NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	91		Excitement	4.9 [671]		MVP	Gordon Hayward (UTA): +14.6%
San Antonio Spurs	106		Comeback	1.4 [994]		LVP	Devin Harris (UTA): -19.0%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gordon Hayward	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.10	0.04	-0.01	6	71%	0.15	1	0.00	12	100%	0.05
Alec Burks	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	2	67%	0.02	0	0.00	5	80%	0.00
Derrick Favors	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.03	5	50%	0.01	1	0.00	4	25%	-0.04
Paul Millsap	0.01	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.02	14	59%	0.09	3	-0.08	6	67%	-0.02
Jeremy Evans	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Blake Ahearn	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeMarre Carroll	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	-0.01	8	44%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamaal Tinsley	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	8	50%	0.04	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Enes Kanter	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	4	25%	-0.03	1	0.01	0	0%	0.00
Al Jefferson	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.01	-0.03	0.04	16	48%	-0.01	1	-0.04	1	0%	-0.01
Josh Howard	-0.10	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.10	-0.02	-0.02	4	0%	-0.05	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Devin Harris	-0.19	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.12	-0.08	-0.01	9	39%	-0.03	5	-0.16	0	0%	0.00

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tony Parker	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.10	0.03	0.01	19	58%	0.15	2	-0.03	10	80%	0.01
Stephen Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.10	0.01	0.01	8	70%	0.10	0	0.00	4	100%	0.00
Tim Duncan	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.00	0.03	-0.04	14	52%	0.09	2	-0.01	5	60%	-0.03
Matt Bonner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.07	0.00	0.02	5	90%	0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Gary Neal	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.01	-0.01	5	50%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tiago Splitter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.03	-0.00	4	40%	0.02	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Boris Diaw	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	-0.01	0.01	5	82%	0.07	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.00
DeJuan Blair	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	5	42%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Patty Mills	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kawhi Leonard	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.01	5	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Danny Green	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Manu Ginobili	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.11	-0.02	-0.01	10	32%	-0.08	3	-0.05	2	50%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.6	2.7	32.1	17.4	29.2	2.7	34.0	144.8
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +26.2%

SAS +1.0%

SAS +1.6%

SAS +20.7%

SAS +0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	SAS	NBA	UTA	SAS	NBA
this game	15.6	15.2	15.6	96.8	114.0	102.8
season	15.8	15.3		104.0	109.1
opponent	15.2	15.1		101.5	104.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	17.6	13.5	16.4	15.4	15.6
SAS	15.1	14.8	15.6	15.2	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Enes Kanter	21	19	0.04	-0.54	0.57	-0.14	6	-21	27	11.7	16.8	-5.04	16.4	14.9	1.50
Alec Burks	23	23	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-17	19	15.0	15.8	-0.83	14.9	15.3	-0.40
Jeremy Evans	3	3	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-17	19	10.3	15.8	-5.47	18.3	15.1	3.27
Blake Ahearn	3	3	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-17	19	10.3	15.8	-5.47	18.3	15.1	3.27
Derrick Favors	50	50	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.15	0	-15	15	14.2	17.2	-3.05	16.4	13.8	2.57
Jamaal Tinsley	41	40	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.08	-3	-12	9	14.7	16.4	-1.72	15.4	15.0	0.49
DeMarre Carroll	43	40	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.03	-6	-9	3	15.8	15.5	0.30	15.4	15.0	0.49
Josh Howard	34	34	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	0.03	-9	-6	-3	15.8	15.5	0.21	13.6	16.1	-2.50
Devin Harris	50	50	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	0.08	-14	-1	-13	16.7	14.4	2.38	14.8	15.7	-0.89
Al Jefferson	62	64	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	0.04	-15	0	-15	17.0	13.1	3.89	14.6	16.5	-1.95
Gordon Hayward	71	70	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.00	-17	2	-19	15.8	15.0	0.83	15.3	14.9	0.40
Paul Millsap	69	69	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	0.13	-23	8	-31	16.7	12.6	4.12	15.0	15.6	-0.55

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tim Duncan	61	60	0.46	0.04	0.42	-0.04	17	-2	19	14.6	16.2	-1.55	16.8	13.5	3.38
Manu Ginobili	49	50	0.45	0.05	0.40	-0.05	17	-2	19	13.8	16.7	-2.91	16.5	14.7	1.82
Tony Parker	72	72	0.33	0.17	0.15	-0.06	13	2	11	15.1	15.4	-0.33	16.1	14.2	1.83
Boris Diaw	53	50	0.28	0.22	0.07	-0.07	12	3	9	15.6	14.6	1.00	15.8	15.4	0.37
Stephen Jackson	50	52	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.06	7	8	-1	15.4	14.9	0.58	16.0	15.1	0.92
Kawhi Leonard	40	40	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.02	7	8	-1	14.9	15.4	-0.52	14.8	16.2	-1.35
Matt Bonner	37	41	0.22	0.28	-0.07	0.07	5	10	-5	14.3	15.7	-1.45	15.8	15.5	0.31
Gary Neal	25	25	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.07	4	11	-7	15.3	15.1	0.15	13.9	16.3	-2.38
DeJuan Blair	18	19	0.08	0.42	-0.35	0.05	1	14	-13	16.5	14.9	1.65	14.3	16.0	-1.64
Danny Green	39	39	0.04	0.46	-0.43	0.12	-3	18	-21	16.4	14.3	2.18	15.6	15.7	-0.11
Patty Mills	4	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	15	-15	20.0	15.0	5.04	11.2	15.8	-4.57
James Anderson	3	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	17	-19	18.3	15.1	3.27	10.3	15.8	-5.47
Tiago Splitter	14	15	-0.03	0.53	-0.57	0.05	-3	18	-21	15.8	15.1	0.72	12.4	16.2	-3.84

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.64,0.64,0.65,0.64,0.68,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.7,0.68,0.66,0.67,0.75,0.76,0.71,0.72,0.81,0.85,0.86,0.9,0.96,0.96,0.93,0.96,0.94,0.94,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 67, DET 90	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.69,0.6,0.63,0.59,0.58,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.67,0.71,0.74,0.7,0.73,0.76,0.77,0.75,0.76,0.83,0.84,0.91,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.8%
SAC 97, POR 112	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.49,0.55,0.59,0.53,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.69,0.66,0.6,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.71,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.67,0.71,0.72,0.73,0.76,0.76,0.79,0.75,0.76,0.88,0.89,0.9,0.95,0.95,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.1%
DAL 84, SEA 103	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.4,0.44,0.45,0.43,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.65,0.7,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.68,0.65,0.63,0.63,0.59,0.64,0.54,0.59,0.59,0.67,0.71,0.66,0.7,0.73,0.79,0.74,0.78,0.75,0.79,0.81,0.82,0.9,0.95,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.0%