NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	79		Excitement	5.4 [729]		MVP	Steven Smith (SAS): +10.5%
San Antonio Spurs	90		Comeback	1.4 [1150]		LVP	Latrell Sprewell (NYK): -22.8%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Allan Houston	0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06	0.07	0.00	0.01	18	56%	0.06	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Charlie Ward	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.00	4	80%	0.07	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Othella Harrington	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Camby	-0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	24	43%	-0.04	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Shandon Anderson	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mark Jackson	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	2	0%	-0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kurt Thomas	-0.10	0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.09	-0.02	-0.02	6	56%	0.02	5	-0.12	4	75%	-0.00
Travis Knight	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.09	-0.04	0.00	3	0%	-0.06	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Latrell Sprewell	-0.23	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.16,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.17,-0.18,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23	-0.14	-0.09	0.00	17	47%	-0.04	7	-0.19	2	100%	0.01

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Steven Smith	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.07	0.04	0.00	8	75%	0.13	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Malik Rose	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.01	-0.03	9	54%	0.06	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.01
Charles Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	6	62%	0.02	1	-0.01	4	50%	-0.02
Tony Parker	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.04	0.02	-0.02	13	48%	0.04	2	-0.03	3	67%	-0.01
Amal McCaskill	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antonio Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	-0.03	6	33%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Tim Duncan	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.01	0.00	15	54%	0.02	3	-0.06	9	78%	0.01
Terry Porter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	6	36%	-0.03	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Bruce Bowen	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.03	-0.02	0.03	4	37%	-0.04	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
David Robinson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.08	-0.04	0.00	9	36%	-0.08	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.4	2.4	26.5	17.3	24.5	2.6	30.3	129.1
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +28.9%

SAS +3.3%

NYK -2.3%

SAS +19.4%

SAS +0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	SAS	NBA	NYK	SAS	NBA
this game	15.2	16.1	15.6	85.9	97.8	102.3
season	15.9	15.8		99.6	104.3
opponent	15.7	15.6		98.0	103.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	16.5	17.3	13.0	14.6	15.2
SAS	14.2	17.9	16.5	16.0	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kurt Thomas	47	49	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.20	6	-17	23	15.8	14.6	1.21	15.4	16.9	-1.49
Travis Knight	26	25	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	-0.14	2	-13	15	13.2	16.0	-2.85	18.1	15.3	2.77
Shandon Anderson	28	29	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.02	-4	-7	3	14.4	15.6	-1.27	16.0	16.1	-0.04
Charlie Ward	44	43	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.10	-4	-7	3	14.8	15.6	-0.81	16.7	15.6	1.10
Othella Harrington	21	19	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	0.16	-13	2	-15	16.8	14.8	2.03	16.1	16.1	-0.02
Mark Jackson	48	49	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.08	-7	-4	-3	15.6	14.8	0.81	15.6	16.7	-1.10
Allan Houston	81	81	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.26	-3	-8	5	14.8	18.3	-3.45	16.2	14.9	1.31
Marcus Camby	85	84	-0.54	0.04	-0.57	-0.16	-13	2	-15	15.2	15.1	0.10	16.2	15.1	1.03
Latrell Sprewell	80	81	-0.66	0.16	-0.81	-0.10	-19	8	-27	15.9	11.1	4.78	15.6	19.3	-3.64

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
David Robinson	72	73	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.14	11	0	11	15.4	18.3	-2.86	15.8	13.2	2.62
Bruce Bowen	59	60	0.45	0.05	0.41	-0.05	17	-6	23	15.1	17.9	-2.83	15.5	14.7	0.75
Malik Rose	37	35	0.28	0.22	0.05	0.07	7	4	3	16.1	16.1	0.03	14.5	15.7	-1.22
Tim Duncan	74	75	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.09	6	5	1	16.7	13.3	3.40	15.1	16.0	-0.93
Terry Porter	35	35	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.08	6	5	1	17.3	15.3	2.06	15.6	15.0	0.54
Antonio Daniels	42	40	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.23	1	10	-9	17.5	14.9	2.64	14.9	15.5	-0.51
Steven Smith	50	52	0.24	0.26	-0.02	-0.05	10	1	9	14.9	17.5	-2.64	15.5	14.9	0.51
Tony Parker	56	55	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.07	5	6	-1	15.5	16.9	-1.40	15.1	15.4	-0.23
Charles Smith	34	34	0.07	0.43	-0.37	0.24	-6	17	-23	17.4	15.3	2.14	14.6	15.6	-1.03
Amal McCaskill	1	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	13	-15	11.0	16.1	-5.12	15.0	15.2	-0.24

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.48,0.41,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.66,0.66,0.69,0.67,0.66,0.7,0.77,0.69,0.67,0.64,0.67,0.74,0.78,0.73,0.79,0.84,0.9,0.85,0.85,0.85,0.86,0.9,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.92,0.94,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 83, SAS 100	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.56,0.68,0.66,0.72,0.64,0.62,0.54,0.56,0.61,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.72,0.73,0.73,0.72,0.7,0.73,0.71,0.68,0.77,0.78,0.79,0.84,0.85,0.85,0.84,0.82,0.83,0.94,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.0%
MIN 91, MIA 105	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.62,0.61,0.58,0.59,0.66,0.66,0.7,0.64,0.67,0.66,0.72,0.7,0.76,0.76,0.77,0.78,0.76,0.73,0.84,0.84,0.92,0.95,0.94,0.94,0.94,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1	94.9%
TOR 91, MIA 103	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.65,0.67,0.7,0.58,0.61,0.66,0.67,0.73,0.75,0.74,0.72,0.66,0.64,0.73,0.74,0.83,0.84,0.83,0.84,0.87,0.87,0.92,0.88,0.83,0.81,0.86,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.98,1,1,1	94.9%