inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Atlanta Hawks 88 Excitement5.2 [765] MVPTy Lawson (DEN): +10.7%
Denver Nuggets 104 Comeback1.3 [1217] LVPJeff Teague (ATL): -14.6%


Atlanta Hawks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Anthony Tolliver0.090,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.060.02-0.01764%0.0900.0000%0.00
Al Horford0.050,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.010.01-0.031653%0.072-0.0320%-0.04
Johan Petro0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.02-0.020.002100%0.051-0.0400%0.00
Jeremy Tyler0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Devin Harris-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.03,0,0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.02-0.03-0.001050%0.022-0.062100%0.02
Dahntay Jones-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.06-0.01-0.02729%-0.031-0.0200%0.00
John Jenkins-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.04-0.020.011244%-0.0720.003100%0.02
Ivan Johnson-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.06-0.01-0.0010%-0.022-0.0500%0.00
Josh Smith-0.080,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.03-0.040.011743%-0.032-0.061100%0.01
Jeff Teague-0.150,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15-0.08-0.040.031741%-0.093-0.063100%0.00

Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Ty Lawson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.110.080.030.001169%0.172-0.064100%0.02
Corey Brewer0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.030.00-0.042055%0.122-0.0400%0.00
JaVale McGee0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.04-0.00-0.00575%0.061-0.02250%-0.01
Wilson Chandler0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.010.00-0.031348%0.061-0.021100%0.00
Andre Iguodala0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.03-0.000.01875%0.083-0.0700%0.00
Anthony Randolph0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.030.00-0.0320%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jordan Hamilton00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Timofey Mozgov0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.000.00250%0.0000.0000%0.00
Evan Fournier00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Danilo Gallinari0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.010.000.00658%0.042-0.0500%0.00
Andre Miller0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.030.00-0.02450%0.042-0.0600%0.00
Kosta Koufos0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.02-0.010.03470%0.011-0.03250%-0.02
Kenneth Faried0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.06-0.010.011145%-0.013-0.0700%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game23.21.827.216.425.42.426.7123.1
league avg24.82.329.514.026.82.333.1134.3
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DEN +56.5%
ATL -0.9%
DEN +6.2%
ATL -9.3%
ATL -2.4%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsATLDENNBAATLDENNBA
this game16.813.315.492.6108.3104.1
season15.114.4102.6108.4
opponent15.415.5104.0102.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
ATL18.914.618.415.916.8
DEN13.811.611.616.913.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Johan Petro1616-0.09-0.410.32-0.06-1-151420.416.14.3212.913.4-0.55
Josh Smith6868-0.12-0.380.25-0.09-1-151416.617.6-1.0012.315.7-3.41
Jeremy Tyler99-0.15-0.350.200.03-6-10414.817.1-2.2820.812.68.21
Jeff Teague6566-0.21-0.290.08-0.01-7-9215.719.3-3.6412.614.9-2.28
Devin Harris3940-0.22-0.280.05-0.05-6-10417.516.41.1413.413.30.16
Al Horford7071-0.26-0.24-0.020.01-9-7-216.318.4-2.1112.515.7-3.23
Dahntay Jones6868-0.28-0.22-0.05-0.01-9-7-217.215.91.2813.712.51.23
Anthony Tolliver7475-0.29-0.21-0.08-0.05-8-8016.418.4-1.9813.014.5-1.52
Ivan Johnson2324-0.29-0.21-0.080.03-11-5-616.916.80.0415.912.53.44
John Jenkins4343-0.590.09-0.680.06-226-2818.615.43.1814.512.42.09

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Wilson Chandler55530.56-0.060.630.0119-32212.913.9-0.9117.915.52.36
Corey Brewer54530.480.020.46-0.0217-11813.213.5-0.3017.416.11.34
Andre Miller40390.460.040.41-0.1621-52613.613.10.5417.616.31.36
JaVale McGee32310.330.170.160.01115612.114.0-1.8619.515.63.87
Andre Iguodala69670.290.210.070.14511-613.413.10.3617.315.91.40
Danilo Gallinari54540.210.29-0.08-0.0597213.013.8-0.8517.216.40.79
Ty Lawson67660.130.37-0.230.08214-1212.714.7-1.9916.417.9-1.47
Kenneth Faried56560.060.44-0.39-0.03313-1013.113.7-0.5915.518.7-3.18
Anthony Randolph230.000.50-0.500.03-117-1830.513.017.539.717.1-7.41
Jordan Hamilton230.000.50-0.500.03-117-1830.513.017.539.717.1-7.41
Timofey Mozgov230.000.50-0.500.03-117-1830.513.017.539.717.1-7.41
Evan Fournier230.000.50-0.500.03-117-1830.513.017.539.717.1-7.41
Kosta Koufos4544-0.020.52-0.540.07-319-2213.013.6-0.6315.617.9-2.37


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.48,0.51,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.52,0.55,0.66,0.68,0.72,0.82,0.8,0.73,0.71,0.74,0.77,0.82,0.73,0.79,0.69,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.71,0.78,0.81,0.82,0.7,0.68,0.81,0.87,0.9,0.86,0.93,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
DEN 83, UTA 1040.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.48,0.55,0.49,0.57,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.56,0.6,0.64,0.6,0.67,0.72,0.78,0.77,0.77,0.74,0.8,0.79,0.78,0.7,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.58,0.58,0.62,0.68,0.69,0.73,0.67,0.75,0.81,0.74,0.82,0.86,0.93,0.94,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,194.6%
LAL 93, CHI 1130.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.56,0.53,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.6,0.64,0.57,0.53,0.58,0.63,0.71,0.78,0.8,0.83,0.78,0.86,0.83,0.8,0.8,0.71,0.63,0.61,0.58,0.67,0.65,0.75,0.72,0.69,0.7,0.72,0.74,0.87,0.91,0.92,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,194.5%
BOS 79, CHI 960.5,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.58,0.56,0.55,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.58,0.62,0.6,0.7,0.71,0.71,0.75,0.8,0.8,0.75,0.74,0.74,0.75,0.67,0.78,0.74,0.77,0.67,0.7,0.76,0.77,0.85,0.84,0.83,0.67,0.71,0.87,0.89,0.93,0.92,0.93,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,194.4%