NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	79		Excitement	4.6 [888]		MVP	Elton Brand (CHI): +9.2%
Chicago Bulls	96		Comeback	1.4 [294]		LVP	Corey Benjamin (CHI): -14.4%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eric Williams	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.01	0.00	11	62%	0.07	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.02
Calbert Cheaney	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Adrian Griffin	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dana Barros	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.06	0.00	-0.04	5	20%	-0.03	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Paul Pierce	-0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.08	-0.00	-0.06	12	62%	0.06	7	-0.09	8	100%	0.04
Kenny Anderson	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	9	50%	-0.01	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.01
Danny Fortson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	3	50%	-0.02	2	-0.02	4	25%	-0.02
Tony Battie	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	0.03	6	53%	-0.03	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.01
Vitaly Potapenko	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	-0.01	5	20%	-0.05	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Antoine Walker	-0.14	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.12	-0.05	-0.03	15	44%	-0.02	4	-0.12	6	83%	0.04

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Elton Brand	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.08	0.02	0.00	14	70%	0.14	2	-0.05	9	89%	0.03
Matt Maloney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.01	-0.02	12	62%	0.10	1	-0.02	2	50%	0.00
Michael Ruffin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.02	-0.02	2	67%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Chris Anstey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	2	50%	0.00	2	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Will Perdue	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.00	1	71%	-0.01	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.02
B.J. Armstrong	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Metta World Peace	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	10	70%	0.11	5	-0.13	0	0%	0.00
Dickey Simpkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	2	50%	-0.02	2	-0.02	4	50%	-0.03
Toni Kukoc	0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.09	0.02	-0.00	17	52%	0.03	5	-0.10	10	70%	0.00
Corey Benjamin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.13	-0.02	-0.00	4	0%	-0.07	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	2.7	27.4	15.4	28.6	2.4	30.6	132.2
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +39.7%

CHI +3.7%

CHI +12.8%

BOS -13.2%

CHI +6.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	CHI	NBA	BOS	CHI	NBA
this game	13.8	17.6	15.2	85.9	104.3	101.7
season	14.7	16.5		102.4	91.8
opponent	14.9	15.1		102.3	103.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	15.4	15.3	12.9	11.7	13.8
CHI	16.6	18.1	19.9	16.0	17.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Danny Fortson	29	30	0.04	-0.54	0.57	-0.17	7	-24	31	13.3	14.0	-0.69	18.2	17.2	0.96
Adrian Griffin	10	9	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	0.03	-3	-14	11	16.0	13.5	2.52	16.2	17.7	-1.48
Kenny Anderson	69	68	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	0.02	-4	-13	9	14.2	12.4	1.81	18.0	16.3	1.65
Antoine Walker	65	65	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.02	-9	-8	-1	14.3	12.5	1.74	18.3	15.8	2.51
Calbert Cheaney	37	38	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	0.02	-10	-7	-3	13.4	14.0	-0.53	16.3	18.4	-2.07
Eric Williams	64	66	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.00	-10	-7	-3	13.3	14.7	-1.33	17.7	17.1	0.61
Tony Battie	42	42	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	0.11	-14	-3	-11	12.4	14.9	-2.43	16.4	18.6	-2.20
Paul Pierce	79	77	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.04	-12	-5	-7	14.3	10.5	3.74	17.9	15.9	2.02
Dana Barros	23	24	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.04	-13	-4	-9	12.4	14.2	-1.81	16.3	18.0	-1.65
Vitaly Potapenko	42	41	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	0.04	-17	0	-17	14.0	13.6	0.42	17.7	17.5	0.19

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Metta World Peace	81	81	0.63	-0.13	0.77	-0.04	23	-6	29	17.5	18.0	-0.51	13.6	15.0	-1.42
Toni Kukoc	66	68	0.49	0.01	0.49	-0.15	22	-5	27	18.5	15.2	3.24	14.6	11.4	3.21
Matt Maloney	62	61	0.34	0.16	0.19	-0.04	13	4	9	17.5	17.8	-0.32	12.6	16.1	-3.54
Michael Ruffin	30	29	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.15	6	11	-5	15.1	18.7	-3.64	13.1	14.1	-0.99
Will Perdue	30	29	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.02	10	7	3	16.0	18.3	-2.36	12.5	14.3	-1.80
Dickey Simpkins	64	64	0.26	0.24	0.02	-0.06	11	6	5	18.5	15.4	3.06	14.8	11.4	3.34
Elton Brand	73	74	0.21	0.29	-0.09	-0.06	9	8	1	18.0	15.8	2.16	13.9	13.1	0.86
Chris Anstey	9	8	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	20	-23	12.8	18.1	-5.29	7.6	14.3	-6.71
B.J. Armstrong	13	13	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	-0.00	-1	18	-19	16.9	17.7	-0.74	16.4	13.3	3.07
Corey Benjamin	32	33	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.10	-5	22	-27	18.5	17.0	1.50	14.4	13.4	1.05

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.58,0.56,0.55,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.58,0.62,0.6,0.7,0.71,0.71,0.75,0.8,0.8,0.75,0.74,0.74,0.75,0.67,0.78,0.74,0.77,0.67,0.7,0.76,0.77,0.85,0.84,0.83,0.67,0.71,0.87,0.89,0.93,0.92,0.93,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 88, ATL 101	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.54,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.56,0.63,0.64,0.7,0.75,0.7,0.76,0.7,0.83,0.74,0.76,0.75,0.74,0.7,0.69,0.69,0.75,0.73,0.7,0.68,0.88,0.91,0.87,0.78,0.75,0.81,0.84,0.9,0.96,0.93,0.92,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1	95.0%
NYK 93, DEN 104	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.57,0.57,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.53,0.56,0.66,0.7,0.65,0.71,0.69,0.76,0.74,0.73,0.71,0.66,0.64,0.78,0.78,0.74,0.77,0.78,0.81,0.84,0.87,0.88,0.81,0.77,0.7,0.79,0.81,0.81,0.92,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.7%
LAC 105, GSW 122	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.6,0.58,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.66,0.64,0.7,0.77,0.71,0.69,0.72,0.77,0.8,0.72,0.7,0.61,0.75,0.71,0.77,0.67,0.67,0.58,0.68,0.71,0.78,0.89,0.74,0.75,0.85,0.9,0.96,0.91,0.93,0.92,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	94.7%