NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	84		Excitement	4.7 [851]		MVP	Gary Payton (SEA): +8.5%
Seattle SuperSonics	103		Comeback	1.7 [1211]		LVP	Shawn Bradley (DAL): -19.9%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Michael Finley	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.02	-0.01	10	57%	0.07	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Sasha Danilovic	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	15	55%	0.04	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.02
Stevin Smith	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.00	1	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Greg Dreiling	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	3	37%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
A.C. Green	-0.00	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	0.00	7	44%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Ed O'Bannon	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.08	0.00	-0.07	6	14%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Martin Muursepp	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.00	-0.03	0.02	8	53%	-0.04	1	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Derek Harper	-0.12	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.01	-0.02	11	23%	-0.09	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Robert Pack	-0.14	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.12	-0.03	-0.01	9	41%	-0.07	4	-0.08	4	75%	-0.01
Shawn Bradley	-0.20	0,0,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.17	-0.05	-0.03	15	43%	-0.07	6	-0.13	7	57%	-0.04

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gary Payton	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	-0.00	0.03	-0.05	21	51%	0.12	2	-0.04	3	67%	-0.00
Detlef Schrempf	0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.03	0.00	8	75%	0.11	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.03
Hersey Hawkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	0.02	0.03	12	61%	0.05	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Eric Snow	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	0.01	2	100%	0.03	1	0.00	3	100%	0.01
David Wingate	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	-0.02	6	50%	0.01	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Terry Cummings	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	-0.00	0.00	7	57%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jim McIlvaine	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Larry Stewart	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Craig Ehlo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.07	0.00	-0.07	3	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sam Perkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.07	-0.00	0.07	10	62%	-0.00	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Nate McMillan	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.03	-0.00	0.04	4	62%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Kemp	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	-0.01	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	50.1	1.7	26.0	19.8	26.2	1.8	28.3	153.9
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SEA +46.9%

SEA +4.9%

DAL -13.6%

SEA +14.7%

DAL -2.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	SEA	NBA	DAL	SEA	NBA
this game	18.2	14.1	15.6	94.4	115.7	104.4
season	15.9	14.9		99.1	108.9
opponent	16.2	15.7		100.8	105.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	17.4	18.6	20.1	17.1	18.2
SEA	13.2	17.4	13.5	12.9	14.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ed O'Bannon	21	23	0.03	-0.53	0.56	-0.23	9	-28	37	18.4	18.2	0.20	16.3	13.4	2.93
Stevin Smith	9	10	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.18	6	-25	31	13.6	18.7	-5.19	12.6	14.3	-1.73
Greg Dreiling	8	8	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.12	4	-23	27	12.2	18.8	-6.56	11.6	14.4	-2.76
Martin Muursepp	35	35	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.16	1	-20	21	17.9	18.4	-0.56	13.5	14.5	-0.98
Sasha Danilovic	51	53	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.08	-11	-8	-3	18.3	18.2	0.07	14.0	14.4	-0.43
Derek Harper	64	63	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	0.23	-18	-1	-17	18.5	17.4	1.15	15.3	11.2	4.10
A.C. Green	66	64	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	0.27	-21	2	-23	18.7	16.8	1.89	14.7	12.8	1.91
Robert Pack	59	56	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	0.17	-22	3	-25	18.6	17.4	1.24	13.1	15.8	-2.72
Michael Finley	63	62	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	0.09	-21	2	-23	18.1	18.5	-0.44	13.4	15.8	-2.36
Shawn Bradley	69	71	-0.52	0.02	-0.55	0.12	-22	3	-25	18.6	16.8	1.77	14.2	13.8	0.45

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gary Payton	65	65	0.59	-0.09	0.68	-0.09	23	-4	27	13.7	15.4	-1.70	18.2	18.2	0.08
Sam Perkins	51	53	0.55	-0.05	0.60	-0.30	29	-10	39	13.2	15.4	-2.15	18.3	18.1	0.24
Hersey Hawkins	73	74	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.03	14	5	9	13.2	18.2	-5.02	18.1	19.1	-1.01
Detlef Schrempf	46	49	0.32	0.18	0.14	-0.03	12	7	5	14.1	14.2	-0.14	18.6	17.8	0.77
Terry Cummings	47	45	0.31	0.19	0.12	-0.25	19	0	19	14.0	14.3	-0.24	19.0	17.4	1.57
David Wingate	43	40	0.18	0.32	-0.14	-0.02	7	12	-5	14.2	14.1	0.14	17.8	18.6	-0.77
Jim McIlvaine	22	24	0.09	0.41	-0.31	-0.02	4	15	-11	15.8	13.6	2.24	17.9	18.3	-0.42
Nate McMillan	41	41	0.08	0.42	-0.35	-0.22	10	9	1	16.9	11.8	5.13	19.7	17.0	2.70
Shawn Kemp	13	13	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.04	0	19	-19	13.9	14.2	-0.25	17.5	18.3	-0.80
Larry Stewart	14	13	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.18	-6	25	-31	12.7	14.4	-1.69	16.4	18.5	-2.15
Craig Ehlo	10	9	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.18	-6	25	-31	12.6	14.3	-1.73	13.6	18.7	-5.19
Eric Snow	20	19	-0.10	0.60	-0.69	0.23	-11	30	-41	15.9	13.6	2.28	17.9	18.3	-0.42

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.4,0.44,0.45,0.43,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.65,0.7,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.68,0.65,0.63,0.63,0.59,0.64,0.54,0.59,0.59,0.67,0.71,0.66,0.7,0.73,0.79,0.74,0.78,0.75,0.79,0.81,0.82,0.9,0.95,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 67, DET 90	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.69,0.6,0.63,0.59,0.58,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.67,0.71,0.74,0.7,0.73,0.76,0.77,0.75,0.76,0.83,0.84,0.91,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.1%
UTA 91, SAS 106	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.64,0.64,0.65,0.64,0.68,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.7,0.68,0.66,0.67,0.75,0.76,0.71,0.72,0.81,0.85,0.86,0.9,0.96,0.96,0.93,0.96,0.94,0.94,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1	96.0%
CHA 86, NJN 99	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.46,0.45,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.65,0.7,0.68,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.71,0.66,0.56,0.51,0.59,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.64,0.73,0.77,0.74,0.75,0.87,0.88,0.87,0.92,0.94,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.3%