14.2	12.4	13.7
OKC	13.3	15.0	12.4	17.6	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
MarShon Brooks	4	4	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.15	5	-11	16	9.0	13.9	-4.91	15.2	14.5	0.76
Kent Bazemore	4	5	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	-0.17	5	-11	16	9.0	13.9	-4.91	12.2	14.6	-2.44
Andre Iguodala	63	64	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	-0.12	3	-9	12	13.0	14.9	-1.87	15.2	13.4	1.79
Andrew Bogut	47	45	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.01	-2	-4	2	14.5	13.1	1.40	14.1	14.9	-0.77
David Lee	67	68	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.17	-1	-5	4	13.8	13.6	0.18	15.4	12.8	2.59
Marreese Speights	31	31	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.25	-1	-5	4	14.0	13.6	0.45	12.9	15.2	-2.32
Klay Thompson	88	88	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.15	-6	0	-6	13.5	15.1	-1.65	14.7	13.6	1.10
Draymond Green	56	54	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.17	-7	1	-8	12.8	14.8	-2.06	15.4	13.6	1.81
Jordan Crawford	32	32	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.26	-4	-2	-2	15.0	13.1	1.87	13.3	15.1	-1.76
Harrison Barnes	38	39	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.04	-12	6	-18	15.4	12.7	2.63	12.9	15.5	-2.63
Stephen Curry	80	80	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.13	-10	4	-14	13.7	13.6	0.10	14.8	13.6	1.13

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Durant	94	93	0.53	-0.03	0.55	0.32	7	-1	8	14.4	15.7	-1.34	13.2	19.1	-5.92
Thabo Sefolosha	66	65	0.43	0.07	0.37	0.29	5	1	4	14.0	15.5	-1.52	13.0	14.9	-1.89
Reggie Jackson	68	68	0.30	0.20	0.09	0.18	4	2	2	15.5	12.6	2.81	13.1	15.0	-1.97
Steven Adams	23	24	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.05	8	-2	10	11.9	15.3	-3.42	16.8	12.8	4.02
Nick Collison	33	32	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.15	2	4	-2	13.3	15.1	-1.75	15.4	13.0	2.42
Derek Fisher	31	32	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.15	2	4	-2	13.3	15.1	-1.81	15.2	13.0	2.14
Kendrick Perkins	51	52	0.17	0.33	-0.16	-0.04	7	-1	8	14.4	14.6	-0.25	13.6	13.8	-0.24
Serge Ibaka	75	75	0.17	0.33	-0.17	0.23	-2	8	-10	15.3	12.3	3.07	12.8	16.3	-3.51
Jeremy Lamb	54	54	0.17	0.33	-0.17	0.23	-2	8	-10	15.6	13.3	2.24	13.5	13.9	-0.38
Perry Jones	15	15	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.07	-1	7	-8	15.1	14.4	0.72	17.0	13.1	3.85

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.59,0.57,0.54,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.66,0.63,0.64,0.69,0.58,0.56,0.61,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.7,0.67,0.66,0.63,0.78,0.7,0.64,0.62,0.72,0.67,0.73,0.77,0.87,0.87,0.9,0.82,0.84,0.85,0.89,0.98,1,0.99,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 107, IND 117	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.45,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.62,0.65,0.64,0.68,0.64,0.67,0.65,0.66,0.61,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.73,0.69,0.66,0.78,0.64,0.64,0.68,0.71,0.69,0.74,0.81,0.85,0.85,0.81,0.88,0.93,0.93,0.92,0.91,0.97,0.97,0.95,0.97,1,1	95.8%
HOU 83, SAS 100	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.56,0.68,0.66,0.72,0.64,0.62,0.54,0.56,0.61,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.72,0.73,0.73,0.72,0.7,0.73,0.71,0.68,0.77,0.78,0.79,0.84,0.85,0.85,0.84,0.82,0.83,0.94,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.0%
CHA 88, MIL 98	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.62,0.64,0.6,0.57,0.51,0.57,0.6,0.63,0.6,0.68,0.68,0.64,0.6,0.56,0.56,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.64,0.61,0.73,0.74,0.69,0.73,0.71,0.7,0.71,0.71,0.68,0.82,0.86,0.88,0.9,0.92,0.94,0.95,0.91,0.92,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.93,0.98,1,1	94.3%