NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Denver Nuggets	83		Excitement	5.2 [781]		MVP	Carlos Boozer (UTA): +19.9%
Utah Jazz	104		Comeback	1.1 [1179]		LVP	Andre Miller (DEN): -13.6%

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
DerMarr Johnson	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.00	0.01	-0.03	7	43%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Francisco Elson	0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	-0.01	6	67%	0.05	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Greg Buckner	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.06	-0.01	0.02	10	59%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Linas Kleiza	-0.00	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.06	-0.02	0.04	10	55%	-0.00	0	0.00	9	67%	-0.06
Ruben Patterson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.02	-0.01	7	56%	0.08	4	-0.11	4	50%	-0.01
Reggie Evans	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Howard Eisley	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	0.01	-0.02	0.06	6	62%	-0.00	2	-0.06	4	75%	-0.02
Carmelo Anthony	-0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.09	-0.02	-0.03	19	42%	0.01	3	-0.09	5	80%	0.00
Andre Miller	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.12	-0.01	0.00	6	17%	-0.06	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Carlos Boozer	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.09	0.07	-0.04	19	57%	0.20	1	0.00	6	50%	-0.04
Devin Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	-0.00	5	80%	0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mehmet Okur	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.06	0.02	0.05	18	56%	0.05	1	-0.02	7	71%	-0.00
Deron Williams	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.03	-0.00	14	50%	0.07	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
CJ Miles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Harpring	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.02	8	57%	0.04	2	-0.05	7	71%	-0.01
Jarron Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kris Humphries	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	3	33%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Keith McLeod	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	0.00	-0.00	4	25%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Andrei Kirilenko	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.00	0.00	13	47%	0.03	4	-0.11	4	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.6	1.8	29.2	15.6	25.2	2.4	24.6	122.4
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +21.6%

UTA +7.7%

UTA +13.7%

UTA +8.9%

DEN -1.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DEN	UTA	NBA	DEN	UTA	NBA
this game	14.1	17.2	15.6	90.2	113.0	104.4
season	14.4	17.0		103.5	101.7
opponent	15.0	15.9		104.6	103.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DEN	14.7	13.7	12.2	16.0	14.1
UTA	15.9	15.1	20.0	18.3	17.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Greg Buckner	52	52	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.11	4	-25	29	13.0	15.5	-2.57	18.7	15.3	3.42
Linas Kleiza	55	56	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.17	-11	-10	-1	14.5	13.6	0.89	18.4	15.4	2.94
Carmelo Anthony	66	65	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.05	-7	-14	7	13.3	16.1	-2.76	17.2	17.2	-0.02
Howard Eisley	44	45	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.06	-4	-17	13	13.7	14.4	-0.67	16.8	17.6	-0.75
Francisco Elson	61	61	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	0.16	-12	-9	-3	13.8	14.7	-0.97	17.8	16.1	1.72
Reggie Evans	45	46	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.08	-10	-11	1	14.4	13.8	0.55	15.7	18.7	-2.93
Andre Miller	56	54	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	0.23	-21	0	-21	14.9	12.9	2.03	17.1	17.3	-0.23
Ruben Patterson	45	45	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	0.21	-25	4	-29	14.9	13.3	1.64	15.6	18.7	-3.10
DerMarr Johnson	36	36	-0.54	0.04	-0.59	0.01	-19	-2	-17	14.9	13.6	1.39	16.8	17.5	-0.70

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Devin Brown	49	49	0.53	-0.03	0.56	-0.23	26	-5	31	16.7	17.8	-1.10	14.5	13.6	0.88
Deron Williams	67	67	0.40	0.10	0.30	-0.13	18	3	15	18.0	15.1	2.92	14.2	13.7	0.52
Andrei Kirilenko	77	77	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.00	12	9	3	17.3	16.5	0.80	14.0	14.7	-0.76
Carlos Boozer	73	75	0.34	0.16	0.19	-0.07	14	7	7	17.4	16.5	0.86	14.0	14.7	-0.75
Kris Humphries	27	24	0.29	0.21	0.07	-0.07	12	9	3	15.6	17.9	-2.28	14.6	13.9	0.66
Mehmet Okur	67	69	0.21	0.29	-0.07	-0.11	11	10	1	18.1	14.8	3.36	14.0	14.3	-0.22
Jarron Collins	17	16	0.16	0.34	-0.19	0.01	5	16	-11	15.4	17.6	-2.20	14.2	14.1	0.18
Matt Harpring	56	57	0.12	0.39	-0.27	0.06	2	19	-17	17.2	17.3	-0.12	13.8	14.6	-0.86
Keith McLeod	25	25	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.01	3	18	-15	15.1	18.0	-2.92	13.7	14.2	-0.52
CJ Miles	2	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	19	-17	26.0	17.0	8.99	22.0	14.0	7.99

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.48,0.55,0.49,0.57,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.56,0.6,0.64,0.6,0.67,0.72,0.78,0.77,0.77,0.74,0.8,0.79,0.78,0.7,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.58,0.58,0.62,0.68,0.69,0.73,0.67,0.75,0.81,0.74,0.82,0.86,0.93,0.94,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 93, CHI 113	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.56,0.53,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.6,0.64,0.57,0.53,0.58,0.63,0.71,0.78,0.8,0.83,0.78,0.86,0.83,0.8,0.8,0.71,0.63,0.61,0.58,0.67,0.65,0.75,0.72,0.69,0.7,0.72,0.74,0.87,0.91,0.92,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1	95.0%
ATL 85, CHA 104	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.53,0.55,0.61,0.65,0.65,0.6,0.6,0.63,0.68,0.64,0.67,0.71,0.76,0.75,0.73,0.78,0.79,0.75,0.73,0.63,0.68,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.62,0.65,0.72,0.66,0.81,0.82,0.87,0.84,0.9,0.95,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.8%
DEN 88, CLE 98	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.5,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.57,0.62,0.63,0.6,0.65,0.64,0.66,0.71,0.69,0.69,0.77,0.68,0.67,0.81,0.77,0.73,0.58,0.58,0.54,0.61,0.67,0.7,0.68,0.62,0.69,0.73,0.74,0.72,0.74,0.81,0.85,0.86,0.93,0.97,0.99,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.6%