NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans/Oklahoma City Hornets	83		Excitement	5.1 [814]		MVP	Raja Bell (PHX): +10.4%
Phoenix Suns	92		Comeback	1.2 [1167]		LVP	Bobby Jackson (NOK): -14.2%

New Orleans/Oklahoma City Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Desmond Mason	0.07	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.01	0.01	15	57%	0.09	1	-0.02	7	71%	0.00
Cedric Simmons	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyson Chandler	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	3	50%	0.00	1	-0.04	2	0%	-0.03
Jannero Pargo	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	5	50%	0.02	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Peja Stojakovic	-0.07	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	0.03	-0.05	0.05	20	48%	-0.07	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Marc Jackson	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.00	-0.00	4	0%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Rasual Butler	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	-0.00	8	12%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Paul	-0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.03	-0.04	0.03	16	53%	-0.00	4	-0.11	2	100%	0.00
Bobby Jackson	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.07	-0.05	0.02	13	39%	-0.09	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.02

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Raja Bell	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.11	-0.01	0.00	13	64%	0.10	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Kurt Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.00	0.00	3	100%	0.09	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Steve Nash	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.00	-0.01	17	60%	0.11	3	-0.06	6	100%	0.04
Jalen Rose	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	75%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Marion	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.03	-0.01	0.04	13	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Boris Diaw	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	0.01	10	86%	0.20	8	-0.23	1	100%	0.01
Leandro Barbosa	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	0.00	-0.02	4	50%	0.01	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Banks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.01	-0.00	3	25%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
James Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.00	4	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Amar'e Stoudemire	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	-0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.03	2	-0.04	2	0%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	2.5	26.5	15.6	24.2	2.5	27.4	121.9
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +52.7%

PHX +11.5%

NOK -8.0%

NOK -12.2%

PHX +6.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOK	PHX	NBA	NOK	PHX	NBA
this game	16.7	14.6	15.4	90.2	100.0	104.5
season	16.0	13.8		102.8	112.2
opponent	16.0	15.3		105.0	104.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOK	15.5	16.1	19.8	15.5	16.7
PHX	12.2	13.9	15.2	17.9	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans/Oklahoma City Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Cedric Simmons	17	16	0.08	-0.58	0.66	-0.04	4	-13	17	18.5	16.3	2.22	14.6	14.6	-0.02
Jannero Pargo	34	34	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.15	1	-10	11	16.2	16.9	-0.68	14.3	14.8	-0.55
Marc Jackson	17	17	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.02	-6	-3	-3	14.1	17.2	-3.12	13.1	15.0	-1.87
Bobby Jackson	67	67	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.08	-4	-5	1	15.6	19.6	-4.03	14.5	15.1	-0.66
Desmond Mason	71	71	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.24	0	-9	9	16.5	17.1	-0.62	14.7	14.3	0.40
Tyson Chandler	58	59	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.22	-7	-2	-5	16.9	16.3	0.59	15.1	13.8	1.24
Peja Stojakovic	72	73	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.20	-8	-1	-7	17.0	15.5	1.42	15.1	12.7	2.40
Chris Paul	74	74	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	-0.23	-9	0	-9	16.9	15.7	1.24	14.6	14.8	-0.17
Rasual Butler	50	49	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.05	-16	7	-23	17.8	15.3	2.53	14.3	15.0	-0.72

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Steve Nash	75	74	0.68	-0.18	0.87	0.16	18	-9	27	14.2	16.7	-2.53	16.9	15.7	1.17
Raja Bell	81	80	0.51	-0.01	0.51	0.15	12	-3	15	14.6	14.6	0.01	17.1	13.7	3.45
Shawn Marion	78	78	0.48	0.02	0.45	0.24	8	1	7	14.5	15.4	-0.93	16.3	18.9	-2.67
Kurt Thomas	50	50	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.19	7	2	5	15.1	14.0	1.09	16.3	17.1	-0.80
Boris Diaw	65	64	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.13	8	1	7	15.0	13.7	1.27	16.7	16.7	-0.02
James Jones	19	19	0.17	0.33	-0.17	0.05	4	5	-1	15.2	14.5	0.65	20.8	15.6	5.27
Amar'e Stoudemire	42	42	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.05	2	7	-5	14.0	15.1	-1.09	17.1	16.3	0.80
Leandro Barbosa	21	22	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.01	0	9	-9	13.9	14.9	-0.95	15.0	17.2	-2.19
Marcus Banks	16	17	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.11	-7	16	-23	16.6	14.2	2.33	16.1	16.8	-0.74
Jalen Rose	13	14	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	0.09	-7	16	-23	14.4	14.7	-0.30	12.9	17.3	-4.49

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.52,0.53,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.65,0.62,0.65,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.66,0.56,0.69,0.64,0.61,0.63,0.6,0.66,0.61,0.64,0.73,0.68,0.69,0.79,0.85,0.87,0.85,0.92,0.92,0.91,0.83,0.85,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 91, SAS 106	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.64,0.64,0.65,0.64,0.68,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.7,0.68,0.66,0.67,0.75,0.76,0.71,0.72,0.81,0.85,0.86,0.9,0.96,0.96,0.93,0.96,0.94,0.94,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1	95.4%
ATL 86, CHI 94	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.61,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.65,0.66,0.61,0.64,0.66,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.65,0.69,0.67,0.67,0.67,0.68,0.71,0.84,0.8,0.84,0.87,0.9,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.95,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.3%
MIL 84, LAL 106	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.48,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.57,0.63,0.65,0.68,0.58,0.54,0.62,0.66,0.64,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.64,0.64,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.58,0.59,0.58,0.66,0.7,0.73,0.68,0.74,0.81,0.89,0.89,0.87,0.9,0.9,0.9,0.86,0.94,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.3%