NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	106		Excitement	6.2 [595]		MVP	PJ Tucker (PHX): +13.5%
Phoenix Suns	111		Comeback	1.1 [381]		LVP	Mike Conley (MEM): -13.3%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Matt Barnes	0.09	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09	0.05	0.02	-0.02	12	57%	0.12	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Zach Randolph	0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.01	-0.01	15	51%	0.09	1	-0.04	7	100%	0.05
Mario Chalmers	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.01	-0.00	7	58%	0.10	2	-0.06	12	92%	0.04
Chris Andersen	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.00	1	67%	0.03	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.01
Lance Stephenson	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	-0.00	0.00	8	60%	0.05	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Brandan Wright	0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.04	-0.01	0.01	3	100%	0.05	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
JaMychal Green	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	-0.00	7	43%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
PJ Hairston	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	5	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Vince Carter	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	6	36%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Mike Conley	-0.13	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	0.00	-0.06	0.08	16	49%	-0.08	2	-0.05	7	86%	-0.00

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
PJ Tucker	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.13	0.13	0.08	0.05	-0.01	14	52%	0.13	0	0.00	5	80%	0.00
Mirza Teletovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.07	0.05	0.01	13	60%	0.14	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.03
Alex Len	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.07	0.05	0.02	11	65%	0.15	2	-0.05	12	67%	-0.02
Ronnie Price	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09	0.09	0.03	0.05	-0.01	5	86%	0.17	4	-0.08	4	75%	0.01
Archie Goodwin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.01	-0.01	9	55%	0.06	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
John Jenkins	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyson Chandler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	4	70%	0.04	4	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Devin Booker	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	16	44%	0.00	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02
Phil Pressey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jon Leuer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	8	44%	0.01	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.1	1.8	31.3	15.6	32.1	1.7	40.2	148.8
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +55.4%

MEM -12.0%

PHX +26.2%

MEM -16.2%

MEM -3.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	PHX	NBA	MEM	PHX	NBA
this game	14.9	14.5	14.9	108.2	113.3	105.1
season	15.7	14.4		103.4	100.9
opponent	14.4	14.8		107.4	106.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	14.6	14.9	15.2	15.0	14.9
PHX	14.2	13.9	14.2	15.6	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
JaMychal Green	34	34	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.10	2	-7	9	12.3	16.3	-3.97	15.2	14.1	1.08
Brandan Wright	30	30	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	-0.02	-1	-4	3	16.5	14.2	2.28	13.8	14.8	-0.96
Vince Carter	48	48	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.20	1	-6	7	14.1	15.7	-1.64	14.4	14.6	-0.19
Mario Chalmers	43	46	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.10	-4	-1	-3	13.3	16.2	-2.84	13.9	15.0	-1.13
Matt Barnes	74	75	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.33	2	-7	9	15.4	13.5	1.82	15.0	12.8	2.20
PJ Hairston	47	47	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.01	-9	4	-13	15.9	14.1	1.79	14.9	14.1	0.73
Mike Conley	60	60	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.30	0	-5	5	16.3	12.8	3.52	14.3	14.8	-0.48
Lance Stephenson	57	56	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.27	-2	-3	1	14.2	15.9	-1.65	14.3	14.7	-0.47
Chris Andersen	40	36	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.15	-9	4	-13	15.1	14.8	0.39	15.2	14.0	1.19
Zach Randolph	57	58	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.30	-5	0	-5	15.3	14.4	0.87	13.9	15.3	-1.40

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
PJ Tucker	87	87	0.66	-0.16	0.83	0.28	13	-8	21	14.6	13.5	1.04	15.1	13.6	1.44
Devin Booker	77	77	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.13	17	-12	29	14.4	14.8	-0.37	14.9	15.0	-0.04
Alex Len	69	69	0.47	0.03	0.43	0.32	5	0	5	14.5	14.4	0.08	15.3	14.1	1.21
Mirza Teletovic	55	56	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.27	4	1	3	14.2	14.8	-0.57	14.7	15.1	-0.39
Archie Goodwin	49	48	0.20	0.30	-0.09	0.32	-4	9	-13	14.7	14.2	0.53	15.0	14.9	0.08
Ronnie Price	46	46	0.20	0.30	-0.11	0.26	-2	7	-9	14.0	14.9	-0.97	15.3	14.6	0.65
Jon Leuer	24	24	0.12	0.38	-0.26	-0.03	5	0	5	14.6	14.4	0.15	13.9	15.3	-1.38
Tyson Chandler	48	47	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.14	-4	9	-13	14.7	14.3	0.39	15.1	14.7	0.40
Phil Pressey	24	25	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	-0.00	-1	6	-7	15.2	14.2	0.92	14.2	15.2	-0.91
John Jenkins	11	11	-0.16	0.66	-0.83	0.07	-8	13	-21	13.5	14.6	-1.04	13.6	15.1	-1.44

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.5,0.54,0.55,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.62,0.58,0.58,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.69,0.59,0.73,0.73,0.71,0.77,0.78,0.67,0.61,0.71,0.74,0.78,0.9,0.87,0.89,0.87,0.89,0.82,0.86,0.88,0.9,0.92,0.93,0.97,0.99,0.97,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 83, SAS 100	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.56,0.68,0.66,0.72,0.64,0.62,0.54,0.56,0.61,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.72,0.73,0.73,0.72,0.7,0.73,0.71,0.68,0.77,0.78,0.79,0.84,0.85,0.85,0.84,0.82,0.83,0.94,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.4%
NOK 83, PHX 92	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.52,0.53,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.65,0.62,0.65,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.66,0.56,0.69,0.64,0.61,0.63,0.6,0.66,0.61,0.64,0.73,0.68,0.69,0.79,0.85,0.87,0.85,0.92,0.92,0.91,0.83,0.85,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1	94.6%
ORL 107, IND 117	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.45,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.62,0.65,0.64,0.68,0.64,0.67,0.65,0.66,0.61,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.73,0.69,0.66,0.78,0.64,0.64,0.68,0.71,0.69,0.74,0.81,0.85,0.85,0.81,0.88,0.93,0.93,0.92,0.91,0.97,0.97,0.95,0.97,1,1	94.6%