NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	94		Excitement	4.8 [693]		MVP	Rodney Stuckey (DET): +14.1%
Detroit Pistons	99		Comeback	1.0 [971]		LVP	Jordan Crawford (WAS): -15.0%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Seraphin	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	0.00	0.02	12	58%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Cartier Martin	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.00	0.02	4	75%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
John Wall	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	0.00	0.03	18	55%	0.06	3	-0.06	15	80%	0.01
Shelvin Mack	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	3	33%	0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Chris Singleton	-0.01	0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.01	3	83%	0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jan Vesely	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.01	-0.01	0.03	6	59%	0.00	2	-0.04	5	40%	-0.03
James Singleton	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Cook	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	7	50%	0.02	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.00
Roger Mason Jr.	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	0.03	10	55%	0.01	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Crawford	-0.15	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.17,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15	-0.15	-0.01	-0.01	13	29%	-0.09	3	-0.06	5	80%	0.01

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rodney Stuckey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.11,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.12	0.05	0.03	7	83%	0.16	1	-0.01	4	75%	-0.00
Greg Monroe	0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.07	0.03	-0.01	10	69%	0.13	2	-0.03	6	67%	-0.01
Jonas Jerebko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.00	-0.03	5	75%	0.06	3	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Tayshaun Prince	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.02	0.01	-0.04	11	54%	0.07	3	-0.04	4	75%	0.01
Damien Wilkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.01	5	50%	0.02	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.04
Jason Maxiell	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.05	0.00	0.02	6	61%	0.02	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.04
Will Bynum	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	2	20%	-0.01	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Brandon Knight	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.10	0.01	-0.05	8	37%	0.04	4	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Ben Gordon	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.09	-0.00	-0.04	14	43%	0.02	4	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01
Ben Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	0.03	0	50%	-0.04	1	-0.02	10	50%	-0.07

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.3	2.7	29.4	18.5	26.5	2.4	33.6	139.4
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +45.8%

WAS -3.0%

DET +5.8%

DET +4.5%

WAS -3.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	DET	NBA	WAS	DET	NBA
this game	14.1	15.9	15.6	98.9	102.1	102.8
season	15.0	16.3		99.5	99.5
opponent	15.4	15.7		104.4	104.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	13.4	14.9	14.9	13.4	14.1
DET	17.3	15.7	15.1	15.4	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Singleton	40	40	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	-0.10	3	-8	11	14.3	13.9	0.38	16.9	15.2	1.70
Jan Vesely	59	62	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.41	10	-15	25	13.7	14.8	-1.13	16.5	14.8	1.73
Jordan Crawford	65	66	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.31	5	-10	15	14.0	14.3	-0.33	15.7	16.2	-0.51
Kevin Seraphin	57	57	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.28	4	-9	13	15.1	12.7	2.37	16.5	15.0	1.41
Cartier Martin	25	26	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.14	-1	-4	3	13.8	14.2	-0.36	16.5	15.6	0.85
Shelvin Mack	15	14	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	0.11	-13	8	-21	17.0	13.6	3.44	12.1	16.5	-4.45
James Singleton	27	28	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	0.10	-15	10	-25	15.4	13.6	1.87	14.1	16.6	-2.49
Brian Cook	47	47	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.11	-9	4	-13	12.7	15.5	-2.73	15.4	16.3	-0.92
John Wall	83	86	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.40	0	-5	5	13.8	16.2	-2.36	16.4	11.9	4.47
Roger Mason Jr.	57	59	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	-0.22	-9	4	-13	13.9	14.5	-0.61	15.3	16.8	-1.54

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jonas Jerebko	38	37	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.04	12	-7	19	16.0	15.8	0.20	15.8	13.1	2.71
Ben Wallace	55	53	0.31	0.19	0.13	0.34	-1	6	-7	15.6	16.3	-0.68	14.7	13.4	1.30
Ben Gordon	71	72	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.34	-1	6	-7	15.8	16.0	-0.12	13.7	15.3	-1.52
Damien Wilkins	32	30	0.30	0.20	0.11	0.21	3	2	1	14.6	16.5	-1.96	16.4	13.1	3.31
Rodney Stuckey	39	38	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.06	8	-3	11	16.0	15.8	0.21	13.4	14.6	-1.18
Will Bynum	28	27	0.25	0.25	-0.00	0.16	3	2	1	14.9	16.3	-1.33	16.0	13.3	2.70
Tayshaun Prince	65	65	0.20	0.30	-0.11	0.14	2	3	-1	16.5	14.6	1.96	13.1	16.4	-3.31
Greg Monroe	42	42	0.19	0.31	-0.13	0.01	6	-1	7	16.3	15.6	0.68	13.4	14.7	-1.30
Brandon Knight	56	53	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.15	0	5	-5	16.3	15.3	1.01	14.1	14.1	0.06
Jason Maxiell	59	58	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.32	-7	12	-19	15.8	16.0	-0.20	13.1	15.8	-2.71

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.6,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.58,0.65,0.64,0.71,0.67,0.69,0.76,0.78,0.73,0.73,0.78,0.79,0.75,0.8,0.79,0.77,0.82,0.83,0.81,0.82,0.9,0.81,0.77,0.77,0.82,0.92,0.89,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 89, CHI 110	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.53,0.59,0.61,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.56,0.54,0.6,0.64,0.64,0.69,0.74,0.72,0.73,0.75,0.78,0.7,0.73,0.82,0.86,0.82,0.78,0.76,0.79,0.84,0.95,0.89,0.83,0.83,0.87,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.7%
DEN 103, BOS 111	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.53,0.56,0.53,0.59,0.61,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.73,0.71,0.75,0.77,0.8,0.72,0.69,0.73,0.78,0.69,0.66,0.83,0.83,0.86,0.84,0.85,0.82,0.83,0.74,0.82,0.96,0.98,1,0.99,1,1,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	95.6%
ORL 74, SAS 98	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.54,0.55,0.59,0.59,0.55,0.51,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.72,0.78,0.69,0.76,0.8,0.73,0.74,0.71,0.77,0.78,0.78,0.79,0.79,0.75,0.76,0.71,0.84,0.78,0.71,0.73,0.77,0.82,0.81,0.82,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.4%