NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	93		Excitement	5.5 [713]		MVP	Jimmy Butler (CHI): +16.8%
Chicago Bulls	113		Comeback	1.2 [1205]		LVP	Joakim Noah (CHI): -12.1%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Carlos Boozer	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.07	0.04	0.02	11	64%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wesley Johnson	0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.13,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.00	0.03	-0.02	18	45%	0.05	0	0.00	6	83%	0.03
Ed Davis	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.02	-0.00	10	50%	0.04	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.03
Wayne Ellington	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.03	0.01	12	48%	0.03	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Robert Sacre	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.02	0.00	2	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ronnie Price	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.02	-0.03	7	50%	0.00	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Clarkson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	17%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jeremy Lin	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	0.00	8	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Jordan Hill	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	16	44%	-0.01	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Nick Young	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	6	25%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jimmy Butler	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.12	0.04	-0.01	12	70%	0.20	1	-0.03	6	100%	0.04
Pau Gasol	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.08	0.05	-0.00	14	68%	0.20	4	-0.07	6	67%	-0.02
Nikola Mirotic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.08	0.01	-0.00	9	65%	0.09	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Mike Dunleavy	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.02	-0.01	5	60%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
E'Twaun Moore	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.02	-0.00	4	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Taj Gibson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	5	53%	0.03	1	-0.01	7	43%	-0.03
Cameron Bairstow	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Rose	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.05	-0.00	0.05	14	62%	0.04	3	-0.06	4	100%	0.01
Tony Snell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Brooks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	0.02	13	50%	0.05	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Joakim Noah	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.08	-0.04	0.00	8	25%	-0.09	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.9	2.5	27.4	16.7	27.2	3.5	29.6	128.8
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +49.0%

CHI +2.6%

CHI +21.7%

LAL -22.7%

LAL -0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	CHI	NBA	LAL	CHI	NBA
this game	15.4	17.0	15.1	104.5	127.0	104.2
season	15.5	15.5		101.9	105.4
opponent	15.2	14.7		102.5	108.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	17.2	15.0	15.3	14.1	15.4
CHI	14.9	18.6	18.3	16.5	17.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jordan Hill	58	58	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	0.13	-5	-15	10	15.1	15.8	-0.74	17.1	16.8	0.25
Ronnie Price	54	55	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	0.10	-4	-16	12	15.0	15.9	-0.96	17.1	16.9	0.19
Wesley Johnson	63	63	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	0.05	-4	-16	12	14.8	16.7	-1.88	17.1	16.7	0.38
Wayne Ellington	63	64	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	0.11	-8	-12	4	15.7	14.5	1.27	16.7	17.8	-1.06
Ed Davis	61	60	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.17	-11	-9	-2	15.3	15.4	-0.05	17.2	16.5	0.77
Robert Sacre	27	28	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.12	-8	-12	4	15.7	15.2	0.49	16.6	17.2	-0.57
Jordan Clarkson	20	20	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	0.01	-14	-6	-8	15.6	15.3	0.31	17.8	16.8	1.03
Nick Young	32	31	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.00	-14	-6	-8	15.6	15.2	0.32	16.9	17.1	-0.20
Jeremy Lin	35	34	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	-0.02	-16	-4	-12	15.9	15.0	0.96	16.9	17.1	-0.19
Carlos Boozer	32	32	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	-0.02	-16	-4	-12	15.6	15.2	0.32	16.7	17.2	-0.44

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Aaron Brooks	52	51	0.58	-0.08	0.66	-0.18	26	-6	32	17.1	16.8	0.32	14.7	16.2	-1.44
Taj Gibson	36	37	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.04	17	3	14	16.2	17.5	-1.35	16.0	14.9	1.10
Nikola Mirotic	26	27	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.06	15	5	10	17.2	16.9	0.27	16.6	14.8	1.72
E'Twaun Moore	29	30	0.40	0.10	0.31	0.05	12	8	4	16.5	17.2	-0.72	13.9	16.1	-2.15
Jimmy Butler	78	78	0.36	0.14	0.23	-0.10	16	4	12	17.2	15.7	1.45	15.5	14.1	1.45
Tony Snell	11	11	0.14	0.36	-0.23	0.02	4	16	-12	15.7	17.2	-1.45	14.1	15.5	-1.45
Mike Dunleavy	39	39	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.07	-2	22	-24	16.4	17.5	-1.14	17.1	14.0	3.06
Derrick Rose	58	58	0.00	0.50	-0.49	-0.11	4	16	-12	17.6	16.0	1.58	15.5	15.1	0.35
Pau Gasol	63	62	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.15	5	15	-10	16.9	17.2	-0.27	14.8	16.6	-1.72
Cameron Bairstow	3	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	22	-24	9.0	17.3	-8.28	7.7	15.6	-7.96
Joakim Noah	50	49	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	-0.19	5	15	-10	18.1	15.6	2.42	15.3	15.4	-0.03

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.56,0.53,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.6,0.64,0.57,0.53,0.58,0.63,0.71,0.78,0.8,0.83,0.78,0.86,0.83,0.8,0.8,0.71,0.63,0.61,0.58,0.67,0.65,0.75,0.72,0.69,0.7,0.72,0.74,0.87,0.91,0.92,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 83, UTA 104	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.48,0.55,0.49,0.57,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.56,0.6,0.64,0.6,0.67,0.72,0.78,0.77,0.77,0.74,0.8,0.79,0.78,0.7,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.58,0.58,0.62,0.68,0.69,0.73,0.67,0.75,0.81,0.74,0.82,0.86,0.93,0.94,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.0%
VAN 89, POR 98	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.49,0.5,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.56,0.63,0.66,0.63,0.71,0.71,0.78,0.82,0.83,0.88,0.86,0.85,0.88,0.8,0.77,0.69,0.67,0.67,0.71,0.77,0.69,0.75,0.73,0.71,0.75,0.74,0.84,0.85,0.91,0.88,0.92,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.93,0.97,1,1	94.7%
ATL 88, DEN 104	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.48,0.51,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.52,0.55,0.66,0.68,0.72,0.82,0.8,0.73,0.71,0.74,0.77,0.82,0.73,0.79,0.69,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.71,0.78,0.81,0.82,0.7,0.68,0.81,0.87,0.9,0.86,0.93,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.5%