NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	93		Excitement	4.4 [924]		MVP	James Posey (DEN): +15.6%
Denver Nuggets	104		Comeback	1.2 [719]		LVP	Mark Jackson (NYK): -10.3%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Clar. Weatherspoon	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.05	-0.01	0.01	6	67%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kurt Thomas	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.09	-0.01	0.07	8	77%	0.02	0	0.00	6	83%	-0.02
Allan Houston	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.03	0.02	-0.02	15	56%	0.09	4	-0.08	4	100%	0.02
Shandon Anderson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.04	0.01	-0.04	4	56%	0.01	1	-0.00	10	80%	0.01
Charlie Ward	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Othella Harrington	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	4	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Latrell Sprewell	-0.03	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.00	-0.03	-0.00	18	57%	0.08	4	-0.10	4	75%	0.01
Travis Knight	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Howard Eisley	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.04	-0.01	0.03	8	44%	-0.04	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Mark Jackson	-0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.01	-0.00	11	22%	-0.10	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
James Posey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.13	0.04	0.02	9	95%	0.18	2	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Juwan Howard	0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.09	0.05	0.02	19	68%	0.19	3	-0.07	6	100%	0.02
Ryan Bowen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.00	0.01	3	100%	0.06	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Voshon Lenard	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.02	0.00	7	57%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
George McCloud	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.02	0.02	-0.05	10	45%	0.04	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Carlos Arroyo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	4	25%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zendon Hamilton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Donnell Harvey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.01	-0.01	6	36%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Mengke Bateer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Antonio McDyess	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	1	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.01
Calbert Cheaney	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	6	67%	0.02	4	-0.05	3	67%	-0.02
Tim Hardaway	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.01	-0.03	0.01	9	50%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.9	1.7	30.3	16.3	23.0	2.0	31.0	127.2
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DEN +46.7%

NYK -5.8%

DEN +5.1%

DEN +2.7%

DEN +1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	DEN	NBA	NYK	DEN	NBA
this game	16.5	15.9	15.6	104.5	116.9	102.3
season	15.9	16.1		99.6	99.7
opponent	15.2	15.6		105.9	103.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	16.9	16.5	16.5	16.0	16.5
DEN	15.1	14.8	17.0	16.7	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Charlie Ward	9	10	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.01	-1	-10	9	13.6	16.8	-3.26	17.1	15.7	1.38
Travis Knight	6	7	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	-0.01	-2	-9	7	15.7	16.5	-0.88	18.4	15.7	2.77
Kurt Thomas	60	61	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.19	1	-12	13	16.1	17.2	-1.12	16.1	15.3	0.81
Mark Jackson	43	42	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.08	-3	-8	5	17.7	15.4	2.26	15.2	16.4	-1.21
Latrell Sprewell	81	81	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.19	-3	-8	5	16.1	20.0	-3.86	16.0	14.4	1.65
Allan Houston	75	75	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.31	1	-12	13	16.5	16.4	0.15	15.8	16.5	-0.74
Howard Eisley	37	37	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.09	-7	-4	-3	15.8	16.9	-1.10	16.3	15.6	0.67
Clar. Weatherspoon	46	45	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.00	-11	0	-11	17.5	15.4	2.15	15.2	16.6	-1.37
Othella Harrington	39	38	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	0.05	-15	4	-19	16.7	16.3	0.37	15.8	15.9	-0.15
Shandon Anderson	49	49	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	-0.06	-15	4	-19	16.4	16.5	-0.12	15.8	15.9	-0.13

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
George McCloud	43	43	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.11	16	-5	21	15.4	16.3	-0.84	16.2	16.8	-0.57
James Posey	51	51	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.08	14	-3	17	15.7	16.1	-0.40	16.2	16.9	-0.67
Juwan Howard	82	82	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.06	14	-3	17	15.6	18.6	-2.93	16.9	11.1	5.80
Donnell Harvey	37	35	0.46	0.04	0.42	-0.04	17	-6	23	16.8	15.2	1.55	16.3	16.6	-0.37
Calbert Cheaney	67	68	0.43	0.07	0.37	0.17	9	2	7	15.7	16.5	-0.89	16.6	16.0	0.69
Ryan Bowen	45	45	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.15	5	6	-1	15.7	16.0	-0.29	16.3	16.7	-0.44
Tim Hardaway	38	38	0.04	0.46	-0.41	0.04	0	11	-11	16.4	15.5	0.95	17.0	16.1	0.90
Voshon Lenard	38	38	0.01	0.49	-0.49	0.09	-3	14	-17	16.1	15.7	0.40	16.9	16.2	0.67
Antonio McDyess	15	16	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	-0.00	-1	12	-13	14.9	16.1	-1.21	17.7	16.2	1.47
Zendon Hamilton	9	9	-0.06	0.56	-0.63	0.05	-4	15	-19	16.3	15.8	0.51	15.6	16.6	-1.03
Mengke Bateer	9	9	-0.06	0.56	-0.63	0.08	-5	16	-21	16.6	15.8	0.76	14.8	16.7	-1.90
Carlos Arroyo	11	11	-0.12	0.62	-0.75	0.08	-7	18	-25	16.7	15.8	0.97	13.5	16.9	-3.46

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.57,0.57,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.53,0.56,0.66,0.7,0.65,0.71,0.69,0.76,0.74,0.73,0.71,0.66,0.64,0.78,0.78,0.74,0.77,0.78,0.81,0.84,0.87,0.88,0.81,0.77,0.7,0.79,0.81,0.81,0.92,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 78, PHX 94	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.45,0.41,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.66,0.68,0.68,0.66,0.67,0.65,0.59,0.66,0.68,0.64,0.61,0.67,0.73,0.76,0.75,0.79,0.88,0.79,0.82,0.75,0.78,0.77,0.71,0.76,0.87,0.87,0.86,0.96,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.0%
WAS 94, DET 99	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.6,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.58,0.65,0.64,0.71,0.67,0.69,0.76,0.78,0.73,0.73,0.78,0.79,0.75,0.8,0.79,0.77,0.82,0.83,0.81,0.82,0.9,0.81,0.77,0.77,0.82,0.92,0.89,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,1	94.9%
MIA 87, CHA 100	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.51,0.56,0.53,0.47,0.43,0.49,0.53,0.6,0.65,0.6,0.62,0.73,0.82,0.8,0.76,0.75,0.78,0.72,0.72,0.75,0.8,0.77,0.77,0.8,0.81,0.84,0.82,0.89,0.86,0.85,0.89,0.9,0.85,0.78,0.91,0.93,0.89,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.7%