inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Houston Rockets 83 Excitement4.8 [879] MVPRudy Gay (SAS): +18.1%
San Antonio Spurs 100 Comeback1.3 [587] LVPJoe Johnson (HOU): -8.2%


Houston Rockets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Gerald Green0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.040.01-0.03858%0.101-0.023100%0.02
Eric Gordon0.070,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.050.02-0.001555%0.091-0.02367%-0.01
James Harden0.030,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.00-0.01-0.041954%0.085-0.068100%0.04
Tim Quarterman0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Tarik Black0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.020.000.02267%0.0000.002100%0.00
Ryan Anderson-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.01-0.010.00140%-0.0000.00367%-0.01
Clint Capela-0.020,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.020.00-0.020.01946%-0.0200.00683%0.01
Luc Mbah a Moute-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.06-0.01-0.03520%-0.031-0.0200%0.00
PJ Tucker-0.060,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.05-0.03-0.02721%-0.0600.0000%0.00
Trevor Ariza-0.080,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.02-0.020.04739%-0.0800.00450%-0.03
Joe Johnson-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.02-0.0240%-0.041-0.0400%0.00

San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Rudy Gay0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.180.180.140.03-0.011368%0.1800.00560%-0.00
LaMarcus Aldridge0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.110.090.030.021959%0.131-0.021100%0.01
Patty Mills0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.100.000.03974%0.0700.001100%0.01
Manu Ginobili0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.010.02-0.00367%0.082-0.05333%-0.03
Pau Gasol0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.000.00-0.00167%0.021-0.0210%-0.01
Davis Bertans00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Brandon Paul00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Joffrey Lauvergne00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Tony Parker0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.010.01-0.00350%0.021-0.032100%0.01
Kyle Anderson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.01-0.000.02450%-0.0100.00250%-0.01
Bryn Forbes0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.06-0.00-0.0440%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Danny Green0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.010.000.031146%-0.021-0.014100%0.02
Dejounte Murray0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.05-0.020.001443%-0.022-0.05250%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.53.229.715.330.62.828.2135.3
league avg25.12.328.615.027.22.332.6134.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
SAS +50.2%
HOU -8.9%
SAS +4.8%
HOU -1.7%
SAS +5.6%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsHOUSASNBAHOUSASNBA
this game15.416.814.791.2113.6107.5
season14.615.5112.8106.7
opponent14.514.8104.1105.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
HOU14.214.716.416.315.4
SAS17.117.415.617.216.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Tim Quarterman330.00-0.500.50-0.093-202311.315.5-4.1820.716.73.97
Tarik Black660.00-0.500.50-0.062-192115.715.40.3118.216.71.43
Eric Gordon5856-0.15-0.350.210.03-6-11514.916.1-1.1716.717.1-0.37
Trevor Ariza5251-0.15-0.350.190.02-6-11515.714.90.7416.517.2-0.67
Clint Capela5453-0.17-0.330.170.07-8-9115.215.6-0.3316.816.9-0.09
PJ Tucker5351-0.20-0.300.090.09-10-7-315.415.30.1016.417.4-0.95
Joe Johnson3231-0.30-0.20-0.09-0.03-9-8-115.215.4-0.1917.216.60.61
Ryan Anderson3432-0.33-0.17-0.17-0.10-8-9115.215.5-0.3117.016.70.27
Luc Mbah a Moute4240-0.35-0.15-0.190.00-12-5-715.315.4-0.1217.116.60.50
James Harden6866-0.42-0.08-0.340.14-192-2116.213.03.2316.218.6-2.35
Gerald Green5351-0.43-0.07-0.37-0.08-12-5-715.015.9-0.8517.515.91.62

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Manu Ginobili37390.480.020.47-0.0418-11916.617.0-0.4115.715.10.56
Patty Mills70700.440.060.39-0.1420-32316.817.1-0.3516.013.32.65
Rudy Gay43460.420.080.35-0.1620-32316.816.9-0.1215.814.90.91
LaMarcus Aldridge66670.360.140.21-0.111611516.717.1-0.3516.213.13.11
Tony Parker24250.250.250.01-0.0198116.616.9-0.2815.815.20.59
Danny Green55580.240.26-0.02-0.11125716.816.8-0.0315.215.6-0.36
Dejounte Murray45460.180.32-0.150.12215-1317.216.50.7114.616.2-1.59
Kyle Anderson47510.100.40-0.31-0.08611-516.517.2-0.6815.115.7-0.54
Pau Gasol22200.050.45-0.400.05017-1717.016.80.1714.115.7-1.63
Davis Bertans330.000.50-0.500.09-320-2320.716.73.9711.315.5-4.18
Brandon Paul330.000.50-0.500.09-320-2320.716.73.9711.315.5-4.18
Joffrey Lauvergne330.000.50-0.500.09-320-2320.716.73.9711.315.5-4.18
Bryn Forbes2224-0.020.52-0.540.25-926-3516.417.0-0.6214.415.7-1.36


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.56,0.68,0.66,0.72,0.64,0.62,0.54,0.56,0.61,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.72,0.73,0.73,0.72,0.7,0.73,0.71,0.68,0.77,0.78,0.79,0.84,0.85,0.85,0.84,0.82,0.83,0.94,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
MEM 106, PHX 1110.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.5,0.54,0.55,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.62,0.58,0.58,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.69,0.59,0.73,0.73,0.71,0.77,0.78,0.67,0.61,0.71,0.74,0.78,0.9,0.87,0.89,0.87,0.89,0.82,0.86,0.88,0.9,0.92,0.93,0.97,0.99,0.97,0.98,195.4%
ORL 107, IND 1170.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.45,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.62,0.65,0.64,0.68,0.64,0.67,0.65,0.66,0.61,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.73,0.69,0.66,0.78,0.64,0.64,0.68,0.71,0.69,0.74,0.81,0.85,0.85,0.81,0.88,0.93,0.93,0.92,0.91,0.97,0.97,0.95,0.97,1,195.3%
NYK 79, SAS 900.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.48,0.41,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.66,0.66,0.69,0.67,0.66,0.7,0.77,0.69,0.67,0.64,0.67,0.74,0.78,0.73,0.79,0.84,0.9,0.85,0.85,0.85,0.86,0.9,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.92,0.94,1,195.0%